SERV NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Serve Robotics Inc. Common Stock · Industrials · Specialty Industrial Machinery

Latest close 4.78 USD
-0.6% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -45.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 3.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.6%, after a -24.2% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bullish with 38/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 51/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 4d.

Setup score 17 out of 100
Latest Close 4.78 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -0.6% latest completed week
4W Return -24.2% short-term follow-through
12W Return -45.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 32.7% 17 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -45.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 3.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.6%, after a -24.2% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0112-week average 0.03

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure1/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.01Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -24.2% over four weeks, -45.5% over 12 weeks, and -52.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-0.6%
4W-24.2%
12W-45.5%
26W-54.2%
52W-52.2%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year17
Trend breadth32.7%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.18Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-128.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-56.63Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-18.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 82% Model confidence 78%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength4/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 97; rank 1 is best.
Value29/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 72; rank 1 is best.
Quality2/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 99; rank 1 is best.
Momentum4/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 97; rank 1 is best.
Growth90/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 11; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
78.8x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-20.8%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
-441.1%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-2723.0%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-1472.3%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-38.5%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
297.7%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
2/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-42.8%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-42.8%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.3x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

SERV shows bullish options pressure with a 38/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.54, expected move of 13.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction38/100
Expected move13.6%
Put/call volume0.54
Pressure36
Speculation41
Volatility96
Trend agreement16
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 65 relevant articles.

12 positive · 45 neutral · 8 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings4dNext report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move13.6%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-74.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher9 of 2617 weeks finished lower.
Best week+15.9%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-17.1%Week of 5 Jun.
Latest week-0.6%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses11
Recent vol7.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol11.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split20/31Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew10.9% / -8.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20264.78 USD-0.6%8.76 USD9.46 USD-1.18-56.6317.0MOff
24 Jul 20264.81 USD-5.5%8.99 USD9.50 USD-1.08-56.7013.1MOff
17 Jul 20265.09 USD-14.0%9.17 USD9.54 USD-0.90-55.6314.3MOff
10 Jul 20265.92 USD-6.2%9.34 USD9.58 USD-0.71-51.3113.9MOff
3 Jul 20266.31 USD5.0%9.55 USD9.61 USD-0.51-47.7614.9MOff
26 Jun 20266.01 USD-14.0%9.79 USD9.63 USD-0.32-50.4125.1MOff
19 Jun 20266.99 USD0.3%9.93 USD9.66 USD-0.01-45.6827.8MOff
12 Jun 20266.97 USD-10.1%9.98 USD9.69 USD0.05-45.0231.0MOff
5 Jun 20267.75 USD-17.1%10.06 USD9.71 USD-0.00-38.2135.9MOff
29 May 20269.35 USD7.5%10.16 USD9.72 USD-0.09-29.8427.1MOff
22 May 20268.70 USD5.6%10.29 USD9.73 USD-0.45-33.5318.6MOff
15 May 20268.24 USD-6.0%10.46 USD9.74 USD-0.68-36.9627.7MOff
8 May 20268.77 USD-6.7%10.67 USD9.75 USD-0.82-33.7620.8MOff
1 May 20269.40 USD2.0%10.87 USD9.76 USD-1.04-25.3314.1MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.