ASELS IST Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

ASELSAN Elektronik Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi · Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

Latest close 341.8 TRY
-10.1% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is -4.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 61.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -10.1%, after a -14.5% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 52/100.

Setup score 54 out of 100
Latest Close 341.8 TRY 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -10.1% latest completed week
4W Return -14.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return -20.2% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 100.0% 52 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.4x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 90-week active streak.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 59.59% based on similar historical setup states.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.
What could go wrong
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 5 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is -4.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 61.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -10.1%, after a -14.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.4x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.6312-week average 0.83

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure4/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.63Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers55 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 5 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -14.5% over four weeks, -20.2% over 12 weeks, and 85.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 90 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-10.1%
4W-14.5%
12W-20.2%
26W12.7%
52W85.6%
Active trend streak90 weeks
Active weeks in one year52
Trend breadth100.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.84Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change5.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership13.24Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-52.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 5 relevant articles.

1 positive · 4 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-24.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+20.6%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-10.2%Week of 26 Jun.
Latest week-10.1%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses8
Recent vol6.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.7% / -4.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026341.8 TRY-10.1%355.8 TRY146.0 TRY-0.8413.24149.1MOn
24 Jul 2026380.2 TRY8.2%352.1 TRY144.0 TRY-0.6322.48206.3MOn
17 Jul 2026351.5 TRY-5.0%347.0 TRY141.8 TRY-0.8013.91158.2MOn
10 Jul 2026370.0 TRY-7.4%342.3 TRY139.8 TRY-0.7417.99259.7MOn
3 Jul 2026399.5 TRY10.5%336.7 TRY137.7 TRY-0.8927.78215.0MOn
26 Jun 2026361.5 TRY-10.2%329.7 TRY135.3 TRY-1.1218.1530.6MOn
19 Jun 2026402.5 TRY8.4%323.8 TRY133.1 TRY-0.8928.5719.3MOn
12 Jun 2026371.2 TRY2.3%316.5 TRY130.7 TRY-0.4826.6726.5MOn
5 Jun 2026363.0 TRY-4.5%310.0 TRY128.5 TRY0.1127.4024.2MOn
29 May 2026380.2 TRY-7.3%304.0 TRY126.4 TRY0.7435.2439.0MOn
22 May 2026410.0 TRY-1.2%298.1 TRY124.1 TRY1.1946.1384.1MOn
15 May 2026415.0 TRY-3.2%291.3 TRY121.6 TRY1.2244.2274.0MOn
8 May 2026428.5 TRY2.0%283.9 TRY119.1 TRY1.3244.05116.6MOn
1 May 2026420.2 TRY7.2%276.7 TRY116.5 TRY1.3049.17125.3MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.