ALRS NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Alerus Financial Corp · Financial Services · Banks - Regional

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Latest close 33.27 USD
1.7% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 24.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 93.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.7%, after a 6.9% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 53/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 55/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high.

Setup score 77 out of 100
Latest Close 33.27 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 1.7% latest completed week
4W Return 6.9% short-term follow-through
12W Return 24.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 98.1% 51 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.4x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 35-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 5 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 1.7% Latest completed week; four-week move 6.9%. Indicator stack 99/76 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Volatility 53/100 conviction; expected move 15.2%. News sentiment 55/100 72 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 29 Jul Latest stored earnings date was 29 Jul 2026.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 24.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 93.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.7%, after a 6.9% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.4x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 1.0012-week average 0.93

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership11/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure1.00Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers55 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 5 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 6.9% over four weeks, 24.7% over 12 weeks, and 67.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 35 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W1.7%
4W6.9%
12W24.7%
26W36.3%
52W67.3%
Active trend streak35 weeks
Active weeks in one year51
Trend breadth98.1%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.50Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-7.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership24.72Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change70.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 02 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 100%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength57/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 44; rank 1 is best.
Value25/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 76; rank 1 is best.
Quality68/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 33; rank 1 is best.
Momentum93/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 8; rank 1 is best.
Growth1/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 100; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework36/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
30.0x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
2.5x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
22.5x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
6.8%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
72.0%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
12.1%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
22.9%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
3.5%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-10.8%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-28.4%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
2.6%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.1%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
2.6%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
5.9x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

ALRS shows volatility options pressure with a 53/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.13, expected move of 15.2%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction53/100
Expected move15.2%
Put/call volume0.13
Pressure89
Speculation12
Volatility96
Trend agreement12
Open options detail
Insider activity9 / 2

9 acquisitions and 2 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 72 relevant articles.

19 positive · 52 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings29 JulLatest stored earnings date was 29 Jul 2026.
Options expected move15.2%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-2.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher18 of 268 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.0%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-6.3%Week of 27 Feb.
Latest week+1.7%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains12
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses1
Recent vol2.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split33/19Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.8% / -2.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape77/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 77/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis82/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 11/12.

Activity pressure 1.00; 5 reversal markers Factors59/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 41; Small Cap Core rank 72 SVQF36/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 463.0 of 725 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options39/100

ALRS shows volatility options pressure with a 53/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.13, expected move of 15.2%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 15.2% Sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 72 relevant articles.

Price to sales forward of Alerus Financial Corporation – NASDAQ:ALRS Insiders9 / 2

9 acquisitions and 2 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings29 Jul

Latest stored earnings date was 29 Jul 2026.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202633.27 USD1.7%26.82 USD20.95 USD1.5024.721.6MOn
24 Jul 202632.70 USD1.7%26.45 USD20.85 USD1.4724.01994.9KOn
17 Jul 202632.15 USD2.7%26.08 USD20.76 USD1.5720.601.0MOn
10 Jul 202631.32 USD0.7%25.75 USD20.66 USD1.6413.051.0MOn
3 Jul 202631.11 USD0.9%25.48 USD20.56 USD1.6214.541.1MOn
26 Jun 202630.82 USD4.6%25.17 USD20.47 USD1.6714.662.5MOn
19 Jun 202629.47 USD-2.0%24.84 USD20.37 USD1.564.94961.2KOn
12 Jun 202630.09 USD4.7%24.57 USD20.29 USD1.4810.06686.1KOn
5 Jun 202628.74 USD1.3%24.28 USD20.21 USD1.237.761.1MOn
29 May 202628.38 USD1.9%24.01 USD20.13 USD1.041.69689.4KOn
22 May 202627.85 USD5.6%23.75 USD20.05 USD0.972.65839.2KOn
15 May 202626.36 USD-1.2%23.54 USD19.97 USD0.60-1.69695.5KOn
8 May 202626.67 USD-0.3%23.34 USD19.88 USD0.56-1.041.1MOn
1 May 202626.76 USD5.8%23.14 USD19.79 USD0.424.50886.8KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.