STZ NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Constellation Brands Inc Class A · Consumer Defensive · Beverages - Brewers

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Latest close 130.2 USD
0.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -11.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 11.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.8%, after a -4.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is mixed with 39/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 52/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 64d.

Setup score 27 out of 100
Latest Close 130.2 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 0.8% latest completed week
4W Return -4.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return -12.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 25.0% 13 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 0.8% Latest completed week; four-week move -4.5%. Indicator stack 14/12 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Mixed 39/100 conviction; expected move 3.3%. News sentiment 52/100 27 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 64d Next report is scheduled for 05 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -11.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 11.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.8%, after a -4.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1412-week average 0.30

12-week confirmation

Trend active2/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.14Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -4.5% over four weeks, -12.1% over 12 weeks, and -19.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W0.8%
4W-4.5%
12W-12.1%
26W-16.3%
52W-19.9%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year13
Trend breadth25.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.32Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-174.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-17.46Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-8.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 May 2026 Field coverage 97% Model confidence 97%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength80/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 21; rank 1 is best.
Value74/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 27; rank 1 is best.
Quality93/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 8; rank 1 is best.
Momentum16/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 85; rank 1 is best.
Growth6/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 95; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework80/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
12.2x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
2.5x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
10.0x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
10.8%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
52.6%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
32.0%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
39.2%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
11.7%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-10.0%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-14.0%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
3.1%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
3.8%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
6.9%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
3.2x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

STZ shows mixed options pressure with a 39/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.36, expected move of 3.3%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction39/100
Expected move3.3%
Put/call volume1.36
Pressure-13
Speculation41
Volatility35
Trend agreement82
Open options detail
Insider activity15 / 5

15 acquisitions and 5 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 27 relevant articles.

5 positive · 19 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings64dNext report is scheduled for 05 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move3.3%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-23.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.9%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-9.1%Week of 13 Feb.
Latest week+0.8%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses10
Sharp losses5
Recent vol3.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/29Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.5% / -3.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape25/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 25/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis15/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 2/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.14; No reversal markers Factors67/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 15 SVQF80/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 200.5 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options56/100

STZ shows mixed options pressure with a 39/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.36, expected move of 3.3%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 3.3% Sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 27 relevant articles.

Royal Bank of Canada Sells 115,787 Shares of Constellation Brands Inc $STZ Insiders15 / 5

15 acquisitions and 5 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings64d

Next report is scheduled for 05 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026130.2 USD0.8%147.6 USD193.3 USD-1.32-17.4611.2MOff
24 Jul 2026129.1 USD-2.0%147.9 USD194.1 USD-1.15-17.938.4MOff
17 Jul 2026131.8 USD-0.9%148.2 USD194.9 USD-0.80-17.4310.2MOff
10 Jul 2026133.0 USD-2.5%148.2 USD195.7 USD-0.68-18.6312.7MOff
3 Jul 2026136.4 USD-6.0%148.7 USD196.4 USD-0.48-16.1414.5MOff
26 Jun 2026145.2 USD2.8%148.8 USD197.0 USD-0.56-9.5212.5MOff
19 Jun 2026141.2 USD-4.9%148.4 USD197.6 USD-0.77-14.539.2MOff
12 Jun 2026148.5 USD5.4%148.1 USD198.1 USD-0.60-9.8811.1MOff
5 Jun 2026140.9 USD1.5%147.4 USD198.7 USD-0.79-14.5310.3MOff
29 May 2026138.8 USD-7.1%146.9 USD199.2 USD-0.70-18.5510.0MOff
22 May 2026149.5 USD5.0%146.6 USD199.8 USD-0.51-11.8710.5MOn
15 May 2026142.3 USD-4.0%146.2 USD200.2 USD-0.52-16.1510.1MOn
8 May 2026148.2 USD-3.0%146.0 USD200.7 USD-0.20-13.478.1MOn
1 May 2026152.8 USD-1.4%145.7 USD201.2 USD0.22-9.658.8MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.