- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
- Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
HCA
MEX
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
HCA Healthcare, Inc. · Healthcare · Medical Care Facilities
Latest close
7,075 MXN
5.5%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -10.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 25.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.5%, after a 3.2% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 47/100.
Setup score
36
out of 100
Latest Close
7,075 MXN
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
5.5%
latest completed week
4W Return
3.2%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-13.3%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
71.2%
37 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.5x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 39.07% based on similar historical setup states.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
5.5%
Latest completed week; four-week move 3.2%.
Indicator stack
39/43
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 39.07%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
47/100
6 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -10.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 25.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.5%, after a 3.2% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.5x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0512-week average 0.23
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.05Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 3.2% over four weeks, -13.3% over 12 weeks, and 11.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year37
Trend breadth71.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.62Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change53.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-13.22Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change22.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment47/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 6 relevant articles.
1 positive · 2 neutral · 3 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-25.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
6 Mar
3 Apr
1 May
29 May
26 Jun
31 Jul
Weeks higher8 of 267 weeks finished lower.
Best week+5.5%Week of 31 Jul.
Worst week-10.3%Week of 15 May.
Latest week+5.5%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains7
Modest gains1
Flat weeks11
Modest losses1
Sharp losses6
Recent vol5.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split19/15Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.4% / -4.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorMX Healthcare
4-week rank24 / 78
Group average-1.3%
Trend breadth28.2%
Trend28.2%active weekly trend signals
MD62.8%positive activity pressure
RS35.9%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryMX Medical Care Facilities
4-week rank1 / 5
Group average-0.3%
Trend breadth20.0%
Trend20.0%active weekly trend signals
MD20.0%positive activity pressure
RS40.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape35/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 35/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis9/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.05; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 39.07%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 39.07% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment47/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 6 relevant articles.
HCA Healthcare, Inc. (NYSE:HCA) Receives Average Recommendation of "Moderate Buy" from Analysts Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 7,075 MXN | 5.5% | 7,878 MXN | 6,610 MXN | -0.62 | -13.22 | 70 | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 6,705 MXN | 4.3% | 7,925 MXN | 6,596 MXN | -0.90 | -17.14 | 336 | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 6,431 MXN | -6.2% | 7,985 MXN | 6,584 MXN | -1.13 | -21.11 | 128 | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 6,855 MXN | 0.0% | 8,054 MXN | 6,574 MXN | -1.21 | -16.12 | 0 | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 6,855 MXN | 0.0% | 8,113 MXN | 6,562 MXN | -1.33 | -17.11 | 0 | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 6,855 MXN | 4.7% | 8,179 MXN | 6,550 MXN | -1.43 | -17.57 | 0 | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 6,550 MXN | 0.7% | 8,265 MXN | 6,537 MXN | -1.52 | -22.06 | 0 | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 6,501 MXN | 4.2% | 8,333 MXN | 6,527 MXN | -1.56 | -23.24 | 0 | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 6,237 MXN | -6.4% | 8,402 MXN | 6,517 MXN | -1.56 | -24.64 | 0 | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 6,662 MXN | -9.0% | 8,486 MXN | 6,506 MXN | -1.44 | -22.74 | 5 | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 7,319 MXN | 0.0% | 8,550 MXN | 6,494 MXN | -1.30 | -15.18 | 0 | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 7,319 MXN | -10.3% | 8,572 MXN | 6,477 MXN | -1.16 | -14.95 | 66 | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 8,159 MXN | 0.0% | 8,586 MXN | 6,462 MXN | -0.84 | -7.95 | 0 | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 8,159 MXN | 0.0% | 8,574 MXN | 6,441 MXN | -0.54 | -5.31 | 0 | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.