THCH NASDAQ Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

TH International Limited · Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants

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Latest close 1.65 USD
-7.3% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -16.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 20.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -7.3%, after a 3.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is mixed with 27/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 52/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 26d.

Setup score 26 out of 100
Latest Close 1.65 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return -7.3% latest completed week
4W Return 3.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return -21.4% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 0.0% 0 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.7x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -7.3% Latest completed week; four-week move 3.1%. Indicator stack 0/47 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 42.60% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Mixed 27/100 conviction; expected move 45.3%. News sentiment 52/100 11 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 26d Next report is scheduled for 25 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -16.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 20.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -7.3%, after a 3.1% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.7x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1412-week average 0.12

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.14Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 3.1% over four weeks, -21.4% over 12 weeks, and -43.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-7.3%
4W3.1%
12W-21.4%
26W-23.5%
52W-43.9%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.41Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change54.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-32.65Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change19.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 76% Model confidence 73%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength35/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 66; rank 1 is best.
Value43/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 58; rank 1 is best.
Quality42/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 59; rank 1 is best.
Momentum43/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 58; rank 1 is best.
Growth43/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 58; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.0x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-1.7%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
10.9%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-26.1%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-2.6%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-49.6%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-6.9%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
3/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-7.9x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

THCH shows mixed options pressure with a 27/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 45.3%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction27/100
Expected move45.3%
Put/call volume
Pressure9
Speculation0
Volatility96
Trend agreement54
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 11 relevant articles.

3 positive · 6 neutral · 2 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings26dNext report is scheduled for 25 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move45.3%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-49.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher9 of 2617 weeks finished lower.
Best week+21.3%Week of 27 Feb.
Worst week-10.9%Week of 6 Feb.
Latest week-7.3%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses10
Recent vol6.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split18/34Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.1% / -4.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape23/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 23/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis20/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 5/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.14; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 42.60%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 42.60% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors39/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Tiny Titans rank 59; Buyback Yield rank 52; Small Cap Core rank 59 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options45/100

THCH shows mixed options pressure with a 27/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 45.3%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 45.3% Sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 11 relevant articles.

TH International (NASDAQ: THCH) issues first US$15.8M tranche of 2029 senior secured convertible notes Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings26d

Next report is scheduled for 25 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 20261.65 USD-7.3%1.98 USD4.30 USD-0.41-32.6557.4KOff
17 Jul 20261.78 USD-1.1%2.00 USD4.38 USD-0.51-29.569.0KOff
10 Jul 20261.80 USD-4.8%2.01 USD4.46 USD-0.70-32.6617.2KOff
3 Jul 20261.89 USD18.1%2.03 USD4.54 USD-0.80-29.1236.5KOff
26 Jun 20261.60 USD-1.2%2.06 USD4.62 USD-0.89-40.3272.3KOff
19 Jun 20261.62 USD-6.4%2.09 USD4.70 USD-0.59-43.179.1KOff
12 Jun 20261.73 USD-5.5%2.12 USD4.77 USD-0.17-38.6426.5KOff
5 Jun 20261.83 USD-8.5%2.15 USD4.85 USD0.16-34.4559.7KOff
29 May 20262.00 USD0.8%2.18 USD4.93 USD0.42-32.4420.3KOff
22 May 20261.99 USD-1.2%2.20 USD5.01 USD0.56-31.9723.7KOff
15 May 20262.01 USD5.2%2.22 USD5.10 USD0.54-31.1811.1KOff
8 May 20261.91 USD-9.0%2.23 USD5.19 USD0.48-35.5252.6KOff
1 May 20262.10 USD-0.9%2.25 USD5.29 USD0.27-26.1354.9KOff
24 Apr 20262.12 USD1.0%2.27 USD5.41 USD0.07-25.226.4KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.