PCAR VIE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

PACCAR Inc · Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

Latest close 115.3 EUR
-1.7% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 11.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 83.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.7%, after a 10.4% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 54/100.

Setup score 71 out of 100
Latest Close 115.3 EUR 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -1.7% latest completed week
4W Return 10.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return 19.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 73.1% 38 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 10.4x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 6-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 5 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 11.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 83.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.7%, after a 10.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 10.4x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.5912-week average 0.51

12-week confirmation

Trend active7/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure4/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership2/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.59Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers55 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 5 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 10.4% over four weeks, 19.3% over 12 weeks, and 41.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 6 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-1.7%
4W10.4%
12W19.3%
26W13.0%
52W41.0%
Active trend streak6 weeks
Active weeks in one year38
Trend breadth73.1%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.87Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change610.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership0.93Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change109.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 23 relevant articles.

5 positive · 17 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-6.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.1%Week of 5 Jun.
Worst week-5.4%Week of 1 May.
Latest week-1.7%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses10
Sharp losses3
Recent vol3.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.4% / -1.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026115.3 EUR-1.7%103.8 EUR89.63 EUR0.870.931.4KOn
24 Jul 2026117.4 EUR5.6%103.1 EUR89.32 EUR0.552.68315On
17 Jul 2026111.2 EUR1.2%102.4 EUR89.01 EUR0.25-1.350On
10 Jul 2026109.8 EUR5.1%101.8 EUR88.75 EUR0.06-4.350On
3 Jul 2026104.4 EUR-1.8%101.3 EUR88.48 EUR-0.17-10.250On
26 Jun 2026106.4 EUR2.6%100.9 EUR88.24 EUR-0.31-6.550On
19 Jun 2026103.6 EUR1.0%100.3 EUR87.99 EUR-0.64-10.780Off
12 Jun 2026102.6 EUR-0.0%99.77 EUR87.73 EUR-0.89-8.010Off
5 Jun 2026102.7 EUR8.1%99.03 EUR87.49 EUR-1.07-5.510Off
29 May 202694.98 EUR0.9%98.36 EUR87.23 EUR-1.18-13.6037Off
22 May 202694.15 EUR-1.6%97.97 EUR87.00 EUR-0.94-12.240Off
15 May 202695.72 EUR-1.0%97.62 EUR86.78 EUR-0.59-9.150On
8 May 202696.66 EUR-5.0%97.03 EUR86.54 EUR-0.35-8.870On
1 May 2026101.8 EUR-5.4%96.42 EUR86.30 EUR-0.11-2.77194On
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.