Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 3 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
442.32
Total Return
342.32%
CAGR
53.15% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+31.04%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.25 Sortino 3.84
Current Holdings
285
Transactions
4953 Avg 1420.0/yr · 118.3/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2334 Stop 57.2% · Warning 42.7% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

3 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
12
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
4.84 5 signals · MA 76.39 · ROC 4.24% · RS 3.81
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
73.83 4 signals · MA 83.35 · ROC 9.24% · RS 22.03
EDIT NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc
3.65 8 signals · MA 23.20 · ROC 2.51% · RS 18.52
EPC NYSE · Edgewell Personal Care Co
27.21 4 signals · MA 81.29 · ROC 5.52% · RS 19.35
JXG NASDAQ · JX Luxventure Group Inc.
10.84 4 signals · MA 84.92 · ROC 12.88% · RS 8.46
MAN NYSE · ManpowerGroup Inc
38.79 4 signals · MA 92.33 · ROC 3.87% · RS 8.61
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
13.57 5 signals · MA 82.73 · ROC 5.93% · RS 2.64
NWL NASDAQ · Newell Brands Inc
5.83 4 signals · MA 79.52 · ROC 6.86% · RS 15.74
QMCO NASDAQ · Quantum Corporation
10.16 5 signals · MA 99.53 · ROC 9.13% · RS 7.75
SABR NASDAQ · Sabre Corpo
2.09 7 signals · MA 78.18 · ROC 2.51% · RS 3.07
TLX NASDAQ · Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited
11.87 8 signals · MA 51.65 · ROC 1.56% · RS 4.35
WYHG NASDAQ · Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited American Depositary Shares
4.51 4 signals · MA 72.17 · ROC 5.14% · RS 9.36

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
4
ABX NYSE · Abacus Global Management, Inc.
11.86 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.75%
ENPH NASDAQ · Enphase Energy Inc
43.07 20% entry drawdown · -23.19%
HLLY NYSE · Holley Inc
2.40 20% entry drawdown · -21.82%
STI NASDAQ · Solidion Technology Inc.
7.85 20% entry drawdown · -36.39%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 1-30 of 285 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
ABLV NASDAQ · Able View Global Inc. Class B Ordinary Shares
12 Jun 20261.10
1.19
8.18%
4
47.21
4.07%
9.75
ABVC NASDAQ · ABVC Biopharma Inc
18 Apr 20250.86
1.80
110.53%
4
65.71
3.66%
30.91
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
20 Mar 20266.42
5.15
-19.78%
5
87.50
2.10%
14.76
ACHC NASDAQ · Acadia Healthcare Company Inc
15 May 202625.81
31.91
23.63%
5
83.10
1.05%
3.19
ACRS NASDAQ · Aclaris Therapeutics Inc
31 Oct 20252.52
5.56
120.63%
8
32.15
4.84%
5.56
ACTG NASDAQ · Acacia Research Corporation
13 Feb 20264.01
4.54
13.22%
7
60.85
0.98%
2.74
ADNT NYSE · Adient PLC
1 Aug 202521.40
18.76
-12.34%
4
90.40
3.89%
9.73
ADV NASDAQ · Advantage Solutions Inc
5 Jun 202638.75
38.86
0.28%
4
89.18
2.82%
6.16
AERT NASDAQ · Aeries Technology Inc.
19 Jun 20267.22
7.34
1.66%
4
36.85
4.36%
15.43
AESI NYSE · Atlas Energy Solutions Inc.
17 Apr 202613.29
14.47
8.88%
6
48.84
1.80%
2.59
AGL NYSE · agilon health Inc
29 May 202692.28
111.01
20.30%
4
89.13
40.13%
161.74
AIN NYSE · Albany International Corporation
5 Jun 202667.74
73.39
8.34%
8
92.31
2.26%
6.44
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
3 Jul 20264.84
4.84
New Entry week
5
76.39
4.24%
3.81
ALB NYSE · Albemarle Corp
26 Sep 202587.40
135.56
55.10%
5
39.35
0.77%
0.68
ALGN NASDAQ · Align Technology Inc
27 Feb 2026190.10
184.52
-2.94%
5
85.89
0.43%
6.62
ALLO NASDAQ · Allogene Therapeutics Inc
9 Jan 20261.71
2.08
21.64%
7
50.24
2.34%
4.48
AMLX NASDAQ · Amylyx Pharmaceuticals Inc
4 Jul 20256.30
18.27
190.00%
5
47.68
1.96%
41.91
AMN NYSE · AMN Healthcare Services Inc
8 May 202628.97
34.75
19.95%
4
67.09
2.62%
32.60
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
10 Apr 2026192.52
160.00
-16.89%
4
11.80
4.45%
14.01
AMRC NYSE · Ameresco Inc
5 Sep 202525.93
25.40
-2.04%
4
93.91
1.74%
12.36
AMRN NASDAQ · Amarin Corporation PLC
27 Jun 202515.71
16.37
4.20%
4
74.06
3.72%
23.38
AMWL NYSE · American Well Corp
8 May 20267.97
9.25
16.06%
4
41.83
0.86%
16.91
ANIK NASDAQ · Anika Therapeutics Inc
27 Feb 202614.36
15.36
6.96%
4
65.94
1.32%
18.81
ANTX NASDAQ · AN2 Therapeutics Inc
27 Mar 20263.66
4.42
20.77%
4
88.09
31.68%
170.00
APTV NYSE · Aptiv PLC
20 Jun 202567.05
58.89
-12.17%
5
53.28
2.66%
0.22
ARCO NYSE · Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc
13 Feb 20268.29
8.23
-0.69%
6
75.07
1.36%
3.99
ARL NYSE · American Realty Investors Inc
19 Sep 202516.42
21.22
29.23%
5
71.46
2.09%
2.55
ASC NYSE · Ardmore Shpng
19 Sep 202512.24
14.86
21.39%
5
58.56
1.92%
0.74
ASIX NYSE · AdvanSix Inc
24 Apr 202623.25
20.29
-12.71%
5
87.79
2.44%
6.49
ASLE NASDAQ · AerSale Corp
28 Feb 20257.00
6.57
-6.14%
7
67.42
0.28%
2.90

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 1441-1470 of 4953
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
8 Aug 2025
Entry
ETSY NYSE · Etsy, Inc.
60.91
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 51.06 · ROC 1.68% · RS 5.58
8 Aug 2025
Entry
EVEX NYSE · Eve Holding Inc
5.86
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 63.70 · ROC 3.67% · RS 24.46
8 Aug 2025
Entry
GAME NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.
0.98
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 48.01 · ROC 4.52% · RS 0.41
8 Aug 2025
Exit
HRTX NASDAQ · Heron Therapeuti
1.32
20% entry drawdown
-37.14%
Entry 4 Apr 2025 2.10
8 Aug 2025
Entry
IMMX NASDAQ · Immix Biopharma Inc
2.39
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 39.17 · ROC 3.07% · RS 4.86
8 Aug 2025
Entry
INKT NASDAQ · Mink Therapeutics Inc
12.06
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 37.90 · ROC 12.95% · RS 12.95
8 Aug 2025
Entry
LOOP NASDAQ · Loop Industries Inc
1.63
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 51.06 · ROC 2.12% · RS 6.96
8 Aug 2025
Entry
MRM NASDAQ · Medirom Healthcare Technologies Inc
2.76
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 55.73 · ROC 7.60% · RS 34.54
8 Aug 2025
Exit
NRDY NYSE · Nerdy Inc
1.28
20% entry drawdown
-24.26%
Entry 16 May 2025 1.69
8 Aug 2025
Exit
NVCT NASDAQ · Nuvectis Pharma Inc
6.00
20% entry drawdown
-27.27%
Entry 4 Apr 2025 8.25
8 Aug 2025
Entry
ONT NYSE · Onterris
26.13
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 44.28 · ROC 3.00% · RS 12.53
8 Aug 2025
Entry
OTLY NASDAQ · Oatly Group AB ADR
16.51
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 45.81 · ROC 2.56% · RS 9.04
8 Aug 2025
Exit
SANA NASDAQ · Sana Biotechnology Inc
3.00
20% entry drawdown
-23.27%
Entry 1 Aug 2025 3.91
8 Aug 2025
Entry
SRI NYSE · Stoneridge Inc
7.80
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 84.20 · ROC 4.13% · RS 1.21
8 Aug 2025
Exit
TLSI NASDAQ · TriSalus Life Sciences Inc.
3.95
20% entry drawdown
-24.33%
Entry 4 Apr 2025 5.22
8 Aug 2025
Exit
TWST NASDAQ · Twist Bioscience Corp
25.64
20% entry drawdown
-25.92%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 34.61
8 Aug 2025
Exit
VEON NASDAQ · VEON Ltd
56.20
Reversal Risk Warning
330.57%
Entry 27 Jan 2023 13.05
8 Aug 2025
Exit
VIOT NASDAQ · Viomi Technology ADR
3.41
Reversal Risk Warning
255.31%
Entry 9 Aug 2024 0.96
8 Aug 2025
Exit
YALA NYSE · Yalla Group Ltd
9.08
Reversal Risk Warning
109.70%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 4.33
1 Aug 2025
Entry
ADNT NYSE · Adient PLC
21.40
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 90.40 · ROC 3.89% · RS 9.73
1 Aug 2025
Exit
APYX NASDAQ · Apyx Medical Inc
1.75
20% entry drawdown
-22.57%
Entry 18 Jul 2025 2.26
1 Aug 2025
Entry
AREC NASDAQ · American Resources Corp Class A
1.18
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 92.22 · ROC 4.14% · RS 30.69
1 Aug 2025
Entry
ARTL NASDAQ · Artelo Biosciences Inc
30.60
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 60.23 · ROC 19.31% · RS 26.78
1 Aug 2025
Exit
BIRD NASDAQ · Allbirds Inc
9.50
20% entry drawdown
-21.81%
Entry 11 Jul 2025 12.15
1 Aug 2025
Entry
DK NYSE · Delek US Energy Inc
20.16
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 76.70 · ROC 5.38% · RS 8.09
1 Aug 2025
Entry
GOOS NYSE · Canada Goose Holdings Inc
11.27
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 98.00 · ROC 4.60% · RS 1.27
1 Aug 2025
Entry
HSY NYSE · Hershey Co
183.49
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 77.93 · ROC 0.61% · RS 2.33
1 Aug 2025
Exit
IMCC NASDAQ · Im Cannabis Corp
2.53
20% entry drawdown
-26.02%
Entry 18 Jul 2025 3.42
1 Aug 2025
Exit
JD NASDAQ · JD.com Inc Adr
29.86
20% entry drawdown
-20.34%
Entry 18 Oct 2024 37.48
1 Aug 2025
Entry
MANU NYSE · Manchester United Ltd
17.57
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 63.79 · ROC 0.41% · RS 2.39