SAP TOR Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Saputo Inc. · Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods

Latest close 39.43 CAD
-1.3% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -5.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 66.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.3%, after a -4.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 44/100.

Setup score 43 out of 100
Latest Close 39.43 CAD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -1.3% latest completed week
4W Return -4.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return -4.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 82.7% 43 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.3x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 13 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -5.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 66.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.3%, after a -4.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.3x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.6112-week average 0.63

12-week confirmation

Trend active3/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership5/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.61Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers1313 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 13 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -4.4% over four weeks, -4.0% over 12 weeks, and 40.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-1.3%
4W-4.4%
12W-4.0%
26W-3.6%
52W40.3%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year43
Trend breadth82.7%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.48Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change49.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-7.65Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-192.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 87%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength86/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 15; rank 1 is best.
Value68/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 33; rank 1 is best.
Quality73/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 28; rank 1 is best.
Momentum72/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 29; rank 1 is best.
Growth25/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 76; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework49/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
23.8x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.9x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
11.5x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
6.2%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
33.0%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
5.9%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
6.7%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
8.1%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-1.5%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
44.7%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
8/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
2.0%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
4.3%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
6.3%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.7x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment44/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 14 relevant articles.

1 positive · 9 neutral · 4 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-12.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+4.9%Week of 22 May.
Worst week-15.5%Week of 17 Apr.
Latest week-1.3%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains3
Modest gains11
Flat weeks0
Modest losses10
Sharp losses2
Recent vol2.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split31/21Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.8% / -2.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202639.43 CAD-1.3%41.64 CAD30.49 CAD-0.48-7.654.1MOff
24 Jul 202639.95 CAD-6.2%41.69 CAD30.41 CAD-0.51-6.693.4MOff
17 Jul 202642.59 CAD2.6%41.72 CAD30.32 CAD-0.60-0.083.6MOff
10 Jul 202641.53 CAD0.7%41.66 CAD30.21 CAD-0.84-2.402.9MOff
3 Jul 202641.26 CAD-2.8%41.63 CAD30.12 CAD-0.95-2.612.5MOff
26 Jun 202642.44 CAD2.7%41.55 CAD30.02 CAD-1.001.211.2MOn
19 Jun 202641.31 CAD-1.2%41.44 CAD29.93 CAD-1.05-1.131.7MOff
12 Jun 202641.81 CAD-1.9%41.35 CAD29.84 CAD-1.080.451.5MOff
5 Jun 202642.64 CAD1.4%41.20 CAD29.75 CAD-1.224.371.4MOn
29 May 202642.04 CAD1.5%40.95 CAD29.66 CAD-1.282.314.4MOn
22 May 202641.41 CAD4.9%40.67 CAD29.60 CAD-1.382.024.3MOff
15 May 202639.48 CAD-3.8%40.42 CAD29.55 CAD-1.45-0.563.9MOff
8 May 202641.05 CAD0.7%40.22 CAD29.51 CAD-1.362.974.7MOn
1 May 202640.78 CAD2.3%39.95 CAD29.46 CAD-0.993.204.9MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.