Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
437.28
Total Return
337.28%
CAGR
52.30% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.85%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23 Sortino 3.79
Current Holdings
283
Transactions
4969 Avg 1416.8/yr · 118.1/mo · 27.2/wk
Exit Mix
2343 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.6% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
8
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92 4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10 4 signals · MA 27.02 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42 6 signals · MA 41.93 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18 4 signals · MA 83.69 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21 4 signals · MA 0.63 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88 6 signals · MA 36.82 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29 8 signals · MA 81.90 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22 7 signals · MA 32.21 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
10
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92 20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.47%
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56 20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24 20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95 20% entry drawdown · -25.57%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 1-30 of 283 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
ABLV NASDAQ · Able View Global Inc. Class B Ordinary Shares
12 Jun 20261.10
1.03
-6.36%
4
48.39
4.07%
9.75
ABVC NASDAQ · ABVC Biopharma Inc
18 Apr 20250.86
1.51
76.61%
4
65.71
3.66%
30.91
ACHC NASDAQ · Acadia Healthcare Company Inc
15 May 202625.81
31.28
21.19%
5
83.10
1.05%
3.19
ACRS NASDAQ · Aclaris Therapeutics Inc
31 Oct 20252.52
5.58
121.43%
8
32.15
4.84%
5.56
ACTG NASDAQ · Acacia Research Corporation
13 Feb 20264.01
4.42
10.22%
7
60.85
0.98%
2.74
ADNT NYSE · Adient PLC
1 Aug 202521.40
19.96
-6.73%
4
90.40
3.89%
9.73
ADV NASDAQ · Advantage Solutions Inc
5 Jun 202638.75
39.89
2.94%
4
89.18
2.82%
6.16
AERT NASDAQ · Aeries Technology Inc.
19 Jun 20267.22
6.96
-3.60%
4
42.54
4.36%
15.43
AESI NYSE · Atlas Energy Solutions Inc.
17 Apr 202613.29
14.39
8.28%
6
48.84
1.80%
2.59
AGL NYSE · agilon health Inc
29 May 202692.28
114.85
24.46%
4
89.13
40.13%
161.74
AIN NYSE · Albany International Corporation
5 Jun 202667.74
72.57
7.13%
8
91.83
2.26%
6.44
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
3 Jul 20264.84
4.30
-11.07%
5
77.97
4.24%
3.81
ALB NYSE · Albemarle Corp
26 Sep 202587.40
126.05
44.22%
5
39.35
0.77%
0.68
ALGN NASDAQ · Align Technology Inc
27 Feb 2026190.10
179.45
-5.60%
5
85.89
0.43%
6.62
ALLO NASDAQ · Allogene Therapeutics Inc
9 Jan 20261.71
2.00
16.96%
7
50.24
2.34%
4.48
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
10 Jul 20269.92
9.92
New Entry week
4
47.92
1.23%
4.42
AMLX NASDAQ · Amylyx Pharmaceuticals Inc
4 Jul 20256.30
17.77
182.06%
5
47.68
1.96%
41.91
AMN NYSE · AMN Healthcare Services Inc
8 May 202628.97
32.37
11.74%
4
67.09
2.62%
32.60
AMRC NYSE · Ameresco Inc
5 Sep 202525.93
24.94
-3.82%
4
93.91
1.74%
12.36
AMRN NASDAQ · Amarin Corporation PLC
27 Jun 202515.71
14.88
-5.28%
4
74.06
3.72%
23.38
AMWL NYSE · American Well Corp
8 May 20267.97
9.91
24.34%
4
41.83
0.86%
16.91
ANIK NASDAQ · Anika Therapeutics Inc
27 Feb 202614.36
15.60
8.64%
4
65.94
1.32%
18.81
ANTX NASDAQ · AN2 Therapeutics Inc
27 Mar 20263.66
4.50
22.95%
4
88.09
31.68%
170.00
APTV NYSE · Aptiv PLC
20 Jun 202567.05
60.57
-9.66%
5
53.28
2.66%
0.22
ARCO NYSE · Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc
13 Feb 20268.29
8.46
2.09%
6
75.07
1.36%
3.99
ARL NYSE · American Realty Investors Inc
19 Sep 202516.42
20.78
26.55%
5
71.46
2.09%
2.55
ASC NYSE · Ardmore Shpng
19 Sep 202512.24
16.39
33.89%
5
58.56
1.92%
0.74
ASIX NYSE · AdvanSix Inc
24 Apr 202623.25
20.28
-12.76%
5
87.79
2.44%
6.49
ASLE NASDAQ · AerSale Corp
28 Feb 20257.00
6.02
-14.00%
7
67.42
0.28%
2.90
ASPN NYSE · Aspen Aerogels Inc
12 Jun 20265.92
5.16
-12.84%
4
95.36
0.15%
3.76

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 2251-2280 of 4969
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
13 Dec 2024
Exit
NWL NASDAQ · Newell Brands Inc
10.06
Reversal Risk Warning
26.17%
Entry 1 Nov 2024 7.97
13 Dec 2024
Entry
ONDS NASDAQ · Ondas Holdings Inc.
1.40
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 40.49 · ROC 3.85% · RS 23.29
13 Dec 2024
Entry
OPTU NYSE · Optimum Communications, Inc.
2.68
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 54.24 · ROC 2.80% · RS 2.52
13 Dec 2024
Entry
PETS NASDAQ · PetMed Express Inc
5.51
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 67.69 · ROC 3.34% · RS 1.47
13 Dec 2024
Entry
PLBY NASDAQ · Plby Group Inc
1.41
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 97.31 · ROC 6.73% · RS 29.55
13 Dec 2024
Entry
RYM NASDAQ · RYTHM, Inc.
40.00
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 72.10 · ROC 112.72% · RS 270.25
13 Dec 2024
Entry
SCKT NASDAQ · Socket Mobile Inc
1.47
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 82.27 · ROC 3.29% · RS 10.02
13 Dec 2024
Exit
SGMT NASDAQ · Sagimet Biosciences Inc. Series A Common Stock
4.39
20% entry drawdown
-22.85%
Entry 29 Nov 2024 5.69
13 Dec 2024
Entry
VVOS NASDAQ · Vivos Therapeutics Inc
4.61
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 71.40 · ROC 7.65% · RS 1.80
13 Dec 2024
Exit
WIT NYSE · Wipro Limited ADR
3.44
Reversal Risk Warning
27.26%
Entry 19 Jan 2024 2.71
13 Dec 2024
Entry
YSG NYSE · Yatsen Holding
4.77
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 91.97 · ROC 0.98% · RS 20.71
13 Dec 2024
Exit
ZSTK NASDAQ · ZeroStack Corp.
50.70
20% entry drawdown
-22.16%
Entry 6 Dec 2024 65.13
6 Dec 2024
Exit
AOSL NASDAQ · Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd
48.43
Reversal Risk Warning
49.06%
Entry 21 Jun 2024 32.49
6 Dec 2024
Exit
API NASDAQ · Agora Inc
6.16
Reversal Risk Warning
40.32%
Entry 15 Nov 2024 4.39
6 Dec 2024
Entry
APPN NASDAQ · Appian Corp
40.65
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 78.18 · ROC 1.77% · RS 3.09
6 Dec 2024
Entry
ARQT NASDAQ · Arcutis Biotherapeutics Inc
12.40
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 57.82 · ROC 4.08% · RS 24.00
6 Dec 2024
Exit
BCYC NASDAQ · Bicycle Therapeutics Ltd
19.95
20% entry drawdown
-20.07%
Entry 8 Nov 2024 24.96
6 Dec 2024
Exit
BGDE NASDAQ · Big Digital Energy, Inc.
26.40
20% entry drawdown
-25.42%
Entry 15 Nov 2024 35.40
6 Dec 2024
Exit
BTBT NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc
4.88
Reversal Risk Warning
148.98%
Entry 14 Apr 2023 1.96
6 Dec 2024
Entry
BTCT NASDAQ · BTC Digital Ltd.
10.50
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 11.70 · ROC 91.46% · RS 151.16
6 Dec 2024
Exit
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
5.36
Reversal Risk Warning
165.35%
Entry 10 May 2024 2.02
6 Dec 2024
Exit
CAN NASDAQ · Canaan Inc
3.04
Reversal Risk Warning
54.31%
Entry 22 Nov 2024 1.97
6 Dec 2024
Exit
CRM NYSE · Salesforce.com Inc
357.26
Reversal Risk Warning
82.01%
Entry 31 Mar 2023 196.29
6 Dec 2024
Exit
DOCU NASDAQ · DocuSign Inc
106.99
Reversal Risk Warning
55.08%
Entry 25 Oct 2024 68.99
6 Dec 2024
Entry
EAF NYSE · GrafTech International Ltd
20.60
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 83.31 · ROC 4.25% · RS 22.26
6 Dec 2024
Exit
FVRR NYSE · Fiverr International Ltd
35.35
Reversal Risk Warning
10.09%
Entry 22 Nov 2024 32.11
6 Dec 2024
Exit
GTEC NASDAQ · Greenland Acquisition Corp
2.09
20% entry drawdown
-20.53%
Entry 1 Nov 2024 2.63
6 Dec 2024
Exit
IKT NASDAQ · Inhibikase Therapeutics Inc
3.28
Reversal Risk Warning
41.99%
Entry 22 Nov 2024 2.31
6 Dec 2024
Exit
MIRA NASDAQ · MIRA Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Common Stock
1.19
20% entry drawdown
-22.73%
Entry 15 Nov 2024 1.54
6 Dec 2024
Entry
MTEX NASDAQ · Mannatech Incorporated
11.01
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 68.44 · ROC 1.70% · RS 17.93