CAR GER Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Carrefour SA · Consumer Defensive · Grocery Stores

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Latest close 15.97 EUR
4.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 5.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 86.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.0%, after a 0.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 52/100.

Setup score 61 out of 100
Latest Close 15.97 EUR 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 4.0% latest completed week
4W Return 0.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return -1.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 94.2% 49 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 44-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 5 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 4.0% Latest completed week; four-week move 0.4%. Indicator stack 97/7 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. News sentiment 52/100 10 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 5.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 86.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.0%, after a 0.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.8x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.8812-week average 0.97

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure8/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.88Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers55 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 5 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 0.4% over four weeks, -1.3% over 12 weeks, and 37.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 44 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W4.0%
4W0.4%
12W-1.3%
26W22.4%
52W37.1%
Active trend streak44 weeks
Active weeks in one year49
Trend breadth94.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.41Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-444.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership8.18Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-11.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 91%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength86/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 15; rank 1 is best.
Value90/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 11; rank 1 is best.
Quality21/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 80; rank 1 is best.
Momentum78/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 23; rank 1 is best.
Growth8/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 93; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework65/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
34.4x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.1x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
4.9x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
10.6%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
19.1%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
2.5%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
2.9%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
7.2%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
0.7%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-59.7%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-1.5%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
6.2%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.5%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
6.8%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
2.4x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 10 relevant articles.

1 positive · 9 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-4.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher18 of 268 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.3%Week of 6 Feb.
Worst week-7.3%Week of 24 Jul.
Latest week+4.0%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains12
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses3
Recent vol3.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split32/20Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.5% / -2.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryDE Grocery Stores
4-week rank2 / 3
Group average0.6%
Trend breadth66.7%
Trend66.7%active weekly trend signals
MD33.3%positive activity pressure
RS66.7%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

TCO0 · GER5.6%CAR · GER0.4%AHOG · GER-4.0%
08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape63/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 63/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis74/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.88; 5 reversal markers Factors67/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 33; Small Cap Core rank 11 SVQF65/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 132.5 of 372 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 10 relevant articles.

Carrefour stock dips after H1 operating profit misses forecasts Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202615.97 EUR4.0%15.20 EUR13.12 EUR-0.418.1844.0KOn
24 Jul 202615.36 EUR-7.3%15.12 EUR13.12 EUR-0.396.6563.0KOn
17 Jul 202616.56 EUR1.8%15.05 EUR13.12 EUR-0.2416.6726.5KOn
10 Jul 202616.27 EUR2.3%14.95 EUR13.10 EUR-0.3714.2926.2KOn
3 Jul 202615.91 EUR-1.7%14.86 EUR13.09 EUR0.129.2721.4KOn
26 Jun 202616.18 EUR4.1%14.75 EUR13.08 EUR0.6316.657.3KOn
19 Jun 202615.54 EUR-7.1%14.63 EUR13.06 EUR1.0111.363.7KOn
12 Jun 202616.73 EUR2.5%14.52 EUR13.05 EUR1.5022.022.9KOn
5 Jun 202616.31 EUR1.6%14.38 EUR13.03 EUR1.4519.0440.4KOn
29 May 202616.05 EUR-0.6%14.24 EUR13.01 EUR1.4616.1325.9KOn
22 May 202616.15 EUR0.2%14.12 EUR13.00 EUR1.5118.3524.6KOn
15 May 202616.12 EUR-0.4%13.99 EUR12.98 EUR1.6023.2614.8KOn
8 May 202616.18 EUR1.0%13.87 EUR12.97 EUR1.6822.4721.3KOn
1 May 202616.02 EUR2.6%13.74 EUR12.96 EUR1.6722.1611.3KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.