Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 3 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
442.32
Total Return
342.32%
CAGR
53.15% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+31.04%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.25 Sortino 3.84
Current Holdings
285
Transactions
4953 Avg 1420.0/yr · 118.3/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2334 Stop 57.2% · Warning 42.7% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

3 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
12
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
4.84 5 signals · MA 76.39 · ROC 4.24% · RS 3.81
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
73.83 4 signals · MA 83.35 · ROC 9.24% · RS 22.03
EDIT NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc
3.65 8 signals · MA 23.20 · ROC 2.51% · RS 18.52
EPC NYSE · Edgewell Personal Care Co
27.21 4 signals · MA 81.29 · ROC 5.52% · RS 19.35
JXG NASDAQ · JX Luxventure Group Inc.
10.84 4 signals · MA 84.92 · ROC 12.88% · RS 8.46
MAN NYSE · ManpowerGroup Inc
38.79 4 signals · MA 92.33 · ROC 3.87% · RS 8.61
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
13.57 5 signals · MA 82.73 · ROC 5.93% · RS 2.64
NWL NASDAQ · Newell Brands Inc
5.83 4 signals · MA 79.52 · ROC 6.86% · RS 15.74
QMCO NASDAQ · Quantum Corporation
10.16 5 signals · MA 99.53 · ROC 9.13% · RS 7.75
SABR NASDAQ · Sabre Corpo
2.09 7 signals · MA 78.18 · ROC 2.51% · RS 3.07
TLX NASDAQ · Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited
11.87 8 signals · MA 51.65 · ROC 1.56% · RS 4.35
WYHG NASDAQ · Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited American Depositary Shares
4.51 4 signals · MA 72.17 · ROC 5.14% · RS 9.36

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
4
ABX NYSE · Abacus Global Management, Inc.
11.86 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.75%
ENPH NASDAQ · Enphase Energy Inc
43.07 20% entry drawdown · -23.19%
HLLY NYSE · Holley Inc
2.40 20% entry drawdown · -21.82%
STI NASDAQ · Solidion Technology Inc.
7.85 20% entry drawdown · -36.39%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 1-30 of 285 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
ABLV NASDAQ · Able View Global Inc. Class B Ordinary Shares
12 Jun 20261.10
1.19
8.18%
4
47.21
4.07%
9.75
ABVC NASDAQ · ABVC Biopharma Inc
18 Apr 20250.86
1.80
110.53%
4
65.71
3.66%
30.91
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
20 Mar 20266.42
5.15
-19.78%
5
87.50
2.10%
14.76
ACHC NASDAQ · Acadia Healthcare Company Inc
15 May 202625.81
31.91
23.63%
5
83.10
1.05%
3.19
ACRS NASDAQ · Aclaris Therapeutics Inc
31 Oct 20252.52
5.56
120.63%
8
32.15
4.84%
5.56
ACTG NASDAQ · Acacia Research Corporation
13 Feb 20264.01
4.54
13.22%
7
60.85
0.98%
2.74
ADNT NYSE · Adient PLC
1 Aug 202521.40
18.76
-12.34%
4
90.40
3.89%
9.73
ADV NASDAQ · Advantage Solutions Inc
5 Jun 202638.75
38.86
0.28%
4
89.18
2.82%
6.16
AERT NASDAQ · Aeries Technology Inc.
19 Jun 20267.22
7.34
1.66%
4
36.85
4.36%
15.43
AESI NYSE · Atlas Energy Solutions Inc.
17 Apr 202613.29
14.47
8.88%
6
48.84
1.80%
2.59
AGL NYSE · agilon health Inc
29 May 202692.28
111.01
20.30%
4
89.13
40.13%
161.74
AIN NYSE · Albany International Corporation
5 Jun 202667.74
73.39
8.34%
8
92.31
2.26%
6.44
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
3 Jul 20264.84
4.84
New Entry week
5
76.39
4.24%
3.81
ALB NYSE · Albemarle Corp
26 Sep 202587.40
135.56
55.10%
5
39.35
0.77%
0.68
ALGN NASDAQ · Align Technology Inc
27 Feb 2026190.10
184.52
-2.94%
5
85.89
0.43%
6.62
ALLO NASDAQ · Allogene Therapeutics Inc
9 Jan 20261.71
2.08
21.64%
7
50.24
2.34%
4.48
AMLX NASDAQ · Amylyx Pharmaceuticals Inc
4 Jul 20256.30
18.27
190.00%
5
47.68
1.96%
41.91
AMN NYSE · AMN Healthcare Services Inc
8 May 202628.97
34.75
19.95%
4
67.09
2.62%
32.60
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
10 Apr 2026192.52
160.00
-16.89%
4
11.80
4.45%
14.01
AMRC NYSE · Ameresco Inc
5 Sep 202525.93
25.40
-2.04%
4
93.91
1.74%
12.36
AMRN NASDAQ · Amarin Corporation PLC
27 Jun 202515.71
16.37
4.20%
4
74.06
3.72%
23.38
AMWL NYSE · American Well Corp
8 May 20267.97
9.25
16.06%
4
41.83
0.86%
16.91
ANIK NASDAQ · Anika Therapeutics Inc
27 Feb 202614.36
15.36
6.96%
4
65.94
1.32%
18.81
ANTX NASDAQ · AN2 Therapeutics Inc
27 Mar 20263.66
4.42
20.77%
4
88.09
31.68%
170.00
APTV NYSE · Aptiv PLC
20 Jun 202567.05
58.89
-12.17%
5
53.28
2.66%
0.22
ARCO NYSE · Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc
13 Feb 20268.29
8.23
-0.69%
6
75.07
1.36%
3.99
ARL NYSE · American Realty Investors Inc
19 Sep 202516.42
21.22
29.23%
5
71.46
2.09%
2.55
ASC NYSE · Ardmore Shpng
19 Sep 202512.24
14.86
21.39%
5
58.56
1.92%
0.74
ASIX NYSE · AdvanSix Inc
24 Apr 202623.25
20.29
-12.71%
5
87.79
2.44%
6.49
ASLE NASDAQ · AerSale Corp
28 Feb 20257.00
6.57
-6.14%
7
67.42
0.28%
2.90

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 901-930 of 4953
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
21 Nov 2025
Exit
CLNE NASDAQ · Clean Energy Fuels Corp
2.15
20% entry drawdown
-21.25%
Entry 3 Oct 2025 2.73
21 Nov 2025
Exit
CNTN NASDAQ · Canton Strategic Holdings, Inc.
2.45
20% entry drawdown
-21.97%
Entry 12 Sep 2025 3.14
21 Nov 2025
Exit
CVV NASDAQ · CVD Equipment Corporation
3.15
20% entry drawdown
-20.25%
Entry 17 Oct 2025 3.95
21 Nov 2025
Entry
CYPH NASDAQ · Cypherpunk Technologies Inc.
2.28
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 88.38 · ROC 41.97% · RS 126.66
21 Nov 2025
Exit
ECX NASDAQ · ECARX Holdings Inc. Class A Ordinary shares
1.69
20% entry drawdown
-32.40%
Entry 31 Oct 2025 2.50
21 Nov 2025
Exit
INVZ NASDAQ · Innoviz Technologies
1.22
20% entry drawdown
-26.95%
Entry 29 Aug 2025 1.67
21 Nov 2025
Exit
LOCL NYSE · Local Bounti Corp
2.36
20% entry drawdown
-21.72%
Entry 10 Oct 2025 3.02
21 Nov 2025
Entry
MRK NYSE · Merck & Company Inc
95.52
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 77.04 · ROC 1.98% · RS 4.74
21 Nov 2025
Entry
NEO NASDAQ · NeoGenomics Inc
11.48
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 85.97 · ROC 1.59% · RS 1.48
21 Nov 2025
Exit
NRXP NASDAQ · NRX Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.13
20% entry drawdown
-27.80%
Entry 26 Sep 2025 2.95
21 Nov 2025
Entry
OBIO NASDAQ · Orchestra BioMed Holdings Inc.
4.53
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 77.18 · ROC 5.60% · RS 10.11
21 Nov 2025
Exit
OPTX NASDAQ · Syntec Optics Holdings Inc.
1.25
20% entry drawdown
-34.04%
Entry 10 Oct 2025 1.90
21 Nov 2025
Entry
ORMP NASDAQ · Oramed Pharmaceuticals Inc
2.42
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 7.00 · ROC 1.20% · RS 2.71
21 Nov 2025
Exit
OTLY NASDAQ · Oatly Group AB ADR
11.61
20% entry drawdown
-29.68%
Entry 8 Aug 2025 16.51
21 Nov 2025
Entry
RANI NASDAQ · Rani Therapeutics Holdings Inc
1.63
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 81.57 · ROC 13.98% · RS 32.41
21 Nov 2025
Entry
REGN NASDAQ · Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc
753.90
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 88.39 · ROC 2.81% · RS 10.49
21 Nov 2025
Exit
RILY NASDAQ · BRC Group Holdings, Inc.
4.32
20% entry drawdown
-30.55%
Entry 12 Sep 2025 6.22
21 Nov 2025
Exit
SILC NASDAQ · Silicom
14.06
20% entry drawdown
-21.06%
Entry 10 Oct 2025 17.81
21 Nov 2025
Exit
SKLZ NYSE · Skillz Platform Inc
5.26
20% entry drawdown
-22.87%
Entry 11 Jul 2025 6.82
21 Nov 2025
Exit
TLRY NASDAQ · Tilray Inc
9.06
20% entry drawdown
-25.13%
Entry 19 Sep 2025 12.10
21 Nov 2025
Exit
VNCE NASDAQ · Vince Holding Corp. Common Stock
2.44
20% entry drawdown
-20.52%
Entry 17 Oct 2025 3.07
21 Nov 2025
Entry
WETH NASDAQ · Wetouch Technology Inc. Common Stock
2.04
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 89.14 · ROC 15.00% · RS 35.87
21 Nov 2025
Entry
XNCR NASDAQ · Xencor Inc
15.87
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 99.64 · ROC 7.77% · RS 8.81
21 Nov 2025
Exit
YJ NASDAQ · Yunji Inc
1.45
20% entry drawdown
-29.02%
Entry 10 Oct 2025 2.04
14 Nov 2025
Exit
AISP NASDAQ · Airship AI Holdings Inc
3.34
20% entry drawdown
-28.94%
Entry 13 Jun 2025 4.70
14 Nov 2025
Exit
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
0.82
20% entry drawdown
-25.66%
Entry 24 Oct 2025 1.10
14 Nov 2025
Exit
BGDE NASDAQ · Big Digital Energy, Inc.
11.00
20% entry drawdown
-47.61%
Entry 7 Nov 2025 21.00
14 Nov 2025
Exit
BKKT NYSE · Bakkt Holdings Inc
18.15
20% entry drawdown
-23.29%
Entry 7 Nov 2025 23.66
14 Nov 2025
Exit
BRNS NASDAQ · Barinthus Biotherapeutics plc
0.80
20% entry drawdown
-35.89%
Entry 15 Aug 2025 1.24
14 Nov 2025
Exit
CHRS NASDAQ · Coherus BioSciences Inc
1.19
20% entry drawdown
-20.67%
Entry 26 Sep 2025 1.50