4539 JPX Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Nippon Chemiphar Co., Ltd. · Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic

Latest close 1,660 JPY
1.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 0.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 58.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.8%, after a 7.1% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.

Setup score 49 out of 100
Latest Close 1,660 JPY 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 1.8% latest completed week
4W Return 7.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return -0.4% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 71.2% 37 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.4x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 0.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 58.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.8%, after a 7.1% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.4x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.2012-week average 0.52

12-week confirmation

Trend active3/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.20Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 7.1% over four weeks, -0.4% over 12 weeks, and 11.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W1.8%
4W7.1%
12W-0.4%
26W1.8%
52W11.2%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year37
Trend breadth71.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.11Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change91.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-13.50Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change51.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 2 relevant articles.

0 positive · 2 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-8.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher10 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.2%Week of 10 Jul.
Worst week-4.3%Week of 17 Jul.
Latest week+1.8%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains2
Modest gains8
Flat weeks1
Modest losses14
Sharp losses1
Recent vol3.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.2% / -1.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20261,660 JPY1.8%1,651 JPY1,525 JPY-0.11-13.507.2KOff
24 Jul 20261,630 JPY0.6%1,647 JPY1,525 JPY-0.41-15.973.1KOff
17 Jul 20261,620 JPY-4.3%1,644 JPY1,525 JPY-0.65-16.413.0KOff
10 Jul 20261,692 JPY9.2%1,639 JPY1,526 JPY-0.89-18.919.3KOff
3 Jul 20261,550 JPY-1.1%1,632 JPY1,526 JPY-1.31-27.537.5KOff
26 Jun 20261,568 JPY3.2%1,630 JPY1,527 JPY-1.44-26.961.9KOff
19 Jun 20261,520 JPY-0.5%1,628 JPY1,528 JPY-1.36-31.662.4KOff
12 Jun 20261,528 JPY-1.7%1,627 JPY1,529 JPY-1.18-26.61800Off
5 Jun 20261,555 JPY-3.5%1,625 JPY1,530 JPY-0.99-26.61600Off
29 May 20261,611 JPY-1.5%1,623 JPY1,531 JPY-0.83-24.3410.4KOn
22 May 20261,635 JPY-3.1%1,623 JPY1,531 JPY-0.71-20.2312.4KOn
15 May 20261,687 JPY1.3%1,620 JPY1,532 JPY-0.63-15.755.4KOn
8 May 20261,666 JPY-0.9%1,615 JPY1,531 JPY-0.48-19.011.7KOn
1 May 20261,681 JPY-0.5%1,611 JPY1,531 JPY-0.22-14.5410.4KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.