COP NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

ConocoPhillips · Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

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Latest close 120.5 USD
0.2% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 5.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 71.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.2%, after a 15.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is mixed with 33/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 56/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 4d.

Setup score 61 out of 100
Latest Close 120.5 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 0.2% latest completed week
4W Return 15.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return 6.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 57.7% 30 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 56.05% based on similar historical setup states.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 0.2% Latest completed week; four-week move 15.0%. Indicator stack 32/42 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 56.05% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Mixed 33/100 conviction; expected move 1.7%. News sentiment 56/100 41 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 4d Next report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 5.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 71.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.2%, after a 15.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.3312-week average 0.62

12-week confirmation

Trend active7/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership8/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.33Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 15.0% over four weeks, 6.6% over 12 weeks, and 34.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W0.2%
4W15.0%
12W6.6%
26W17.3%
52W34.2%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year30
Trend breadth57.7%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.60Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change37.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership6.62Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change200.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 96%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength94/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 7; rank 1 is best.
Value82/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 19; rank 1 is best.
Quality83/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 18; rank 1 is best.
Momentum74/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 27; rank 1 is best.
Growth10/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 91; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework63/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
20.0x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
2.5x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
6.7x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
20.7%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
29.2%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
21.8%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
58.1%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
9.8%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
1.8%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-23.1%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
0.2%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
2.7%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
3.1%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
5.9%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.7x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

COP shows mixed options pressure with a 33/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.17, expected move of 1.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction33/100
Expected move1.7%
Put/call volume1.17
Pressure-4
Speculation41
Volatility34
Trend agreement73
Open options detail
Insider activity7 / 9

7 acquisitions and 9 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment56/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 41 relevant articles.

18 positive · 20 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings4dNext report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move1.7%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-10.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.3%Week of 15 May.
Worst week-7.9%Week of 19 Jun.
Latest week+0.2%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains8
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses5
Recent vol4.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split31/21Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.3% / -3.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape55/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 55/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis42/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 7/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 8/12.

Activity pressure 0.33; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 56.05%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 56.05% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors83/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 17 SVQF63/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 378.5 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options52/100

COP shows mixed options pressure with a 33/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.17, expected move of 1.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 1.7% Sentiment56/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 41 relevant articles.

CCA Louisiana, ConocoPhillips and LDWF Launch Habitat Restoration at Historic Pelto Island "Sulphur Mine" Insiders7 / 9

7 acquisitions and 9 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings4d

Next report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026120.5 USD0.2%114.1 USD102.7 USD-0.606.6233.3MOff
24 Jul 2026120.3 USD4.8%113.3 USD102.6 USD-0.897.8027.9MOff
17 Jul 2026114.7 USD5.2%112.3 USD102.5 USD-1.062.4429.1MOff
10 Jul 2026109.0 USD4.1%111.5 USD102.4 USD-1.02-3.9934.8MOff
3 Jul 2026104.7 USD-1.2%111.0 USD102.3 USD-0.95-6.5928.9MOff
26 Jun 2026106.0 USD-1.7%110.6 USD102.3 USD-0.83-3.5240.5MOn
19 Jun 2026107.7 USD-7.9%109.9 USD102.2 USD-0.81-4.2149.0MOn
12 Jun 2026117.0 USD-0.1%109.2 USD102.1 USD-0.794.8233.1MOn
5 Jun 2026117.1 USD2.8%108.3 USD101.9 USD-0.715.5431.5MOn
29 May 2026114.0 USD-5.4%107.2 USD101.8 USD-0.620.3331.4MOn
22 May 2026120.5 USD-1.6%106.3 USD101.7 USD-0.317.7028.2MOn
15 May 2026122.4 USD8.3%105.1 USD101.5 USD-0.0610.6531.4MOn
8 May 2026113.0 USD-7.6%103.9 USD101.3 USD0.122.6046.6MOn
1 May 2026122.3 USD1.2%103.0 USD101.1 USD0.4413.6248.9MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.