BBAI MEX Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

BIGBEAR AI HOLDINGS INC · Technology · Information Technology Services

Open interactive chart View report data
Latest close 48.50 MXN
-0.3% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -31.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 1.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.3%, after a -21.8% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 51/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 8 out of 100
Latest Close 48.50 MXN 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -0.3% latest completed week
4W Return -21.8% short-term follow-through
12W Return -31.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 0.0% 0 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -0.3% Latest completed week; four-week move -21.8%. Indicator stack 0/7 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 38.92% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 51/100 33 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -31.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 1.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.3%, after a -21.8% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.1x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0412-week average 0.06

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure9/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.04Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -21.8% over four weeks, -31.5% over 12 weeks, and - over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-0.3%
4W-21.8%
12W-31.5%
26W-45.5%
52W-
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.57Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-409.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-48.17Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 33 relevant articles.

10 positive · 19 neutral · 4 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-72.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility8.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher9 of 2616 weeks finished lower.
Best week+21.5%Week of 29 May.
Worst week-16.5%Week of 5 Jun.
Latest week-0.3%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains4
Flat weeks1
Modest losses3
Sharp losses13
Recent vol8.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol10.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split18/30Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew9.5% / -7.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape9/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 9/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis25/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 9/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.04; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 38.92%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 38.92% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100

No published factor snapshot is available yet.

 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 33 relevant articles.

Is BigBear.ai Holdings (BBAI) Undervalued As Earnings And 2026 Guidance Hold? Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202648.50 MXN-0.3%71.09 MXN90.14 MXN-0.57-48.172.1KOff
24 Jul 202648.64 MXN-2.6%72.87 MXN90.96 MXN-0.32-7.8KOff
17 Jul 202649.96 MXN-12.4%74.68 MXN91.81 MXN-0.08-17.7KOff
10 Jul 202657.00 MXN-8.1%76.74 MXN92.66 MXN0.08-9.4KOff
3 Jul 202662.00 MXN0.0%78.94 MXN93.40 MXN0.19-1.7KOff
26 Jun 202662.00 MXN-8.4%81.04 MXN94.07 MXN0.24-751Off
19 Jun 202667.70 MXN-2.4%82.87 MXN94.77 MXN0.33-49Off
12 Jun 202669.40 MXN-5.6%83.95 MXN95.37 MXN0.39-838Off
5 Jun 202673.51 MXN-16.5%85.47 MXN95.96 MXN0.48-7.0KOff
29 May 202688.00 MXN21.5%86.47 MXN96.48 MXN0.49-18.3KOff
22 May 202672.40 MXN0.6%87.81 MXN96.69 MXN0.39-85.9KOff
15 May 202672.00 MXN1.7%89.80 MXN97.28 MXN0.13-30.7KOff
8 May 202670.82 MXN1.9%91.95 MXN97.91 MXN-0.20-42.5KOff
1 May 202669.50 MXN6.9%94.09 MXN98.60 MXN-0.72-8.9KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.