KHC MEX Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

The Kraft Heinz Company · Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods

Latest close 466.0 MXN
5.2% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 12.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 61.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.2%, after a 5.0% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 51/100.

Setup score 58 out of 100
Latest Close 466.0 MXN 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 5.2% latest completed week
4W Return 5.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return 13.1% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 5.8% 3 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 4.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 3-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 36.32% based on similar historical setup states.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • Recent volatility is running well above the one-year baseline.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 12.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 61.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.2%, after a 5.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 4.0x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.4312-week average 0.25

12-week confirmation

Trend active3/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership2/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.43Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals2Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 5.0% over four weeks, 13.1% over 12 weeks, and -10.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 3 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W5.2%
4W5.0%
12W13.1%
26W13.0%
52W-10.4%
Active trend streak3 weeks
Active weeks in one year3
Trend breadth5.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.58Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change30.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership3.23Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change174.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 39 relevant articles.

7 positive · 28 neutral · 4 negative
Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-11.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.3%Week of 3 Jul.
Worst week-7.7%Week of 5 Jun.
Latest week+5.2%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses10
Sharp losses4
Recent vol5.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split21/31Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.2% / -2.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026466.0 MXN5.2%414.3 MXN547.5 MXN1.583.235.5KOn
24 Jul 2026443.1 MXN-4.1%413.4 MXN548.3 MXN1.50-1.64559On
17 Jul 2026462.0 MXN5.2%413.0 MXN549.4 MXN1.431.456.1KOn
10 Jul 2026439.0 MXN-1.1%412.4 MXN550.3 MXN1.27-4.022.3KOff
3 Jul 2026444.0 MXN8.3%412.3 MXN551.3 MXN1.21-4.31561Off
26 Jun 2026410.0 MXN-0.2%412.3 MXN552.3 MXN0.96-12.3318Off
19 Jun 2026411.0 MXN-2.1%414.1 MXN553.5 MXN1.01-13.310Off
12 Jun 2026420.0 MXN7.7%415.9 MXN554.8 MXN1.04-12.390Off
5 Jun 2026390.0 MXN-7.7%416.9 MXN556.1 MXN0.79-16.9625Off
29 May 2026422.6 MXN2.7%418.7 MXN557.8 MXN0.96-13.961.1KOff
22 May 2026411.6 MXN5.6%419.8 MXN559.3 MXN0.67-16.55477Off
15 May 2026389.8 MXN-5.4%421.7 MXN561.0 MXN0.27-21.1152Off
8 May 2026412.1 MXN5.8%424.2 MXN563.0 MXN0.23-19.591.1KOff
1 May 2026389.6 MXN2.6%425.7 MXN564.9 MXN0.03-22.54195Off
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.