STRL NASDAQ Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Sterling Construction Company Inc · Industrials · Engineering & Construction

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Latest close 660.9 USD
3.5% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 18.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 54.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.5%, after a -17.9% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is volatility with 49/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 56/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 2d.

Setup score 53 out of 100
Latest Close 660.9 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 3.5% latest completed week
4W Return -17.9% short-term follow-through
12W Return 24.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 100.0% 52 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.7x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 58-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 55.11% based on similar historical setup states.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 9 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
  • Recent volatility is running well above the one-year baseline.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 3.5% Latest completed week; four-week move -17.9%. Indicator stack 100/32 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 55.11% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Volatility 49/100 conviction; expected move 21.6%. News sentiment 56/100 51 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 2d Next report is scheduled for 03 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 18.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 54.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.5%, after a -17.9% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.8512-week average 0.90

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure11/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.85Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers99 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 9 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -17.9% over four weeks, 24.1% over 12 weeks, and 146.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 58 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W3.5%
4W-17.9%
12W24.1%
26W88.1%
52W146.5%
Active trend streak58 weeks
Active weeks in one year52
Trend breadth100.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.41Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-133.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership35.44Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-48.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 97% Model confidence 93%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength37/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 64; rank 1 is best.
Value2/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 99; rank 1 is best.
Quality73/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 28; rank 1 is best.
Momentum98/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 3; rank 1 is best.
Growth99/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 2; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
58.5x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
7.0x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
34.1x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
3.0%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
23.3%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
17.6%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
20.7%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
37.7%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
37.0%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
30.4%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-1.7%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.2%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.2%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.3x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

STRL shows volatility options pressure with a 49/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.78, expected move of 21.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction49/100
Expected move21.6%
Put/call volume0.78
Pressure16
Speculation42
Volatility96
Trend agreement90
Open options detail
Insider activity8 / 5

8 acquisitions and 5 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment56/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 51 relevant articles.

20 positive · 26 neutral · 5 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings2dNext report is scheduled for 03 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move21.6%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-34.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility17.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+58.6%Week of 8 May.
Worst week-13.7%Week of 22 May.
Latest week+3.5%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains8
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses5
Recent vol17.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol10.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew7.7% / -4.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape61/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 61/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis79/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 11/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.85; 9 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 55.11%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 55.11% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors51/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 39 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options60/100

STRL shows volatility options pressure with a 49/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.78, expected move of 21.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 21.6% Sentiment56/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 51 relevant articles.

Sterling Infrastructure (NASDAQ:STRL) Shares Gap Up - Still a Buy? Insiders8 / 5

8 acquisitions and 5 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings2d

Next report is scheduled for 03 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.

 Research flow4 items

1 recent research articles and 3 Market Watch posts are available.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 2026660.9 USD3.5%558.0 USD238.2 USD-0.4135.442.5MOn
17 Jul 2026638.6 USD-6.4%546.5 USD234.3 USD0.0330.493.8MOn
10 Jul 2026682.3 USD-2.6%535.5 USD230.6 USD0.4135.363.0MOn
3 Jul 2026700.8 USD-12.9%523.3 USD226.6 USD0.7943.543.0MOn
26 Jun 2026804.8 USD-6.6%510.7 USD222.5 USD1.2068.907.8MOn
19 Jun 2026861.9 USD0.3%495.4 USD217.7 USD1.3176.352.9MOn
12 Jun 2026859.0 USD-2.7%477.2 USD212.5 USD1.3584.483.1MOn
5 Jun 2026882.4 USD2.5%459.8 USD207.3 USD1.5198.643.7MOn
29 May 2026860.8 USD17.5%443.0 USD202.0 USD1.6590.053.0MOn
22 May 2026732.9 USD-13.7%426.9 USD196.8 USD1.6870.803.2MOn
15 May 2026848.8 USD0.5%415.1 USD192.4 USD1.69104.542.9MOn
8 May 2026844.8 USD58.6%398.7 USD187.2 USD1.50108.626.3MOn
1 May 2026532.7 USD7.1%381.7 USD182.1 USD1.2042.742.0MOn
24 Apr 2026497.2 USD7.2%375.6 USD178.9 USD0.9437.441.8MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.