- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 55.32% based on similar historical setup states.
BIRD
JKT
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
PT Blue Bird Tbk · Industrials · Railroads
Latest close
1,610 IDR
0.0%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 1.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 47.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.0%, after a 6.3% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 49/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
56
out of 100
Latest Close
1,610 IDR
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
0.0%
latest completed week
4W Return
6.3%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
13.0%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
26.9%
14 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.7x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
0.0%
Latest completed week; four-week move 6.3%.
Indicator stack
15/83
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Recent
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 55.32%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
49/100
12 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 1.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 47.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.0%, after a 6.3% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1712-week average 0.09
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure4/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership11/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.17Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 6.3% over four weeks, 13.0% over 12 weeks, and -16.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year14
Trend breadth26.9%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.63Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change269.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership15.95Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change0.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment49/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 12 relevant articles.
1 positive · 10 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalRecent
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-17.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
6 Mar
3 Apr
1 May
29 May
26 Jun
31 Jul
Weeks higher12 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.8%Week of 19 Jun.
Worst week-14.6%Week of 1 May.
Latest week+0.0%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains2
Modest gains10
Flat weeks4
Modest losses8
Sharp losses2
Recent vol3.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.4% / -2.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorID Industrials
4-week rank41 / 100
Group average7.7%
Trend breadth13.0%
Trend13.0%active weekly trend signals
MD35.0%positive activity pressure
RS66.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryID Railroads
4-week rank3 / 5
Group average6.0%
Trend breadth0.0%
Trend0.0%active weekly trend signals
MD20.0%positive activity pressure
RS80.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape53/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 53/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis36/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 4/12, relative leadership 11/12.
Activity pressure 0.17; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 55.32%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 55.32% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalRecentActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks Sentiment49/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 12 relevant articles.
Renaissance Technologies LLC Sells 47,900 Shares of Blue Bird Corporation $BLBD Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 1,610 IDR | 0.0% | 1,591 IDR | 1,651 IDR | 0.63 | 15.95 | 3.2M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 1,610 IDR | 0.0% | 1,594 IDR | 1,654 IDR | 0.52 | 16.72 | 5.1M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 1,610 IDR | 3.5% | 1,597 IDR | 1,657 IDR | 0.33 | 17.18 | 2.8M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 1,555 IDR | 2.6% | 1,600 IDR | 1,658 IDR | 0.08 | 17.98 | 2.8M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 1,515 IDR | -0.3% | 1,605 IDR | 1,660 IDR | -0.37 | 15.93 | 6.7M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 1,519 IDR | 0.6% | 1,612 IDR | 1,662 IDR | -0.87 | 15.72 | 4.9M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 1,510 IDR | 8.8% | 1,620 IDR | 1,663 IDR | -1.29 | 9.74 | 2.4M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 1,388 IDR | 5.1% | 1,628 IDR | 1,665 IDR | -1.60 | 3.62 | 1.4M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 1,321 IDR | -5.8% | 1,641 IDR | 1,666 IDR | -1.70 | 5.67 | 2.1M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 1,402 IDR | 0.3% | 1,657 IDR | 1,667 IDR | -1.60 | 2.26 | 3.5M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 1,397 IDR | -1.0% | 1,669 IDR | 1,668 IDR | -1.52 | 1.18 | 6.1M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 1,411 IDR | -0.9% | 1,683 IDR | 1,669 IDR | -1.44 | -6.51 | 2.0M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 1,424 IDR | 2.3% | 1,693 IDR | 1,670 IDR | -1.14 | -9.23 | 15.2M | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 1,393 IDR | -14.6% | 1,707 IDR | 1,671 IDR | -1.11 | -11.38 | 12.8M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.