SPCE MEX Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. · Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Latest close 44.27 MXN
1.3% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -13.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 7.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.3%, after a -7.8% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 49/100.

Setup score 22 out of 100
Latest Close 44.27 MXN 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 1.3% latest completed week
4W Return -7.8% short-term follow-through
12W Return -12.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 28.8% 15 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -13.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 7.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.3%, after a -7.8% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.4512-week average 0.30

12-week confirmation

Trend active3/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure9/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership3/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.45Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -7.8% over four weeks, -12.5% over 12 weeks, and -36.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W1.3%
4W-7.8%
12W-12.5%
26W-11.5%
52W-36.8%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year15
Trend breadth28.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.27Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-166.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-25.12Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-10.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment49/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 29 relevant articles.

0 positive · 27 neutral · 2 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-61.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility29.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher8 of 2618 weeks finished lower.
Best week+95.5%Week of 29 May.
Worst week-30.5%Week of 5 Jun.
Latest week+1.3%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains3
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses10
Recent vol29.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol16.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split17/35Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew13.9% / -6.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202644.27 MXN1.3%51.42 MXN232.0 MXN-0.27-25.1290.7KOff
24 Jul 202643.70 MXN-1.9%51.92 MXN239.9 MXN-0.17-26.3886.9KOff
17 Jul 202644.54 MXN-1.4%52.35 MXN248.0 MXN-0.03-26.33141.6KOff
10 Jul 202645.16 MXN-5.9%52.98 MXN256.1 MXN0.10-26.1347.7KOff
3 Jul 202648.00 MXN-5.4%53.61 MXN264.0 MXN0.41-22.7166.4KOn
26 Jun 202650.76 MXN-16.4%54.63 MXN271.8 MXN0.62-18.8129.4KOn
19 Jun 202660.69 MXN-9.9%55.27 MXN280.0 MXN0.98-4.00782On
12 Jun 202667.35 MXN-11.7%55.33 MXN289.2 MXN1.185.88106.6KOff
5 Jun 202676.26 MXN-30.5%55.31 MXN299.1 MXN1.1323.1719.7KOff
29 May 2026109.8 MXN95.5%54.98 MXN307.5 MXN1.1171.25295.1KOff
22 May 202656.15 MXN15.2%53.76 MXN315.4 MXN0.73-11.09130.4KOff
15 May 202648.76 MXN-3.7%54.34 MXN322.7 MXN0.59-23.0250.2KOff
8 May 202650.61 MXN21.0%55.21 MXN332.3 MXN0.58-23.7066.5KOff
1 May 202641.83 MXN-7.4%56.04 MXN341.0 MXN0.63-35.5230.6KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.