NWBI NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Northwest Bancshares Inc · Financial Services · Banks - Regional

Latest close 15.74 USD
2.2% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 16.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 92.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.2%, after a 4.2% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bullish with 56/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 60/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high; earnings are due in 1d.

Setup score 74 out of 100
Latest Close 15.74 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 2.2% latest completed week
4W Return 4.2% short-term follow-through
12W Return 13.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 71.2% 37 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.3x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 27-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 16.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 92.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.2%, after a 4.2% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.3x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 1.0012-week average 0.94

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership7/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure1.00Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 4.2% over four weeks, 13.3% over 12 weeks, and 43.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 27 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W2.2%
4W4.2%
12W13.3%
26W25.8%
52W43.4%
Active trend streak27 weeks
Active weeks in one year37
Trend breadth71.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.40Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-12.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership13.31Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change152.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 02 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 100%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength40/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 61; rank 1 is best.
Value32/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 69; rank 1 is best.
Quality29/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 72; rank 1 is best.
Momentum86/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 15; rank 1 is best.
Growth26/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 75; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
15.1x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
2.7x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
21.9x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
5.7%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
66.3%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
15.9%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
19.6%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
4.0%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
3.0%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
6.6%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
5.1%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
5.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
4.6x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

NWBI shows bullish options pressure with a 56/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.04, expected move of 5.7%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction56/100
Expected move5.7%
Put/call volume0.04
Pressure100
Speculation43
Volatility46
Trend agreement0
Open options detail
Insider activity12 / 8

12 acquisitions and 8 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment60/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 51 relevant articles.

23 positive · 28 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings1dNext report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move5.7%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-2.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+5.1%Week of 6 Feb.
Worst week-4.2%Week of 27 Feb.
Latest week+2.2%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains6
Flat weeks1
Modest losses11
Sharp losses1
Recent vol2.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split30/21Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.5% / -1.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202615.74 USD2.2%13.50 USD11.50 USD1.4013.317.0MOn
24 Jul 202615.40 USD-0.8%13.36 USD11.46 USD1.3511.795.5MOn
17 Jul 202615.53 USD3.3%13.25 USD11.43 USD1.4811.094.9MOn
10 Jul 202615.04 USD-0.5%13.14 USD11.39 USD1.553.114.8MOn
3 Jul 202615.11 USD-0.2%13.05 USD11.35 USD1.595.265.0MOn
26 Jun 202615.14 USD4.6%12.94 USD11.31 USD1.606.229.0MOn
19 Jun 202614.48 USD-2.1%12.82 USD11.27 USD1.43-3.047.4MOn
12 Jun 202614.79 USD4.3%12.72 USD11.23 USD1.311.504.0MOn
5 Jun 202614.19 USD0.3%12.61 USD11.20 USD1.07-0.545.2MOn
29 May 202614.15 USD1.3%12.51 USD11.17 USD0.98-5.454.7MOn
22 May 202613.97 USD4.3%12.41 USD11.14 USD1.00-4.244.6MOn
15 May 202613.40 USD-3.5%12.35 USD11.11 USD0.86-7.304.9MOn
8 May 202613.89 USD1.1%12.29 USD11.08 USD0.94-4.574.8MOn
1 May 202613.74 USD5.0%12.21 USD11.04 USD0.92-0.827.3MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.