KOCMT IST Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

KOC METALURJI · Industrials · Metal Fabrication

Latest close 5.46 TRY
11.7% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 84.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 81.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 11.7%, after a 22.7% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.

Setup score 61 out of 100
Latest Close 5.46 TRY 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 11.7% latest completed week
4W Return 22.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return 99.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 44.2% 23 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 2.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 6-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 39.87% based on similar historical setup states.
  • 4 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • Recent volatility is running well above the one-year baseline.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 84.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 81.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 11.7%, after a 22.7% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 2.0x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.6712-week average 0.31

12-week confirmation

Trend active6/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership6/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.67Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers44 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 4 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 22.7% over four weeks, 99.3% over 12 weeks, and 105.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 6 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W11.7%
4W22.7%
12W99.3%
26W98.5%
52W105.6%
Active trend streak6 weeks
Active weeks in one year23
Trend breadth44.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.67Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change36.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership74.74Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change104.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 3 relevant articles.

0 positive · 3 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-11.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility12.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+35.7%Week of 3 Jul.
Worst week-16.0%Week of 10 Jul.
Latest week+11.7%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains9
Modest gains4
Flat weeks2
Modest losses7
Sharp losses4
Recent vol12.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew8.0% / -4.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20265.46 TRY11.7%2.96 TRY2.86 TRY1.6774.74665.1MOn
24 Jul 20264.89 TRY20.1%2.86 TRY2.84 TRY1.6753.06451.7MOn
17 Jul 20264.07 TRY8.8%2.79 TRY2.82 TRY1.6728.25467.3MOn
10 Jul 20263.74 TRY-16.0%2.74 TRY2.81 TRY1.6415.40953.9MOn
3 Jul 20264.45 TRY35.7%2.71 TRY2.80 TRY1.2336.64836.5MOn
26 Jun 20263.28 TRY10.4%2.66 TRY2.78 TRY0.772.47176.1MOn
19 Jun 20262.97 TRY17.9%2.65 TRY2.78 TRY0.38-10.11171.3MOff
12 Jun 20262.52 TRY-0.8%2.64 TRY2.78 TRY0.02-19.6222.8MOff
5 Jun 20262.54 TRY-3.1%2.65 TRY2.78 TRY0.19-17.9319.4MOff
29 May 20262.62 TRY1.9%2.66 TRY2.78 TRY0.47-15.5155.9MOff
22 May 20262.57 TRY-1.9%2.67 TRY2.78 TRY0.35-18.3798.6MOff
15 May 20262.62 TRY-4.4%2.68 TRY2.79 TRY0.27-20.68198.5MOff
8 May 20262.74 TRY6.2%2.68 TRY2.79 TRY0.14-21.49202.2MOff
1 May 20262.58 TRY-2.3%2.67 TRY2.79 TRY-0.24-23.3281.6MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.