MOS BUE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

The Mosaic Company · Basic Materials · Agricultural Inputs

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Latest close 6,950 ARS
-3.1% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -5.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 15.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.1%, after a 3.7% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 51/100.

Setup score 35 out of 100
Latest Close 6,950 ARS 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -3.1% latest completed week
4W Return 3.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return 5.2% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 25.0% 13 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.4x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -3.1% Latest completed week; four-week move 3.7%. Indicator stack 14/68 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. News sentiment 51/100 34 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -5.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 15.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.1%, after a 3.7% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.4x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0812-week average 0.03

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.08Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 3.7% over four weeks, 5.2% over 12 weeks, and -27.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-3.1%
4W3.7%
12W5.2%
26W-14.8%
52W-27.3%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year13
Trend breadth25.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.30Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change160.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-30.36Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change12.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 34 relevant articles.

5 positive · 26 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-36.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.0%Week of 13 Mar.
Worst week-19.5%Week of 20 Mar.
Latest week-3.1%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains6
Flat weeks1
Modest losses9
Sharp losses5
Recent vol3.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.7% / -5.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryAR Agricultural Inputs
4-week rank1 / 2
Group average1.9%
Trend breadth50.0%
Trend50.0%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

MOS · BUE3.7%DD · BUE0.0%
08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape30/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 30/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis13/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 2/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.08; No reversal markers Factors50/100

No published factor snapshot is available yet.

 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 34 relevant articles.

Mosaic stock under renewed pressure near 52-week low amid mixed momentum Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20266,950 ARS-3.1%7,386 ARS7,102 ARS0.30-30.3651.1KOff
24 Jul 20267,170 ARS3.1%7,412 ARS7,087 ARS0.09-28.9328.7KOff
17 Jul 20266,955 ARS2.9%7,424 ARS7,068 ARS-0.11-30.1745.0KOff
10 Jul 20266,760 ARS0.9%7,434 ARS7,049 ARS-0.42-34.7119.5KOff
3 Jul 20266,700 ARS-2.7%7,470 ARS7,029 ARS-0.49-34.5937.6KOff
26 Jun 20266,885 ARS-0.1%7,484 ARS7,010 ARS-0.66-32.174.4KOff
19 Jun 20266,895 ARS2.4%7,507 ARS6,988 ARS-0.80-36.251.9KOff
12 Jun 20266,735 ARS-0.2%7,517 ARS6,966 ARS-0.88-39.5621.0KOff
5 Jun 20266,750 ARS-4.5%7,550 ARS6,945 ARS-0.85-34.9015.5KOff
29 May 20267,065 ARS5.1%7,574 ARS6,923 ARS-0.85-34.2334.5KOff
22 May 20266,720 ARS4.5%7,611 ARS6,898 ARS-0.90-31.0124.1KOff
15 May 20266,432 ARS-2.6%7,698 ARS6,876 ARS-0.88-30.99138.9KOff
8 May 20266,606 ARS-4.9%7,782 ARS6,857 ARS-0.95-31.1359.1KOff
1 May 20266,944 ARS-2.4%7,884 ARS6,835 ARS-0.90-29.6767.6KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.