View US ETF Index View Market Dynamics

Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 3 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
442.32
Total Return
342.32%
CAGR
53.15% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+31.04%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.25 Sortino 3.84
Current Holdings
285
Transactions
4953 Avg 1420.0/yr · 118.3/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2334 Stop 57.2% · Warning 42.7% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

3 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
12
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
4.84 5 signals · MA 76.39 · ROC 4.24% · RS 3.81
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
73.83 4 signals · MA 83.35 · ROC 9.24% · RS 22.03
EDIT NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc
3.65 8 signals · MA 23.20 · ROC 2.51% · RS 18.52
EPC NYSE · Edgewell Personal Care Co
27.21 4 signals · MA 81.29 · ROC 5.52% · RS 19.35
JXG NASDAQ · JX Luxventure Group Inc.
10.84 4 signals · MA 84.92 · ROC 12.88% · RS 8.46
MAN NYSE · ManpowerGroup Inc
38.79 4 signals · MA 92.33 · ROC 3.87% · RS 8.61
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
13.57 5 signals · MA 82.73 · ROC 5.93% · RS 2.64
NWL NASDAQ · Newell Brands Inc
5.83 4 signals · MA 79.52 · ROC 6.86% · RS 15.74
QMCO NASDAQ · Quantum Corporation
10.16 5 signals · MA 99.53 · ROC 9.13% · RS 7.75
SABR NASDAQ · Sabre Corpo
2.09 7 signals · MA 78.18 · ROC 2.51% · RS 3.07
TLX NASDAQ · Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited
11.87 8 signals · MA 51.65 · ROC 1.56% · RS 4.35
WYHG NASDAQ · Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited American Depositary Shares
4.51 4 signals · MA 72.17 · ROC 5.14% · RS 9.36

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
4
ABX NYSE · Abacus Global Management, Inc.
11.86 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.75%
ENPH NASDAQ · Enphase Energy Inc
43.07 20% entry drawdown · -23.19%
HLLY NYSE · Holley Inc
2.40 20% entry drawdown · -21.82%
STI NASDAQ · Solidion Technology Inc.
7.85 20% entry drawdown · -36.39%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 271-285 of 285 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
VLRS NYSE · Volaris
17 Oct 20257.00
9.16
30.86%
6
71.67
2.34%
0.71
WAFU NASDAQ · Wah Fu Education Group Ltd
17 Oct 20251.88
1.57
-16.49%
4
77.42
0.81%
1.04
WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
20 Mar 202618.04
24.09
33.54%
4
97.98
7.58%
104.56
WEST NASDAQ · Westrock Coffee Company
5 Jun 20267.54
7.06
-6.37%
8
87.58
10.08%
20.93
WSC NASDAQ · Willscot Mobile Mini Holdings Corp A
5 Jun 202626.21
26.66
1.72%
5
85.43
2.98%
0.21
WYHG NASDAQ · Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited American Depositary Shares
3 Jul 20264.51
4.51
New Entry week
4
72.17
5.14%
9.36
XFOR NASDAQ · X4 Pharmaceuticals Inc
10 Apr 20264.10
4.13
0.73%
4
42.28
2.04%
12.07
XIFR NYSE · XPLR Infrastructure LP Unit
8 May 202611.73
12.35
5.29%
8
34.34
0.51%
6.37
XPEL NASDAQ · Xpel Inc
28 Nov 202546.48
48.52
4.39%
4
54.51
5.76%
11.23
XPER NYSE · Xperi Corp
29 May 20267.95
8.20
3.14%
4
96.62
2.84%
7.56
XPRO NYSE · Expro Group Holdings NV
17 Oct 202512.44
14.38
15.59%
6
59.92
2.10%
1.09
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
1 May 20261.28
1.07
-16.41%
4
35.17
2.44%
19.60
ZD NASDAQ · Ziff Davis Inc
17 Apr 202647.55
52.43
10.26%
4
91.45
2.32%
20.55
ZGN NYSE · Ermenegildo Zegna NV
19 Sep 20259.50
13.17
38.63%
4
41.96
0.31%
3.15
ZNTL NASDAQ · Zentalis Pharmaceuticals Llc
30 Jan 20262.43
4.46
83.54%
4
93.40
15.91%
32.39

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 1291-1320 of 4953
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
12 Sep 2025
Entry
RILYL NASDAQ · BRC Group Holdings, Inc.
6.59
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 50.54 · ROC 4.08% · RS 4.03
12 Sep 2025
Entry
RJET NASDAQ · Republic Airways Holdings Inc
20.55
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 61.34 · ROC 0.56% · RS 11.34
12 Sep 2025
Entry
SCLX NASDAQ · Scilex Holding Company
16.36
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 65.96 · ROC 11.38% · RS 50.66
12 Sep 2025
Entry
SHIM NASDAQ · Shimmick Corporation Common Stock
3.17
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 93.20 · ROC 3.69% · RS 28.83
12 Sep 2025
Entry
SST NYSE · System1 Inc
8.92
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 69.41 · ROC 2.57% · RS 14.09
12 Sep 2025
Entry
UPXI NASDAQ · Upexi Inc.
6.76
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 12.57 · ROC 6.61% · RS 5.29
12 Sep 2025
Entry
VTGN NASDAQ · VistaGen Therapeutics Inc
3.39
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 70.66 · ROC 2.39% · RS 8.85
12 Sep 2025
Exit
WB NASDAQ · Weibo Corp
11.46
Reversal Risk Warning
41.25%
Entry 29 Nov 2024 8.11
5 Sep 2025
Entry
ALEC NASDAQ · Alector Inc
3.01
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 91.75 · ROC 7.32% · RS 12.27
5 Sep 2025
Exit
ALP NASDAQ · Alpha Compute Corp
5.09
20% entry drawdown
-29.31%
Entry 29 Aug 2025 7.20
5 Sep 2025
Entry
AMRC NYSE · Ameresco Inc
25.93
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 93.91 · ROC 1.74% · RS 12.36
5 Sep 2025
Exit
ARTL NASDAQ · Artelo Biosciences Inc
13.53
20% entry drawdown
-55.78%
Entry 1 Aug 2025 30.60
5 Sep 2025
Entry
CALC NASDAQ · CalciMedica, Inc. Common Stock
3.08
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 47.18 · ROC 0.65% · RS 1.44
5 Sep 2025
Exit
CELU NASDAQ · Celularity Inc
2.41
20% entry drawdown
-25.62%
Entry 8 Aug 2025 3.24
5 Sep 2025
Entry
CMPS NASDAQ · Compass Pathways Plc
5.14
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 55.46 · ROC 2.06% · RS 3.24
5 Sep 2025
Entry
CPOP NASDAQ · Pop Culture Group Co Ltd
1.23
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 49.95 · ROC 5.36% · RS 23.41
5 Sep 2025
Entry
FDMT NASDAQ · 4D Molecular Therapeutics Inc
7.27
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 93.61 · ROC 5.54% · RS 9.40
5 Sep 2025
Exit
FRMM NASDAQ · Forum Markets, Incorporated
23.10
20% entry drawdown
-30.00%
Entry 22 Aug 2025 33.00
5 Sep 2025
Exit
GEG NASDAQ · Great Elm Group Inc
2.75
Reversal Risk Warning
43.98%
Entry 14 Mar 2025 1.91
5 Sep 2025
Entry
GPRE NASDAQ · Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc
10.64
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 90.39 · ROC 2.21% · RS 16.49
5 Sep 2025
Entry
HVT NYSE · Haverty Furniture Companies Inc
22.99
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 48.06 · ROC 1.04% · RS 2.61
5 Sep 2025
Entry
HVT-A NYSE · Haverty Furniture Companies Inc
22.61
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 39.34 · ROC 0.79% · RS 0.55
5 Sep 2025
Entry
IRD NASDAQ · Opus Genetics, Inc.
1.27
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 43.84 · ROC 1.01% · RS 3.00
5 Sep 2025
Exit
IRTC NASDAQ · iRhythm Technologies Inc
181.05
Reversal Risk Warning
77.94%
Entry 7 Mar 2025 101.75
5 Sep 2025
Exit
KRC NYSE · Kilroy Realty Corp
40.78
Reversal Risk Warning
17.40%
Entry 29 Dec 2023 34.74
5 Sep 2025
Entry
LAR NYSE · Lithium Argentina AG
3.53
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 76.24 · ROC 3.83% · RS 20.46
5 Sep 2025
Entry
LIQT NASDAQ · LiqTech International Inc
2.11
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 42.12 · ROC 1.89% · RS 1.39
5 Sep 2025
Entry
MATV NYSE · Mativ Holdings Inc.
12.06
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 97.25 · ROC 6.34% · RS 19.79
5 Sep 2025
Exit
NMRK NASDAQ · Newmark Group Inc
18.41
Reversal Risk Warning
117.32%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 8.47
5 Sep 2025
Entry
OIS NYSE · Oil States International Inc
5.51
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 12.01 · ROC 0.07% · RS 1.28