POWW NASDAQ Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Ammo Inc · Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

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Latest close 2.06 USD
-8.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 2.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 64.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -8.8%, after a -12.0% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 55/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 55/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 11d.

Setup score 52 out of 100
Latest Close 2.06 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return -8.8% latest completed week
4W Return -12.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return 0.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 67.3% 35 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 35-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 39.66% based on similar historical setup states.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
  • The latest week was a sharp negative move.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -8.8% Latest completed week; four-week move -12.0%. Indicator stack 82/100 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 39.66% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Volatility 55/100 conviction; expected move 25.8%. News sentiment 55/100 25 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 11d Next report is scheduled for 10 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 2.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 64.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -8.8%, after a -12.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.7712-week average 0.70

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership11/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.77Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -12.0% over four weeks, 0.0% over 12 weeks, and 67.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 35 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-8.8%
4W-12.0%
12W0.0%
26W17.7%
52W67.5%
Active trend streak35 weeks
Active weeks in one year35
Trend breadth67.3%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.77Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change1439.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership4.19Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-76.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 87%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength73/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 28; rank 1 is best.
Value61/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 40; rank 1 is best.
Quality60/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 41; rank 1 is best.
Momentum61/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 40; rank 1 is best.
Growth61/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 40; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
4.7x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
13.4x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
2.4%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
80.1%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-1.6%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
8.6%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-0.3%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.2%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.6%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
1.8%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-4.2x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

POWW shows volatility options pressure with a 55/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.00, expected move of 25.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction55/100
Expected move25.8%
Put/call volume0.00
Pressure100
Speculation16
Volatility96
Trend agreement0
Open options detail
Insider activity7 / 3

7 acquisitions and 3 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 25 relevant articles.

7 positive · 17 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings11dNext report is scheduled for 10 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move25.8%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-20.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+12.5%Week of 13 Feb.
Worst week-8.9%Week of 17 Jul.
Latest week-8.8%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains8
Modest gains5
Flat weeks1
Modest losses5
Sharp losses7
Recent vol5.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.9% / -4.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape60/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 60/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis74/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 5/12, relative leadership 11/12.

Activity pressure 0.77; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 39.66%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 39.66% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors63/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 34; Small Cap Core rank 47 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options36/100

POWW shows volatility options pressure with a 55/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.00, expected move of 25.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 25.8% Sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 25 relevant articles.

Outdoor Holding Company Revenue Breakdown – NASDAQ:POWW Insiders7 / 3

7 acquisitions and 3 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings11d

Next report is scheduled for 10 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 20262.06 USD-8.8%2.01 USD1.83 USD0.774.192.6MOn
17 Jul 20262.26 USD-8.9%2.00 USD1.83 USD1.1813.113.5MOn
10 Jul 20262.48 USD4.6%1.99 USD1.83 USD1.0919.786.2MOn
3 Jul 20262.37 USD1.3%1.97 USD1.83 USD0.5217.523.3MOn
26 Jun 20262.34 USD9.3%1.96 USD1.83 USD-0.0617.8012.0MOn
19 Jun 20262.14 USD5.4%1.94 USD1.83 USD-0.553.542.8MOn
12 Jun 20262.03 USD2.0%1.93 USD1.83 USD-0.731.041.7MOn
5 Jun 20261.99 USD-3.4%1.92 USD1.83 USD-0.741.471.5MOn
29 May 20262.06 USD0.0%1.91 USD1.83 USD-0.440.532.7MOn
22 May 20262.06 USD7.9%1.89 USD1.83 USD-0.213.432.2MOn
15 May 20261.91 USD-5.4%1.88 USD1.82 USD-0.05-3.221.8MOn
8 May 20262.02 USD-1.9%1.86 USD1.82 USD0.311.322.0MOn
1 May 20262.06 USD4.0%1.84 USD1.82 USD0.448.082.1MOn
24 Apr 20261.98 USD-4.3%1.82 USD1.82 USD0.464.613.0MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.