Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
437.28
Total Return
337.28%
CAGR
52.30% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.85%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23 Sortino 3.79
Current Holdings
283
Transactions
4969 Avg 1416.8/yr · 118.1/mo · 27.2/wk
Exit Mix
2343 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.6% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
8
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92 4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10 4 signals · MA 27.02 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42 6 signals · MA 41.93 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18 4 signals · MA 83.69 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21 4 signals · MA 0.63 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88 6 signals · MA 36.82 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29 8 signals · MA 81.90 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22 7 signals · MA 32.21 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
10
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92 20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.47%
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56 20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24 20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95 20% entry drawdown · -25.57%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 1-30 of 283 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
ABLV NASDAQ · Able View Global Inc. Class B Ordinary Shares
12 Jun 20261.10
1.03
-6.36%
4
48.39
4.07%
9.75
ABVC NASDAQ · ABVC Biopharma Inc
18 Apr 20250.86
1.51
76.61%
4
65.71
3.66%
30.91
ACHC NASDAQ · Acadia Healthcare Company Inc
15 May 202625.81
31.28
21.19%
5
83.10
1.05%
3.19
ACRS NASDAQ · Aclaris Therapeutics Inc
31 Oct 20252.52
5.58
121.43%
8
32.15
4.84%
5.56
ACTG NASDAQ · Acacia Research Corporation
13 Feb 20264.01
4.42
10.22%
7
60.85
0.98%
2.74
ADNT NYSE · Adient PLC
1 Aug 202521.40
19.96
-6.73%
4
90.40
3.89%
9.73
ADV NASDAQ · Advantage Solutions Inc
5 Jun 202638.75
39.89
2.94%
4
89.18
2.82%
6.16
AERT NASDAQ · Aeries Technology Inc.
19 Jun 20267.22
6.96
-3.60%
4
42.54
4.36%
15.43
AESI NYSE · Atlas Energy Solutions Inc.
17 Apr 202613.29
14.39
8.28%
6
48.84
1.80%
2.59
AGL NYSE · agilon health Inc
29 May 202692.28
114.85
24.46%
4
89.13
40.13%
161.74
AIN NYSE · Albany International Corporation
5 Jun 202667.74
72.57
7.13%
8
91.83
2.26%
6.44
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
3 Jul 20264.84
4.30
-11.07%
5
77.97
4.24%
3.81
ALB NYSE · Albemarle Corp
26 Sep 202587.40
126.05
44.22%
5
39.35
0.77%
0.68
ALGN NASDAQ · Align Technology Inc
27 Feb 2026190.10
179.45
-5.60%
5
85.89
0.43%
6.62
ALLO NASDAQ · Allogene Therapeutics Inc
9 Jan 20261.71
2.00
16.96%
7
50.24
2.34%
4.48
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
10 Jul 20269.92
9.92
New Entry week
4
47.92
1.23%
4.42
AMLX NASDAQ · Amylyx Pharmaceuticals Inc
4 Jul 20256.30
17.77
182.06%
5
47.68
1.96%
41.91
AMN NYSE · AMN Healthcare Services Inc
8 May 202628.97
32.37
11.74%
4
67.09
2.62%
32.60
AMRC NYSE · Ameresco Inc
5 Sep 202525.93
24.94
-3.82%
4
93.91
1.74%
12.36
AMRN NASDAQ · Amarin Corporation PLC
27 Jun 202515.71
14.88
-5.28%
4
74.06
3.72%
23.38
AMWL NYSE · American Well Corp
8 May 20267.97
9.91
24.34%
4
41.83
0.86%
16.91
ANIK NASDAQ · Anika Therapeutics Inc
27 Feb 202614.36
15.60
8.64%
4
65.94
1.32%
18.81
ANTX NASDAQ · AN2 Therapeutics Inc
27 Mar 20263.66
4.50
22.95%
4
88.09
31.68%
170.00
APTV NYSE · Aptiv PLC
20 Jun 202567.05
60.57
-9.66%
5
53.28
2.66%
0.22
ARCO NYSE · Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc
13 Feb 20268.29
8.46
2.09%
6
75.07
1.36%
3.99
ARL NYSE · American Realty Investors Inc
19 Sep 202516.42
20.78
26.55%
5
71.46
2.09%
2.55
ASC NYSE · Ardmore Shpng
19 Sep 202512.24
16.39
33.89%
5
58.56
1.92%
0.74
ASIX NYSE · AdvanSix Inc
24 Apr 202623.25
20.28
-12.76%
5
87.79
2.44%
6.49
ASLE NASDAQ · AerSale Corp
28 Feb 20257.00
6.02
-14.00%
7
67.42
0.28%
2.90
ASPN NYSE · Aspen Aerogels Inc
12 Jun 20265.92
5.16
-12.84%
4
95.36
0.15%
3.76

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 2791-2820 of 4969
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
26 Jul 2024
Exit
TRNO NYSE · Terreno Realty Corporation
64.86
Reversal Risk Warning
19.46%
Entry 10 Mar 2023 54.29
26 Jul 2024
Entry
UAMY NYSE · United States Antimony Corporation
0.35
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 10.34 · ROC 3.80% · RS 1.64
26 Jul 2024
Exit
UPBD NASDAQ · Upbound Group Inc.
32.39
Reversal Risk Warning
48.86%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 21.76
26 Jul 2024
Exit
VLN NYSE · Valens
2.28
20% entry drawdown
-31.33%
Entry 7 Jun 2024 3.32
26 Jul 2024
Entry
XPOF NYSE · Xponential Fitness Inc
17.80
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 95.72 · ROC 6.06% · RS 9.77
19 Jul 2024
Entry
CHWY NYSE · Chewy Inc
25.51
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 97.99 · ROC 3.76% · RS 7.47
19 Jul 2024
Entry
CLOV NASDAQ · Clover Health Investments Corp
1.63
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 94.90 · ROC 6.42% · RS 36.06
19 Jul 2024
Entry
GH NASDAQ · Guardant Health Inc
30.75
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 60.98 · ROC 1.51% · RS 0.76
19 Jul 2024
Entry
GNSS NASDAQ · Genasys Inc
2.56
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 80.74 · ROC 5.47% · RS 2.75
19 Jul 2024
Entry
HHS NASDAQ · Harte Hanks Inc
8.34
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 42.39 · ROC 2.28% · RS 2.34
19 Jul 2024
Entry
JCSE NASDAQ · JE Cleantech Holdings Ltd
0.89
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 33.17 · ROC 2.18% · RS 7.20
19 Jul 2024
Exit
LEE NASDAQ · Lee Enterprises Incorporated
9.95
20% entry drawdown
-22.69%
Entry 19 Apr 2024 12.87
19 Jul 2024
Entry
ONFO NASDAQ · Onfolio Holdings Inc
1.01
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 48.89 · ROC 12.75% · RS 18.16
19 Jul 2024
Entry
REBN NASDAQ · Reborn Coffee Inc
5.68
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 73.66 · ROC 6.60% · RS 29.32
12 Jul 2024
Entry
ERAS NASDAQ · Erasca Inc
2.97
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 16.71 · ROC 3.02% · RS 10.37
12 Jul 2024
Exit
FENG NYSE · Phoenix New Media Limited
3.98
Reversal Risk Warning
92.28%
Entry 5 Apr 2024 2.07
12 Jul 2024
Entry
GDS NASDAQ · GDS Holdings Ltd
11.53
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 81.55 · ROC 0.57% · RS 3.07
12 Jul 2024
Exit
MDWD NASDAQ · Mediwound Ltd
21.16
Reversal Risk Warning
61.90%
Entry 16 Feb 2024 13.07
12 Jul 2024
Entry
MOLN NASDAQ · Molecular Partners AG ADR
6.18
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 64.90 · ROC 9.75% · RS 6.80
12 Jul 2024
Entry
RFIL NASDAQ · RF Industries Ltd
4.34
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 66.57 · ROC 4.62% · RS 12.49
12 Jul 2024
Exit
SLS NASDAQ · Sellas Life Sciences Group Inc
1.16
20% entry drawdown
-20.55%
Entry 17 May 2024 1.46
12 Jul 2024
Entry
UI NYSE · Ubiquiti Networks Inc
162.07
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 33.85 · ROC 3.01% · RS 4.69
5 Jul 2024
Exit
AAP NYSE · Advance Auto Parts Inc
56.25
20% entry drawdown
-25.38%
Entry 19 Apr 2024 75.38
5 Jul 2024
Exit
IMRN NASDAQ · Immuron Ltd ADR
2.01
20% entry drawdown
-23.57%
Entry 29 Mar 2024 2.63
5 Jul 2024
Exit
KOSS NASDAQ · Koss Corporation
13.35
Reversal Risk Warning
232.09%
Entry 14 Jun 2024 4.02
5 Jul 2024
Exit
LOVE NASDAQ · The Lovesac Company
21.46
20% entry drawdown
-23.66%
Entry 31 May 2024 28.11
5 Jul 2024
Exit
NEOV NASDAQ · NeoVolta Inc. Common Stock
2.36
20% entry drawdown
-23.62%
Entry 14 Jun 2024 3.09
5 Jul 2024
Entry
NYC NYSE · New York City REIT Inc
10.04
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 71.18 · ROC 3.14% · RS 10.92
5 Jul 2024
Exit
OLED NASDAQ · Universal Display
212.22
Reversal Risk Warning
67.66%
Entry 10 Feb 2023 126.58
5 Jul 2024
Exit
SWIM NASDAQ · Latham Group Inc
2.74
20% entry drawdown
-25.95%
Entry 10 May 2024 3.70