GER Equity Snapshot

SFQ Weekly Equity Report

SAF-Holland SE

Latest Close 20.60 EUR 12 Jun 2026
1W Return 2.2% latest completed week
4W Return 9.0% short-term follow-through
12W Return 30.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 53.8% 28 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.7x vs 13-week average
Sharemaestro Evidence Rating

Neutral

A cross-signal market read combining weekly price structure, proprietary indicators, factors, Patient Capital, options, sentiment, insider activity, earnings risk, research flow, and sector context.

Evidence Score 61 Neutral

Top-level conclusion

The strongest supporting evidence is indicator analysis: Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 6/12, relative leadership 12/12.

The main constraint is factors: O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

The combined read is balanced, making the next change in trend, sentiment, or options pressure especially important.

Primary driver

Indicator analysis 73/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 6/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Main constraint

Factors 48/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Company Brief

What the company does

SAF-Holland SE manufactures and sells chassis-related assemblies and components for trailers, trucks, semi-trailers, and buses. The company offers axle and air suspension systems, fifth wheels and systems, coupling systems, kingpins, and landing gears, as well as braking and EBS systems, lighting systems, and disc brakes. It markets its products under the SAF, Holland, Haldex, Neway, KLL, V.Orlandi, TrailerMaster, Assali Stefen, Tecma, and York brands. The company serves original equipment manufacturers. It primarily operates in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Americas, and the Asia Pacific. SAF-Holland SE was founded in 1881 and is headquartered in …

Snapshot

What the weekly tape is saying

SFQ closed the latest completed week at 20.60 EUR. The 4-week return is 9.0% and the 12-week return is 30.0%. The trend backdrop is active, with activity pressure at 0.62. Setup signature: Leadership continuation with a 71/100 composite read.

Trend backdrop Active
Activity pressure No fresh buy
Price vs Trend 21.4%
Volume 0.7x
Setup Cockpit

A compressed read of the whole setup

The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, activity pressure, relative leadership, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.

Composite setup radar

Scoreboard

Trend 75 Persistence of the active trend backdrop over the last year and current streak.
Momentum 98 Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Activity Pressure 88 Latest activity pressure and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Leadership 100 Relative leadership and short-term leadership change.
Expectancy Model 50 Sharemaestro expectancy direction and probability from the latest completed week.
Volume 31 Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Smart Money 57 Activity pressure and recent smart-money signal balance.
Risk Control 71 Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.

16-week signal tape

27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun
Weekly return bar Trend backdrop dot Positive activity-pressure dot
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value

Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.

52-week price path

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Price zone

Close Trend Fair
12.91 EUR 93.3% 21.15 EUR
Range location 93.3% Shows where the latest close sits between the 52-week low and high.
Trend distance 21.4% Price premium or discount versus the weekly Trend Line.
Fair-value gap 40.5% Premium demand or model discount versus Sharemaestro Fair Value.
High-water gap -2.6% Distance from the latest 52-week high.
Momentum

Returns and trend persistence

Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.

Return windows

1W 2.2%
4W 9.0%
12W 30.0%
26W 42.2%
52W 31.8%

Trend read

Active Streak
19 weeks
52W Active Weeks
28
52W Active Breadth
53.8%
Sector Scope
DE Consumer Cyclical
Sector Rank
32 of 87
Sector Percentile
64.0%
32 of 87
Peer Context

Sector and industry pulse

Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.

Activity Pressure

Pressure, relative leadership, and expectancy

Activity pressure and relative leadership show whether buying pressure and group strength are confirming the price move.

Dynamics path

Activity pressure Relative leadership

Pressure map

Activity pressure
Relative leadership
Pressure 0.62 Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change 337.9% Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership 25.33 Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change 24.2% Four-week change in relative leadership.
Expectancy Model Undecided 52.70% probability read.
Indicator Analysis

Smart money, activity pressure, trend signals, and expectancy

Recent confirmation shows whether the latest setup is supported by activity pressure, trend quality, relative leadership, and the Sharemaestro Expectancy Model.

Activity pressure path

Activity pressure Latest 0.78 12W avg 0.74

Expectancy over time

Positive / negative expectancy Current Undecided 52.70%

12-week confirmation

Trend active 12/12 Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure 6/12 Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership 12/12 Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure 0.78 Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals 0 Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers 2 2 reversal markers

Smart money activity

Support markers
0
Risk markers
2
Pressure positive weeks
12
Score input
26/100

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

Volume

Participation and confirmation

Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.

Volume and return confirmation

Participation read

Participation 0.7x Latest volume versus the 13-week average.
Baseline 389.6K 13-week average volume.
One-year base 310.4K 52-week average volume.
Latest 284.4K Most recent completed week.
Risk Anatomy

Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape

A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.

26-week return distribution

Return shape

Strong gains 7
Modest gains 9
Flat weeks 1
Modest losses 6
Sharp losses 3
Recent vol 5.8% 13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol 4.7% 52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split 27/24 Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew 4.1% / -3.2% Average positive week versus average negative week.
Cross-App Evidence

Value, flow, sentiment, events, and research context

These cards convert the rest of Sharemaestro into a compact evidence trail, with direct drilldowns for deeper research.

Earnings, insiders, and research flow

Earnings
-
Insiders
-
News
0 articles
Market Watch
0 posts

Latest Sharemaestro research

  • No recent research articles are stored for this ticker.

Latest Market Watch posts

  • No recent Market Watch posts are stored for this ticker.
Context

Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points

Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.

Classification

Exchange
GER
Country
DE
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Industry
Auto Parts
Currency
EUR
Market Cap
946.5M

Opportunity signals

  • The trend backdrop is active with a 19-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.

Risk signals

  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.

Watch next

  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape

Recent completed weeks

The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.

Week Close Return Trend Fair Value Pressure Leadership Volume Signal
12 Jun 2026 20.60 EUR 2.2% 16.97 EUR 14.66 EUR 0.62 25.33 284.4K On
5 Jun 2026 20.15 EUR -3.4% 16.73 EUR 14.59 EUR 0.32 22.59 476.1K On
29 May 2026 20.85 EUR 9.2% 16.49 EUR 14.53 EUR 0.20 25.69 383.6K On
22 May 2026 19.10 EUR 1.1% 16.25 EUR 14.46 EUR -0.13 16.73 247.2K On
15 May 2026 18.90 EUR -2.4% 16.09 EUR 14.41 EUR -0.26 20.40 244.8K On
8 May 2026 19.37 EUR 14.4% 15.91 EUR 14.36 EUR -0.26 21.98 453.2K On
1 May 2026 16.93 EUR -0.5% 15.72 EUR 14.31 EUR -0.36 7.25 247.0K On
24 Apr 2026 17.00 EUR -6.6% 15.63 EUR 14.27 EUR -0.27 8.60 288.7K On
17 Apr 2026 18.20 EUR 5.1% 15.54 EUR 14.23 EUR -0.08 13.71 336.5K On
10 Apr 2026 17.31 EUR 8.0% 15.42 EUR 14.18 EUR 0.02 12.49 416.7K On
3 Apr 2026 16.04 EUR 0.0% 15.34 EUR 14.13 EUR 0.14 7.30 414.6K On
27 Mar 2026 16.04 EUR 1.2% 15.30 EUR 14.09 EUR 0.52 11.67 728.7K On
20 Mar 2026 15.84 EUR -5.4% 15.28 EUR 14.05 EUR 0.92 10.00 542.8K On
13 Mar 2026 16.75 EUR -2.8% 15.26 EUR 14.01 EUR 1.28 11.09 289.1K On