Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
437.28
Total Return
337.28%
CAGR
52.30% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.85%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23 Sortino 3.79
Current Holdings
283
Transactions
4969 Avg 1416.8/yr · 118.1/mo · 27.2/wk
Exit Mix
2343 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.6% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
8
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92 4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10 4 signals · MA 27.02 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42 6 signals · MA 41.93 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18 4 signals · MA 83.69 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21 4 signals · MA 0.63 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88 6 signals · MA 36.82 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29 8 signals · MA 81.90 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22 7 signals · MA 32.21 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
10
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92 20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.47%
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56 20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24 20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95 20% entry drawdown · -25.57%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 1-30 of 283 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
ABLV NASDAQ · Able View Global Inc. Class B Ordinary Shares
12 Jun 20261.10
1.03
-6.36%
4
48.39
4.07%
9.75
ABVC NASDAQ · ABVC Biopharma Inc
18 Apr 20250.86
1.51
76.61%
4
65.71
3.66%
30.91
ACHC NASDAQ · Acadia Healthcare Company Inc
15 May 202625.81
31.28
21.19%
5
83.10
1.05%
3.19
ACRS NASDAQ · Aclaris Therapeutics Inc
31 Oct 20252.52
5.58
121.43%
8
32.15
4.84%
5.56
ACTG NASDAQ · Acacia Research Corporation
13 Feb 20264.01
4.42
10.22%
7
60.85
0.98%
2.74
ADNT NYSE · Adient PLC
1 Aug 202521.40
19.96
-6.73%
4
90.40
3.89%
9.73
ADV NASDAQ · Advantage Solutions Inc
5 Jun 202638.75
39.89
2.94%
4
89.18
2.82%
6.16
AERT NASDAQ · Aeries Technology Inc.
19 Jun 20267.22
6.96
-3.60%
4
42.54
4.36%
15.43
AESI NYSE · Atlas Energy Solutions Inc.
17 Apr 202613.29
14.39
8.28%
6
48.84
1.80%
2.59
AGL NYSE · agilon health Inc
29 May 202692.28
114.85
24.46%
4
89.13
40.13%
161.74
AIN NYSE · Albany International Corporation
5 Jun 202667.74
72.57
7.13%
8
91.83
2.26%
6.44
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
3 Jul 20264.84
4.30
-11.07%
5
77.97
4.24%
3.81
ALB NYSE · Albemarle Corp
26 Sep 202587.40
126.05
44.22%
5
39.35
0.77%
0.68
ALGN NASDAQ · Align Technology Inc
27 Feb 2026190.10
179.45
-5.60%
5
85.89
0.43%
6.62
ALLO NASDAQ · Allogene Therapeutics Inc
9 Jan 20261.71
2.00
16.96%
7
50.24
2.34%
4.48
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
10 Jul 20269.92
9.92
New Entry week
4
47.92
1.23%
4.42
AMLX NASDAQ · Amylyx Pharmaceuticals Inc
4 Jul 20256.30
17.77
182.06%
5
47.68
1.96%
41.91
AMN NYSE · AMN Healthcare Services Inc
8 May 202628.97
32.37
11.74%
4
67.09
2.62%
32.60
AMRC NYSE · Ameresco Inc
5 Sep 202525.93
24.94
-3.82%
4
93.91
1.74%
12.36
AMRN NASDAQ · Amarin Corporation PLC
27 Jun 202515.71
14.88
-5.28%
4
74.06
3.72%
23.38
AMWL NYSE · American Well Corp
8 May 20267.97
9.91
24.34%
4
41.83
0.86%
16.91
ANIK NASDAQ · Anika Therapeutics Inc
27 Feb 202614.36
15.60
8.64%
4
65.94
1.32%
18.81
ANTX NASDAQ · AN2 Therapeutics Inc
27 Mar 20263.66
4.50
22.95%
4
88.09
31.68%
170.00
APTV NYSE · Aptiv PLC
20 Jun 202567.05
60.57
-9.66%
5
53.28
2.66%
0.22
ARCO NYSE · Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc
13 Feb 20268.29
8.46
2.09%
6
75.07
1.36%
3.99
ARL NYSE · American Realty Investors Inc
19 Sep 202516.42
20.78
26.55%
5
71.46
2.09%
2.55
ASC NYSE · Ardmore Shpng
19 Sep 202512.24
16.39
33.89%
5
58.56
1.92%
0.74
ASIX NYSE · AdvanSix Inc
24 Apr 202623.25
20.28
-12.76%
5
87.79
2.44%
6.49
ASLE NASDAQ · AerSale Corp
28 Feb 20257.00
6.02
-14.00%
7
67.42
0.28%
2.90
ASPN NYSE · Aspen Aerogels Inc
12 Jun 20265.92
5.16
-12.84%
4
95.36
0.15%
3.76

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 2071-2100 of 4969
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
7 Feb 2025
Exit
LFT NYSE · Lument Finance Trust Inc
2.37
Reversal Risk Warning
57.42%
Entry 8 Sep 2023 1.50
7 Feb 2025
Exit
LSPD NYSE · Lightspeed Commerce Inc
13.12
20% entry drawdown
-24.03%
Entry 15 Nov 2024 17.27
7 Feb 2025
Entry
MDAI NASDAQ · Spectral AI Inc.
2.06
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 17.33 · ROC 1.45% · RS 5.60
7 Feb 2025
Exit
MPAA NASDAQ · Motorcar Parts of America Inc
5.75
20% entry drawdown
-27.31%
Entry 20 Dec 2024 7.91
7 Feb 2025
Exit
NKTR NASDAQ · Nektar Therapeutics
10.14
20% entry drawdown
-27.64%
Entry 29 Mar 2024 14.01
7 Feb 2025
Exit
NOTV NASDAQ · Inotiv Inc
3.51
20% entry drawdown
-26.03%
Entry 27 Dec 2024 4.75
7 Feb 2025
Exit
NVCR NASDAQ · Novocure Ltd
22.25
20% entry drawdown
-26.30%
Entry 3 Jan 2025 30.19
7 Feb 2025
Exit
ODYS NASDAQ · Odysight.ai Inc. Common Stock
9.50
Reversal Risk Warning
100.00%
Entry 8 Mar 2024 4.75
7 Feb 2025
Exit
OPFI NYSE · OppFi Inc
16.42
Reversal Risk Warning
565.88%
Entry 8 Sep 2023 2.47
7 Feb 2025
Exit
PERF NYSE · Perfect Corp.
2.05
20% entry drawdown
-21.76%
Entry 3 Jan 2025 2.62
7 Feb 2025
Exit
PLBY NASDAQ · Plby Group Inc
2.10
Reversal Risk Warning
48.94%
Entry 13 Dec 2024 1.41
7 Feb 2025
Exit
SBH NYSE · Sally Beauty Holdings Inc
9.76
20% entry drawdown
-25.61%
Entry 1 Nov 2024 13.12
7 Feb 2025
Exit
SDA NASDAQ · SunCar Technology Group Inc.
4.76
20% entry drawdown
-51.87%
Entry 16 Aug 2024 9.89
7 Feb 2025
Exit
SPCB NASDAQ · Supercom Ltd
8.76
20% entry drawdown
-36.71%
Entry 24 Jan 2025 13.84
7 Feb 2025
Exit
SRZN NASDAQ · Surrozen Inc
10.41
20% entry drawdown
-25.11%
Entry 27 Dec 2024 13.90
7 Feb 2025
Exit
STEX NASDAQ · Streamex Corp
0.91
20% entry drawdown
-21.66%
Entry 17 Jan 2025 1.16
7 Feb 2025
Entry
TDUP NASDAQ · ThredUp Inc
2.47
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 87.35 · ROC 6.26% · RS 45.08
7 Feb 2025
Exit
UA NYSE · Under Armour Inc C
6.70
20% entry drawdown
-23.52%
Entry 8 Nov 2024 8.76
7 Feb 2025
Entry
ZSQR NASDAQ · Z Squared Inc.
11.34
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 61.06 · ROC 16.65% · RS 71.26
31 Jan 2025
Entry
ARBE NASDAQ · Arbe Robotics Ltd
2.56
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 62.86 · ROC 7.23% · RS 15.79
31 Jan 2025
Exit
BKKT NYSE · Bakkt Holdings Inc
17.56
20% entry drawdown
-35.23%
Entry 3 Jan 2025 27.11
31 Jan 2025
Entry
BTBD NASDAQ · Bt Brands Inc
1.86
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 50.95 · ROC 1.67% · RS 5.19
31 Jan 2025
Exit
CLBT NASDAQ · Cellebrite DI
24.04
Reversal Risk Warning
309.54%
Entry 10 Mar 2023 5.87
31 Jan 2025
Entry
CRGO NASDAQ · Freightos Limited Ordinary shares
4.00
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 87.62 · ROC 10.12% · RS 60.56
31 Jan 2025
Entry
CYCN NASDAQ · Cyclerion Therapeutics Inc
3.92
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 23.90 · ROC 3.68% · RS 19.86
31 Jan 2025
Exit
EAT NYSE · Brinker International Inc
181.97
Reversal Risk Warning
409.72%
Entry 6 Jan 2023 35.70
31 Jan 2025
Entry
EVEX NYSE · Eve Holding Inc
5.13
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 47.33 · ROC 3.10% · RS 7.24
31 Jan 2025
Exit
GLBE NASDAQ · Global-E Online Ltd
59.89
Reversal Risk Warning
93.63%
Entry 5 May 2023 30.93
31 Jan 2025
Exit
HUBS NYSE · HubSpot Inc
779.53
Reversal Risk Warning
110.85%
Entry 10 Mar 2023 369.70
31 Jan 2025
Exit
JKS NYSE · JinkoSolar Holding Company Limited
19.68
20% entry drawdown
-20.76%
Entry 3 Jan 2025 24.84