GABC NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

German American Bancorp Inc · Financial Services · Banks - Regional

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Latest close 50.88 USD
5.1% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 16.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 91.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.1%, after a 6.9% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bearish with 46/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 61/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high; earnings are due in 86d.

Setup score 76 out of 100
Latest Close 50.88 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 5.1% latest completed week
4W Return 6.9% short-term follow-through
12W Return 16.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 96.2% 50 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.4x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 36-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 3 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 5.1% Latest completed week; four-week move 6.9%. Indicator stack 98/75 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Bearish 46/100 conviction; expected move 6.5%. News sentiment 61/100 55 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 86d Next report is scheduled for 26 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 16.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 91.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.1%, after a 6.9% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.4x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9912-week average 0.91

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure10/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership5/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.99Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers33 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 3 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 6.9% over four weeks, 16.7% over 12 weeks, and 39.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 36 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W5.1%
4W6.9%
12W16.7%
26W22.7%
52W39.3%
Active trend streak36 weeks
Active weeks in one year50
Trend breadth96.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.43Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-11.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership12.06Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change839.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 96%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength94/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 7; rank 1 is best.
Value78/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 23; rank 1 is best.
Quality93/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 8; rank 1 is best.
Momentum73/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 28; rank 1 is best.
Growth97/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 4; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework82/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
13.4x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
3.6x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
9.8x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
8.5%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
74.1%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
33.7%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
32.8%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
10.6%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
45.8%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
79.6%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
42.3%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
2.5%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
2.5%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.5x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBearish

GABC shows bearish options pressure with a 46/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 6.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction46/100
Expected move6.5%
Put/call volume
Pressure-88
Speculation1
Volatility44
Trend agreement16
Open options detail
Insider activity20 / 0

20 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment61/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 55 relevant articles.

29 positive · 26 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings86dNext report is scheduled for 26 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move6.5%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-2.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+5.9%Week of 26 Jun.
Worst week-5.3%Week of 27 Feb.
Latest week+5.1%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains3
Modest gains12
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses2
Recent vol2.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.7% / -1.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape77/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 77/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis71/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 10/12, relative leadership 5/12.

Activity pressure 0.99; 3 reversal markers Factors84/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 57; Small Cap Core rank 36 SVQF82/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 131.5 of 726 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options32/100

GABC shows bearish options pressure with a 46/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 6.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Bearish · Put-side pressure · Expected move 6.5% Sentiment61/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 55 relevant articles.

German American Bancorp (NASDAQ:GABC) Price Target Raised to $51.00 Insiders20 / 0

20 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings86d

Next report is scheduled for 26 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202650.88 USD5.1%43.54 USD36.42 USD1.4312.061.1MOn
24 Jul 202648.43 USD-0.3%43.12 USD36.28 USD1.417.49785.7KOn
17 Jul 202648.57 USD3.4%42.82 USD36.14 USD1.526.14738.9KOn
10 Jul 202646.97 USD-1.3%42.54 USD35.99 USD1.54-1.66761.9KOn
3 Jul 202647.60 USD-0.1%42.32 USD35.85 USD1.601.28876.3KOn
26 Jun 202647.65 USD5.9%42.04 USD35.70 USD1.482.131.7MOn
19 Jun 202644.99 USD-2.0%41.75 USD35.56 USD1.08-7.97770.5KOn
12 Jun 202645.91 USD3.7%41.55 USD35.43 USD0.74-3.79837.5KOn
5 Jun 202644.28 USD1.3%41.30 USD35.31 USD0.19-5.21682.1KOn
29 May 202643.72 USD1.0%41.12 USD35.20 USD-0.03-10.82486.8KOn
22 May 202643.27 USD3.9%40.92 USD35.09 USD-0.00-9.51556.0KOn
15 May 202641.64 USD-4.5%40.76 USD34.98 USD0.08-12.17477.6KOn
8 May 202643.59 USD1.1%40.62 USD34.87 USD0.38-8.76467.6KOn
1 May 202643.11 USD-0.3%40.39 USD34.75 USD0.52-5.23620.4KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.