UAL NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

United Airlines Holdings Inc · Industrials · Airlines

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Latest close 121.3 USD
2.6% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 13.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 67.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.6%, after a -9.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bearish with 47/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 53/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 81d.

Setup score 48 out of 100
Latest Close 121.3 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 2.6% latest completed week
4W Return -9.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return 21.8% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 63.5% 33 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.7x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 5-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 5 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 2.6% Latest completed week; four-week move -9.0%. Indicator stack 52/54 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 55.12% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Bearish 47/100 conviction; expected move 5.6%. News sentiment 53/100 71 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 81d Next report is scheduled for 21 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 13.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 67.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.6%, after a -9.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.7112-week average 0.33

12-week confirmation

Trend active5/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure8/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership6/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.71Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers55 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 5 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -9.0% over four weeks, 21.8% over 12 weeks, and 43.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 5 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W2.6%
4W-9.0%
12W21.8%
26W18.6%
52W43.5%
Active trend streak5 weeks
Active weeks in one year33
Trend breadth63.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.44Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-55.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership6.03Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-54.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026 Field coverage 97% Model confidence 97%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength98/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 3; rank 1 is best.
Value91/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 10; rank 1 is best.
Quality94/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 7; rank 1 is best.
Momentum79/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 22; rank 1 is best.
Growth34/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 67; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework64/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
11.0x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.6x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
7.3x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
24.7%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
65.1%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
8.7%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
24.3%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
10.6%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
8.5%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
5.7%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
0.2%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
8/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.2%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.2%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
2.8x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBearish

UAL shows bearish options pressure with a 47/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.68, expected move of 5.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction47/100
Expected move5.6%
Put/call volume1.68
Pressure-27
Speculation41
Volatility57
Trend agreement80
Open options detail
Insider activity11 / 9

11 acquisitions and 9 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 71 relevant articles.

19 positive · 41 neutral · 11 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings81dNext report is scheduled for 21 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move5.6%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-12.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+15.0%Week of 26 Jun.
Worst week-13.4%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+2.6%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains9
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses3
Sharp losses9
Recent vol7.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.3% / -4.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape49/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 49/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis47/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 5/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 6/12.

Activity pressure 0.71; 5 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 55.12%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 55.12% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors90/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 39 SVQF64/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 264.5 of 726 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options49/100

UAL shows bearish options pressure with a 47/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.68, expected move of 5.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Bearish · Put-side pressure · Expected move 5.6% Sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 71 relevant articles.

United Airlines Backs $22 Billion Dulles Plan. Here’s What It Means Insiders11 / 9

11 acquisitions and 9 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings81d

Next report is scheduled for 21 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.

 Research flow4 items

1 recent research articles and 3 Market Watch posts are available.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026121.3 USD2.6%107.2 USD76.24 USD0.446.0318.0MOn
24 Jul 2026118.3 USD2.5%106.9 USD75.80 USD0.614.2022.7MOn
17 Jul 2026115.4 USD-8.4%106.8 USD75.39 USD0.880.1927.5MOn
10 Jul 2026126.0 USD-5.5%106.7 USD75.02 USD0.984.8521.5MOn
3 Jul 2026133.3 USD-2.0%106.1 USD74.56 USD1.0113.1418.8MOn
26 Jun 2026136.1 USD15.0%105.1 USD74.06 USD0.8417.0335.8MOff
19 Jun 2026118.3 USD2.4%104.0 USD73.53 USD0.65-2.3026.0MOff
12 Jun 2026115.5 USD9.3%103.1 USD73.11 USD0.40-1.8527.8MOff
5 Jun 2026105.7 USD-7.9%102.4 USD72.72 USD-0.05-7.8921.1MOff
29 May 2026114.8 USD14.8%102.2 USD72.36 USD-0.21-4.6030.5MOff
22 May 202699.96 USD7.7%101.5 USD71.94 USD-0.59-14.5131.7MOff
15 May 202692.85 USD-6.8%101.5 USD71.60 USD-0.68-19.7021.3MOff
8 May 202699.58 USD7.6%101.7 USD71.31 USD-0.53-14.3530.6MOff
1 May 202692.52 USD-0.5%101.6 USD70.96 USD-0.56-16.2328.7MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.