ALL NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

The Allstate Corporation · Financial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty

Latest close 264.1 USD
1.6% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 21.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 85.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.6%, after a 5.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is mixed with 33/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 49/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 4d.

Setup score 72 out of 100
Latest Close 264.1 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 1.6% latest completed week
4W Return 5.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return 24.8% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 86.5% 45 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 23-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 13 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 21.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 85.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.6%, after a 5.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.8512-week average 0.76

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership6/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.85Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers1313 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 13 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 5.5% over four weeks, 24.8% over 12 weeks, and 34.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 23 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W1.6%
4W5.5%
12W24.8%
26W34.1%
52W34.9%
Active trend streak23 weeks
Active weeks in one year45
Trend breadth86.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.72Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change6.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership15.22Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change44.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 96%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength95/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 6; rank 1 is best.
Value95/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 6; rank 1 is best.
Quality66/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 35; rank 1 is best.
Momentum78/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 23; rank 1 is best.
Growth85/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 16; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
5.5x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.0x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
4.6x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
15.7%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
39.8%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
23.8%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
17.7%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
32.4%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
3.7%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
200.3%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
25.2%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.6%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
2.6%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
4.2%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.4x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

ALL shows mixed options pressure with a 33/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.89, expected move of 6.5%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction33/100
Expected move6.5%
Put/call volume0.89
Pressure0
Speculation13
Volatility49
Trend agreement97
Open options detail
Insider activity14 / 6

14 acquisitions and 6 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment49/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 26 relevant articles.

6 positive · 13 neutral · 7 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings4dNext report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move6.5%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-4.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.5%Week of 26 Jun.
Worst week-4.9%Week of 29 May.
Latest week+1.6%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses11
Sharp losses1
Recent vol3.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.1% / -1.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026264.1 USD1.6%217.4 USD180.0 USD1.7215.228.1MOn
24 Jul 2026260.0 USD4.0%215.3 USD179.0 USD1.7114.926.1MOn
17 Jul 2026249.9 USD-0.7%213.5 USD178.0 USD1.8710.159.9MOn
10 Jul 2026251.6 USD0.5%211.9 USD177.0 USD1.809.408.3MOn
3 Jul 2026250.3 USD4.5%210.4 USD176.0 USD1.6210.516.9MOn
26 Jun 2026239.6 USD8.5%208.7 USD175.1 USD1.498.2211.9MOn
19 Jun 2026220.8 USD-0.2%207.7 USD174.2 USD0.86-2.589.1MOn
12 Jun 2026221.2 USD0.3%207.4 USD173.4 USD0.80-1.666.9MOn
5 Jun 2026220.6 USD7.8%207.1 USD172.7 USD0.80-1.588.5MOn
29 May 2026204.6 USD-4.9%206.4 USD171.9 USD0.80-11.236.8MOn
22 May 2026215.1 USD-0.4%205.8 USD171.3 USD1.25-5.8210.3MOn
15 May 2026215.8 USD2.0%205.0 USD170.6 USD1.14-5.017.7MOn
8 May 2026211.7 USD-1.6%204.2 USD169.9 USD1.03-6.989.3MOn
1 May 2026215.1 USD1.6%203.9 USD169.2 USD0.85-3.657.7MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.