DE NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Deere & Company · Industrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

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Latest close 592.7 USD
-5.6% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 2.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 67.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -5.6%, after a -4.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is volatility with 46/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 53/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 12d.

Setup score 53 out of 100
Latest Close 592.7 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -5.6% latest completed week
4W Return -4.6% short-term follow-through
12W Return 3.4% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 57.7% 30 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 26-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • The latest week was a sharp negative move.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the weaker part of its sector group.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -5.6% Latest completed week; four-week move -4.6%. Indicator stack 77/57 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Volatility 46/100 conviction; expected move 5.0%. News sentiment 53/100 50 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 12d Next report is scheduled for 13 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 2.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 67.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -5.6%, after a -4.6% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.6112-week average 0.58

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership9/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.61Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -4.6% over four weeks, 3.4% over 12 weeks, and 19.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 26 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-5.6%
4W-4.6%
12W3.4%
26W12.6%
52W19.5%
Active trend streak26 weeks
Active weeks in one year30
Trend breadth57.7%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.13Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change55.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership2.69Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-66.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 30 Apr 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 100%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength30/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 71; rank 1 is best.
Value9/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 92; rank 1 is best.
Quality74/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 27; rank 1 is best.
Momentum72/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 29; rank 1 is best.
Growth25/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 76; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework38/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
35.5x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
3.6x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
19.7x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
5.4%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
35.4%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
19.5%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
25.8%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
8.4%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
5.4%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-15.4%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-9.6%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.0%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.5%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
1.5%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
4.9x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

DE shows volatility options pressure with a 46/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.20, expected move of 5.0%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction46/100
Expected move5.0%
Put/call volume1.20
Pressure-8
Speculation43
Volatility76
Trend agreement97
Open options detail
Insider activity0 / 1

0 acquisitions and 1 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 50 relevant articles.

17 positive · 25 neutral · 8 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings12dNext report is scheduled for 13 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move5.0%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-11.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.4%Week of 6 Feb.
Worst week-6.3%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week-5.6%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses6
Recent vol4.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.2% / -2.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape56/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 56/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis64/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 5/12, relative leadership 9/12.

Activity pressure 0.61; 2 reversal markers Factors45/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 35 SVQF38/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 632.0 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options61/100

DE shows volatility options pressure with a 46/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.20, expected move of 5.0%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 5.0% Sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 50 relevant articles.

John Deere Rejects UAW Counteroffer, Sticks to Contract Extension Terms Insiders0 / 1

0 acquisitions and 1 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings12d

Next report is scheduled for 13 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.

 Research flow2 items

2 recent research articles and 0 Market Watch posts are available.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026592.7 USD-5.6%576.4 USD450.2 USD0.132.696.1MOn
24 Jul 2026628.2 USD5.2%572.2 USD449.0 USD0.1910.005.7MOn
17 Jul 2026597.2 USD1.8%566.8 USD447.6 USD0.184.064.7MOn
10 Jul 2026586.9 USD-5.5%562.5 USD446.5 USD0.160.695.1MOn
3 Jul 2026621.3 USD1.6%559.0 USD445.3 USD0.087.935.9MOn
26 Jun 2026611.7 USD4.1%554.0 USD443.8 USD-0.068.577.1MOn
19 Jun 2026587.7 USD2.0%549.0 USD442.4 USD-0.391.855.2MOn
12 Jun 2026576.0 USD-1.0%545.5 USD441.1 USD-0.540.535.7MOn
5 Jun 2026582.0 USD7.6%542.1 USD439.9 USD-0.641.959.6MOn
29 May 2026540.8 USD2.5%538.2 USD438.5 USD-0.79-7.816.9MOn
22 May 2026527.8 USD-5.8%535.5 USD437.3 USD-0.72-9.048.3MOn
15 May 2026560.4 USD-2.3%533.5 USD436.2 USD-0.68-2.995.2MOn
8 May 2026573.4 USD-0.4%530.0 USD434.8 USD-0.47-0.864.4MOn
1 May 2026575.8 USD2.3%525.7 USD433.4 USD-0.241.675.2MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.