3994 JPX Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Name: 3994 weekly investor report
Creator: Sharemaestro
License: https://sharemaestro.com/data-license/

Money Forward, Inc. · Technology · Software - Application

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Latest close 5,407 JPY

1.4% latest week

Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 30.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 65.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.4%, after a 34.6% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 49/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 52 out of 100

Latest Close 5,407 JPY 24 Jul 2026

1W Return 1.4% latest completed week

4W Return 34.6% short-term follow-through

12W Return 14.5% quarterly tape

Trend Breadth 40.4% 21 of 52 weeks active

Volume Ratio 0.9x vs 13-week average

What is working

The trend backdrop is active with a 9-week active streak.
Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.

What could go wrong

Next-week expectancy is negative at 44.71% based on similar historical setup states.
The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.

What to watch next

Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.

Price follow-through 1.4% Latest completed week; four-week move 34.6%. Indicator stack 53/86 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 44.71% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 49/100 14 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.

01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 30.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 65.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.4%, after a 34.6% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Position in the 52-week range

Close Trend Fair

2,750 JPY 65.7% 6,794 JPY

Range location65.7%Shows where the latest close sits between the 52-week low and high.

Trend distance30.1%Price premium or discount versus the weekly Trend Line.

Fair-value gap11.0%Premium demand or model discount versus Sharemaestro Fair Value.

High-water gap-20.4%Distance from the latest 52-week high.

02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction

30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul

Up week Down week

Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.5112-week average 0.42

12-week confirmation

Trend active9/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.

Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.

Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.

Activity pressure0.51Current proprietary activity-pressure read.

Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.

Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 34.6% over four weeks, 14.5% over 12 weeks, and -10.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 9 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W1.4%

4W34.6%

12W14.5%

26W30.6%

52W-10.0%

Active trend streak9 weeks

Active weeks in one year21

Trend breadth40.4%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership

Pressure0.82Latest activity-pressure read.

Pressure change261.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.

Leadership-5.60Latest relative-leadership reading.

RS change85.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.

04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment49/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 14 relevant articles.

0 positive · 13 neutral · 1 negative

Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal

06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.

Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.

52-week drawdown-20.4%Distance below the 52-week high.

13-week volatility6.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

30 Jan 27 Feb 27 Mar 24 Apr 22 May 19 Jun 24 Jul

Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.

Best week+38.6%Week of 17 Apr.

Worst week-15.5%Week of 6 Feb.

Latest week+1.4%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains8

Modest gains4

Flat weeks0

Modest losses6

Sharp losses8

Recent vol6.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.

Base vol8.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.

Up/down split23/29Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.

Average skew6.4% / -4.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.

07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

SectorJP Technology

4-week rank3 / 100

Group average-1.9%

Trend breadth60.0%

Trend60.0%active weekly trend signals

MD72.0%positive activity pressure

RS46.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

4722 · JPX49.7%581A · JPX37.2%3994 · JPX34.6%4812 · JPX33.3%4733 · JPX31.1%

IndustryJP Software - Application

4-week rank4 / 100

Group average7.7%

Trend breadth28.0%

Trend28.0%active weekly trend signals

MD61.0%positive activity pressure

RS5.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

2492 · JPX47.7%581A · JPX37.2%5246 · JPX36.0%3994 · JPX34.6%3697 · JPX30.8%

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape47/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 47/100 tape read.

Indicator analysis57/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 9/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.51; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 44.71%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 44.71% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100

No published factor snapshot is available yet.

Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment49/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 14 relevant articles.

Money Forward, Inc. Revenue Breakdown – MUN:47D Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.

Week	Close	Return	Trend Line	Fair Value	Pressure	Leadership	Volume	Trend
24 Jul 2026	5,407 JPY	1.4%	4,155 JPY	4,871 JPY	0.82	-5.60	1.7M	On
17 Jul 2026	5,334 JPY	8.1%	4,128 JPY	4,874 JPY	0.66	-7.43	4.3M	On
10 Jul 2026	4,935 JPY	8.7%	4,098 JPY	4,876 JPY	0.40	-20.59	2.2M	On
3 Jul 2026	4,538 JPY	13.0%	4,074 JPY	4,881 JPY	0.20	-29.06	2.4M	On
26 Jun 2026	4,016 JPY	-5.0%	4,059 JPY	4,888 JPY	0.23	-37.66	1.5M	On
19 Jun 2026	4,227 JPY	9.3%	4,064 JPY	4,899 JPY	0.38	-36.96	386.4K	On
12 Jun 2026	3,868 JPY	-8.7%	4,062 JPY	4,908 JPY	0.50	-38.56	457.0K	On
5 Jun 2026	4,238 JPY	-2.4%	4,067 JPY	4,924 JPY	0.75	-34.15	423.6K	On
29 May 2026	4,343 JPY	0.7%	4,069 JPY	4,936 JPY	0.86	-33.05	2.6M	On
22 May 2026	4,311 JPY	-2.4%	4,074 JPY	4,949 JPY	0.94	-31.15	2.5M	Off
15 May 2026	4,415 JPY	-6.8%	4,090 JPY	4,958 JPY	1.10	-28.02	2.9M	Off
8 May 2026	4,736 JPY	0.3%	4,113 JPY	4,967 JPY	1.30	-25.15	1.8M	Off
1 May 2026	4,721 JPY	-4.1%	4,138 JPY	4,972 JPY	1.03	-22.04	2.1M	Off
24 Apr 2026	4,921 JPY	-1.6%	4,165 JPY	4,977 JPY	0.73	-19.61	6.2M	Off

How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.