NASDAQ Equity Snapshot

SPCX Weekly Report

Space Exploration Technologies Corp. Class A Common Stock

Latest week 10 Jul 2026
Exchange NASDAQ
Country US
Sharemaestro Evidence Rating

Caution

A cross-signal market read combining weekly price structure, proprietary indicators, factors, Patient Capital, options, sentiment, insider activity, earnings risk, research flow, and sector context.

Evidence Score 41 Caution
Executive Read

Top-level conclusion

The strongest supporting evidence is next-week expectancy: Next-week expectancy is positive with a 70.67% historical one-week setup read.

The main constraint is indicator analysis: Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/5, activity pressure 0/5, relative leadership 0/5.

The combined read is defensive, so risk control and evidence of stabilization matter more than headline upside.

Support

Primary driver

Next-Week Expectancy Positive 70.67%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 70.67% historical one-week setup read.

Restraint

Main constraint

Indicator analysis 14/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/5, activity pressure 0/5, relative leadership 0/5.

Company Brief

What the company does

Space Exploration Technologies Corp. The company is headquartered in Starbase, Texas.

Snapshot

What the weekly tape is saying

SPCX closed the latest completed week at 145.3 USD. The 4-week return is -9.7% and the 12-week return is -. The trend backdrop is inactive, with activity pressure at 0.00. Setup signature: Risk-first tape with a 32/100 composite read.

Latest close 145.3 USD
Latest week -10.3%
Four-week move -9.7%
Composite read 32/100
Trend backdrop Inactive
Activity pressure No fresh buy
Price vs Trend -
Volume 0.7x
Setup Cockpit

A compressed read of the whole setup

The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, activity pressure, relative leadership, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.

Composite setup radar

Scoreboard

Trend 0 Persistence of the active trend backdrop over the last year and current streak.
Momentum 28 Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Activity Pressure 50 Latest activity pressure and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Leadership 50 Relative leadership and short-term leadership change.
Next-Week Expectancy 85 Historical one-week follow-through read for the latest completed-week setup state.
Volume 31 Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Smart Money 9 Activity pressure and recent smart-money signal balance.
Risk Control 0 Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.

16-week signal tape

12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul
Weekly return bar Trend backdrop dot Positive activity-pressure dot
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value

Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.

52-week price path

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Price zone

Close Trend Fair
145.1 USD 0.3% 225.6 USD
Range location 0.3% Shows where the latest close sits between the 52-week low and high.
Trend distance - Price premium or discount versus the weekly Trend Line.
Fair-value gap -9.9% Premium demand or model discount versus Sharemaestro Fair Value.
High-water gap -35.6% Distance from the latest 52-week high.
Momentum

Returns and trend persistence

Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.

Return windows

Latest close 145.3 USD
Trend breadth 0.0% 0 of 5 weeks active
Volume ratio 0.7x vs 13-week average
1W -10.3%
4W -9.7%
12W -
26W -
52W -

Trend read

Active Streak
0 weeks
52W Active Weeks
0
52W Active Breadth
0.0%
Sector Scope
US Industrials
Sector Rank
568 of 643
Sector Percentile
11.7%
568 of 643
Peer Context

Sector and industry pulse

Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.

Activity Pressure

Pressure, relative leadership, and next-week expectancy

Activity pressure and relative leadership show whether buying pressure and group strength are confirming the price move.

Dynamics path

Activity pressure Relative leadership

Pressure map

Activity pressure
Relative leadership
Pressure 0.00 Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change - Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership - Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change - Four-week change in relative leadership.
Next-week expectancy Positive 70.67% historical one-week setup read.
Indicator Analysis

Smart money, activity pressure, trend signals, and next-week expectancy

Recent confirmation shows whether the latest setup is supported by activity pressure, trend quality, relative leadership, and the short-term historical expectancy read.

Activity pressure path

Activity pressure Latest 0.00 12W avg 0.00

Next-week expectancy over time

Positive / negative next-week read Current Positive 70.67%

12-week confirmation

Trend active 0/5 Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure 0/5 Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership 0/5 Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure 0.00 Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals 0 Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers 2 2 reversal markers

Smart money activity

Support markers
0
Risk markers
2
Pressure positive weeks
0
Score input
26/100

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

Options Intelligence

Options pressure inside the weekly read

SPCX shows mixed options pressure with a 20/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.18, expected move of 7.4%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Current options read

Direction Mixed Options-market disagreement
Conviction 20/100 Options pressure score used as supporting evidence.
Expected move 7.4% Nearest-chain priced move where available.
Put-call volume 1.18 Lower readings lean call-side, higher readings lean put-side.

Options components

Conviction 20 Overall options conviction.
Speculation 45 Participation intensity from volume and open interest.
Volatility 86 Implied-volatility and expected-move pressure.
Trend fit 0 How well options positioning agrees with the weekly trend backdrop.
Volume

Participation and confirmation

Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.

Volume and return confirmation

Participation read

Participation 0.7x Latest volume versus the 13-week average.
Baseline 585.1M 13-week average volume.
One-year base 585.1M 52-week average volume.
Latest 426.9M Most recent completed week.
Risk Anatomy

Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape

A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.

26-week return distribution

Return shape

Strong gains 2
Modest gains 0
Flat weeks 0
Modest losses 0
Sharp losses 2
Recent vol 12.7% 13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol 12.7% 52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split 2/2 Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew 10.3% / -13.7% Average positive week versus average negative week.
Cross-App Evidence

Value, flow, sentiment, events, and research context

These cards convert the rest of Sharemaestro into a compact evidence trail, with direct drilldowns for deeper research.

Options and sentiment

Options
Mixed · 20
Expected Move
7.4%
Sentiment
54/100
Articles
40 relevant

Earnings, insiders, and research flow

Earnings
-
Insiders
-
News
0 articles
Market Watch
0 posts
Evidence Matrix

Scorecard by research pillar

Latest Sharemaestro research

  • No recent research articles are stored for this ticker.

Latest Market Watch posts

  • No recent Market Watch posts are stored for this ticker.
Context

Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points

Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.

Classification

Exchange
NASDAQ
Country
US
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Aerospace & Defense
Currency
USD
Market Cap
2134.2B

Opportunity signals

  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 70.67% based on similar historical setup states.

Risk signals

  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.

Watch next

  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape

Recent completed weeks

The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.

Week Close Return Trend Fair Value Pressure Leadership Volume Signal
10 Jul 2026 145.3 USD -10.3% - 161.3 USD 0.00 - 426.9M Off
3 Jul 2026 162.0 USD 5.7% - 165.3 USD 0.00 - 334.1M Off
26 Jun 2026 153.2 USD -17.2% - 166.4 USD - - 590.3M Off
19 Jun 2026 185.0 USD 14.9% - 173.0 USD - - 1.1B Off
12 Jun 2026 160.9 USD - - 160.9 USD - - 522.1M Off

Evidence rating

The evidence rating is the top-level Sharemaestro read. It blends market structure, trend evidence, activity pressure, value and quality context, options pressure, news tone, events, and research flow into a single directional summary.

Positive means the evidence stack is supportive. Neutral means the evidence is mixed or still forming. Caution or negative means the balance of evidence is less supportive and risk control matters more.

Weekly tape

The weekly tape is a completed-week view. It focuses on whether price, trend, activity, relative leadership, volume, and risk are confirming each other rather than reacting to a single noisy session.

Evidence scorecard

The scorecard separates the report into research pillars. A high score is supportive, a low score is restrictive, and neutral means that pillar is either balanced or not yet carrying enough evidence.

The purpose is not to force a trade call. It shows which parts of the evidence stack are helping, which parts are restraining, and where to drill down.

Setup cockpit

The cockpit compresses the broad setup into a radar and scoreboard. It is designed to show whether the current move has breadth across trend, activity, leadership, participation, and risk control.

Price context

Price context asks whether the stock is moving with or against its weekly structure. The Trend Line is the directional backdrop, Fair Value is the current valuation reference point, and the range map shows where price sits inside its recent trading range.

Pressure and next-week expectancy

Activity pressure looks for evidence that participation is supporting the move. Relative leadership compares the stock against its market backdrop. Next-week expectancy is a historical one-week follow-through read for similar setup states; it is not a broad trend call.

Indicator analysis

This section looks at whether the latest move is supported by the internal Sharemaestro indicator stack. The emphasis is on confirmation, persistence, and risk markers, not a single isolated reading.

Options pressure

Options pressure shows whether the options market is leaning bullish, bearish, mixed, or volatility-focused. It is supporting evidence only: options can confirm a setup, reveal disagreement, or highlight event risk.

Options involve substantial risk and can lose value rapidly. This report is educational market research, not investment or trading advice.