- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
WEN
NASDAQ
Week ended 24 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
The Wendy’s Co · Consumer Cyclical · Restaurants
Latest close
6.99 USD
-9.9%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -5.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 22.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -9.9%, after a -10.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is volatility with 51/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 49/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 8d.
Setup score
22
out of 100
Latest Close
6.99 USD
24 Jul 2026
1W Return
-9.9%
latest completed week
4W Return
-10.4%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
6.2%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
0.0%
0 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.4x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 43.84% based on similar historical setup states.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-9.9%
Latest completed week; four-week move -10.4%.
Indicator stack
0/68
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Recent
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 43.84%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
Options pressure
Volatility
51/100 conviction; expected move 9.9%.
News sentiment
49/100
10 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
8d
Next report is scheduled for 07 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -5.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 22.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -9.9%, after a -10.4% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.4x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.3412-week average 0.26
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure11/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.34Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals2Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -10.4% over four weeks, 6.2% over 12 weeks, and -30.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.83Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change35.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-20.07Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-15.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025
Field coverage 97%
Model confidence 93%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength56/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 45; rank 1 is best.
Value81/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 20; rank 1 is best.
Quality34/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 67; rank 1 is best.
Momentum12/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 89; rank 1 is best.
Growth6/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 95; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework55/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 9.0x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 0.6x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 9.8x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 8.3% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 26.5% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 15.3% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 18.9% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 6.4% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- -1.8% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- -22.5% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -4.8% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 4/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 8.0% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 5.7% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 13.7% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 7.2x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningVolatility
WEN shows volatility options pressure with a 51/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.13, expected move of 9.9%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Conviction51/100
Expected move9.9%
Put/call volume0.13
Insider activity20 / 0
20 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.News sentiment49/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 10 relevant articles.
1 positive · 7 neutral · 2 negativePatient CapitalRecent
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings8dNext report is scheduled for 07 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move9.9%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-31.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility8.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
30 Jan
27 Feb
27 Mar
24 Apr
22 May
19 Jun
24 Jul
Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+14.7%Week of 26 Jun.
Worst week-12.2%Week of 10 Jul.
Latest week-9.9%Week of 24 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains5
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses8
Recent vol8.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.8% / -4.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank- / 100
Group average-0.8%
Trend breadth36.0%
Trend36.0%active weekly trend signals
MD53.0%positive activity pressure
RS31.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Restaurants
4-week rank40 / 51
Group average-7.3%
Trend breadth39.2%
Trend39.2%active weekly trend signals
MD64.7%positive activity pressure
RS29.4%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape21/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 21/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis34/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 11/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.34; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 43.84%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 43.84% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors45/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 10; Small Cap Core rank 12 SVQF55/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 328.5 of 726 Patient CapitalRecentActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks Options35/100WEN shows volatility options pressure with a 51/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.13, expected move of 9.9%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 9.9% Sentiment49/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 10 relevant articles.
The Wendy's Company to Report Second Quarter 2026 Results on August 7 Insiders20 / 020 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Earnings8dNext report is scheduled for 07 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2026 | 6.99 USD | -9.9% | 7.37 USD | 12.66 USD | 0.83 | -20.07 | 31.4M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 7.76 USD | 2.8% | 7.41 USD | 12.73 USD | 1.13 | -13.67 | 47.0M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 7.55 USD | -12.2% | 7.42 USD | 12.80 USD | 0.98 | -20.25 | 65.2M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 8.60 USD | 10.3% | 7.45 USD | 12.87 USD | 0.82 | -8.63 | 127.4M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 7.80 USD | 14.7% | 7.43 USD | 12.93 USD | 0.61 | -17.34 | 420.7M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 6.80 USD | 0.1% | 7.44 USD | 12.99 USD | 0.47 | -32.03 | 29.1M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 6.79 USD | 1.2% | 7.47 USD | 13.06 USD | 0.69 | -31.51 | 31.4M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 6.71 USD | -11.3% | 7.52 USD | 13.14 USD | 0.98 | -31.76 | 49.0M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 7.57 USD | -1.4% | 7.58 USD | 13.22 USD | 1.12 | -27.65 | 41.9M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 7.67 USD | -2.6% | 7.60 USD | 13.29 USD | 0.70 | -25.51 | 54.5M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 7.88 USD | 9.9% | 7.62 USD | 13.36 USD | 0.34 | -23.62 | 114.9M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 7.17 USD | 9.0% | 7.64 USD | 13.43 USD | -0.21 | -31.67 | 62.6M | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 6.58 USD | -6.2% | 7.68 USD | 13.51 USD | -0.67 | -34.91 | 39.8M | Off |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 7.01 USD | 2.7% | 7.76 USD | 13.59 USD | -0.70 | -30.81 | 38.6M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.