TALO MEX Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

TALOS ENERGY INC · Energy · Oil & Gas E&P

Latest close 258.0 MXN
-1.1% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 6.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 71.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.1%, after a 12.4% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 56/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 58 out of 100
Latest Close 258.0 MXN 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -1.1% latest completed week
4W Return 12.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return -2.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 88.5% 46 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 46-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 43.41% based on similar historical setup states.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 6.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 71.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.1%, after a 12.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.0x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.5512-week average 0.64

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.55Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 12.4% over four weeks, -2.0% over 12 weeks, and 72.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 46 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-1.1%
4W12.4%
12W-2.0%
26W24.1%
52W72.0%
Active trend streak46 weeks
Active weeks in one year46
Trend breadth88.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.22Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change77.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership15.64Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change204.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment56/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 48 relevant articles.

12 positive · 33 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-14.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+13.1%Week of 13 Mar.
Worst week-14.2%Week of 10 Apr.
Latest week-1.1%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains9
Modest gains3
Flat weeks2
Modest losses6
Sharp losses6
Recent vol4.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/20Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.5% / -4.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026258.0 MXN-1.1%243.0 MXN201.5 MXN-0.2215.6412On
24 Jul 2026261.0 MXN1.0%241.2 MXN201.0 MXN-0.4118.79286On
17 Jul 2026258.5 MXN4.2%239.1 MXN200.5 MXN-0.6717.933.4KOn
10 Jul 2026248.0 MXN8.0%237.1 MXN199.9 MXN-0.9214.045.0KOn
3 Jul 2026229.5 MXN-4.9%235.9 MXN199.5 MXN-0.965.1420On
26 Jun 2026241.4 MXN0.0%235.6 MXN199.2 MXN-0.7810.720On
19 Jun 2026241.4 MXN-4.9%234.6 MXN198.8 MXN-0.6510.470On
12 Jun 2026253.8 MXN0.5%233.1 MXN198.4 MXN-0.3915.950On
5 Jun 2026252.4 MXN-1.4%230.8 MXN197.9 MXN-0.2418.962.2KOn
29 May 2026256.0 MXN-5.9%228.6 MXN197.4 MXN-0.1017.1910On
22 May 2026272.0 MXN5.4%226.1 MXN196.8 MXN0.1925.96179On
15 May 2026258.0 MXN-2.0%223.0 MXN196.1 MXN0.2121.2635On
8 May 2026263.2 MXN0.0%220.6 MXN195.5 MXN0.2421.410On
1 May 2026263.2 MXN5.3%218.0 MXN194.8 MXN0.3725.974.0KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.