AHOG GER Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize N.V. · Consumer Defensive · Grocery Stores

Latest close 34.45 EUR
2.5% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -7.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 27.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.5%, after a -4.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 56/100.

Setup score 45 out of 100
Latest Close 34.45 EUR 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 2.5% latest completed week
4W Return -4.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return -7.8% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 42.3% 22 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 3.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -7.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 27.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.5%, after a -4.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 3.0x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1012-week average 0.44

12-week confirmation

Trend active2/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure1/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.10Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -4.0% over four weeks, -7.8% over 12 weeks, and 2.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W2.5%
4W-4.0%
12W-7.8%
26W6.7%
52W2.9%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year22
Trend breadth42.3%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.79Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change20.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-9.50Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-50.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 90%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength91/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 10; rank 1 is best.
Value91/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 10; rank 1 is best.
Quality74/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 27; rank 1 is best.
Momentum40/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 61; rank 1 is best.
Growth79/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 22; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework72/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
13.1x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.3x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
4.2x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
16.9%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
26.6%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
3.4%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
5.8%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
14.2%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
3.4%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
32.2%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
12.7%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
3.7%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
3.9%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
7.5%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.2x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment56/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 2 relevant articles.

1 positive · 1 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-17.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+13.8%Week of 13 Feb.
Worst week-7.3%Week of 24 Jul.
Latest week+2.5%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains10
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses3
Recent vol3.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.4% / -2.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryDE Grocery Stores
4-week rank3 / 3
Group average0.6%
Trend breadth66.7%
Trend66.7%active weekly trend signals
MD33.3%positive activity pressure
RS66.7%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202634.45 EUR2.5%37.17 EUR31.20 EUR-0.79-9.5026.9KOff
24 Jul 202633.62 EUR-7.3%37.16 EUR31.16 EUR-0.80-9.9220.0KOff
17 Jul 202636.26 EUR0.9%37.17 EUR31.13 EUR-0.83-1.854.6KOff
10 Jul 202635.95 EUR0.1%37.10 EUR31.08 EUR-0.96-3.552.4KOff
3 Jul 202635.90 EUR1.3%37.05 EUR31.02 EUR-0.99-6.304.8KOff
26 Jun 202635.44 EUR1.8%37.00 EUR30.97 EUR-1.12-3.436.3KOff
19 Jun 202634.80 EUR-4.2%36.99 EUR30.93 EUR-1.14-6.34506Off
12 Jun 202636.32 EUR1.3%36.99 EUR30.88 EUR-0.97-0.98239Off
5 Jun 202635.84 EUR-1.0%36.96 EUR30.82 EUR-0.88-2.76448Off
29 May 202636.20 EUR-1.4%36.95 EUR30.76 EUR-0.55-3.147.0KOff
22 May 202636.70 EUR-0.2%36.92 EUR30.69 EUR-0.23-1.0217.5KOn
15 May 202636.79 EUR-1.5%36.90 EUR30.63 EUR0.083.016.2KOn
8 May 202637.36 EUR-6.9%36.88 EUR30.57 EUR0.422.9819.4KOn
1 May 202640.12 EUR-2.8%36.82 EUR30.51 EUR0.6610.834.1KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.