View US ETF Index View Market Dynamics

Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
437.28
Total Return
337.28%
CAGR
52.30% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.85%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23 Sortino 3.79
Current Holdings
283
Transactions
4969 Avg 1416.8/yr · 118.1/mo · 27.2/wk
Exit Mix
2343 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.6% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
8
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92 4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10 4 signals · MA 27.02 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42 6 signals · MA 41.93 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18 4 signals · MA 83.69 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21 4 signals · MA 0.63 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88 6 signals · MA 36.82 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29 8 signals · MA 81.90 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22 7 signals · MA 32.21 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
10
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92 20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.47%
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56 20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24 20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95 20% entry drawdown · -25.57%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 31-60 of 283 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
ASRT NASDAQ · Assertio Therapeutics Inc
17 Apr 202618.01
23.50
30.48%
4
93.08
6.92%
37.06
ATER NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
12 Jun 20261.20
1.15
-4.17%
4
88.29
4.16%
8.63
ATKR NYSE · Atkore International Group Inc
15 May 202673.93
72.24
-2.29%
4
62.04
2.55%
0.64
ATNI NASDAQ · ATN International Inc
5 Dec 202520.94
23.91
14.17%
4
92.66
3.87%
11.20
ATOM NASDAQ · Atomera Inc
10 Apr 20265.09
6.63
30.26%
6
15.56
3.98%
16.03
ATS NYSE · ATS Corporation
6 Mar 202630.23
27.95
-7.54%
4
56.24
0.55%
1.10
AURA NASDAQ · Aura Biosciences Inc
15 May 20267.74
6.84
-11.63%
6
99.14
3.73%
4.17
AVNT NYSE · Avient Corp
6 Mar 202636.03
36.03
-0.01%
4
86.64
3.22%
0.52
AVTX NASDAQ · Avalo Therapeutics Inc
19 Sep 202511.83
19.21
62.38%
4
71.66
5.83%
29.24
BCBP NASDAQ · BCB Bancorp Inc
17 Apr 20269.30
10.35
11.34%
4
68.45
1.11%
2.62
BCE NYSE · BCE Inc
13 Feb 202625.07
21.38
-14.72%
4
87.08
1.73%
3.24
BDSX NASDAQ · Biodesix Inc
13 Feb 202611.45
21.42
87.07%
4
84.48
9.49%
17.85
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
10 Jul 20261.10
1.10
New Entry week
4
27.02
3.25%
2.20
BGSF NYSE · BG Staffing Inc
2 Jan 20264.67
5.63
20.56%
4
60.82
5.26%
14.48
BLMN NASDAQ · Bloomin Brands Inc
26 Jun 20268.97
8.34
-7.02%
5
62.48
2.84%
8.83
BNED NYSE · Barnes & Noble Education Inc
5 Jun 202610.37
12.91
24.49%
8
13.54
1.19%
1.08
BORR NYSE · Borr Drilling Ltd
31 Oct 20253.10
4.33
39.68%
8
25.02
3.92%
2.01
CAL NYSE · Caleres Inc
29 May 202614.49
11.81
-18.50%
5
19.73
1.45%
0.01
CAVA NYSE · CAVA Group, Inc.
27 Mar 202675.42
72.18
-4.30%
4
65.59
1.55%
3.45
CBRL NASDAQ · Cracker Barrel Old Country Store
12 Jun 202646.69
50.42
7.99%
5
79.53
2.01%
0.49
CC NYSE · Chemours Co
27 Feb 202618.17
17.81
-1.99%
4
93.46
5.29%
25.71
CCCC NASDAQ · C4 Therapeutics Inc
1 May 20262.92
4.06
39.04%
4
36.56
1.30%
12.68
CCM NYSE · Concord Medical Services Holdings
19 Jun 20265.32
5.05
-5.08%
4
38.40
0.63%
0.59
CCRN NASDAQ · Cross Country Healthcare Inc
26 Jun 202613.22
13.22
0.00%
6
66.25
2.64%
2.69
CDXS NASDAQ · Codexis Inc
5 Jun 20262.56
2.43
-5.08%
5
58.49
1.61%
1.50
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
13 Mar 202657.71
46.92
-18.70%
4
68.87
1.01%
14.70
CGEM NASDAQ · Cullinan Oncology LLC
26 Dec 202510.37
18.13
74.83%
5
88.22
4.73%
5.45
CHCT NYSE · Community Healthcare Trust Inc
30 Jan 202616.32
18.01
10.33%
4
97.49
1.07%
0.02
CHD NYSE · Church & Dwight Company Inc
27 Mar 202694.38
96.36
2.10%
6
35.98
0.70%
1.44
CHRN NASDAQ · ChronoScale Corporation
2 Jan 20267.84
20.90
166.58%
6
50.51
3.42%
24.90

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 3331-3360 of 4969
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
1 Mar 2024
Entry
NTWK NASDAQ · NetSol Technologies Inc
2.83
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 78.66 · ROC 2.74% · RS 2.06
1 Mar 2024
Entry
OCGN NASDAQ · Ocugen Inc
0.96
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 74.98 · ROC 6.50% · RS 36.90
1 Mar 2024
Entry
OGI NASDAQ · OrganiGram Holdings Inc
2.16
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 97.84 · ROC 6.81% · RS 4.33
1 Mar 2024
Exit
ORGO NASDAQ · Organogenesis Holdings Inc
2.92
20% entry drawdown
-20.00%
Entry 9 Feb 2024 3.65
1 Mar 2024
Exit
ORIC NASDAQ · Oric Pharmaceuticals Inc
14.66
Reversal Risk Warning
59.35%
Entry 29 Dec 2023 9.20
1 Mar 2024
Exit
PAGS NYSE · PagSeguro Digital Ltd
12.68
Reversal Risk Warning
8.65%
Entry 19 Jan 2024 11.67
1 Mar 2024
Exit
PASG NASDAQ · Passage Bio Inc
33.80
Reversal Risk Warning
30.50%
Entry 16 Feb 2024 25.90
1 Mar 2024
Exit
QRVO NASDAQ · Qorvo Inc
119.62
Reversal Risk Warning
18.82%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 100.67
1 Mar 2024
Entry
RARE NASDAQ · Ultragenyx
53.69
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 71.18 · ROC 2.55% · RS 4.13
1 Mar 2024
Entry
RIGL NASDAQ · Rigel Pharmaceuticals Inc
15.50
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 18.28 · ROC 0.38% · RS 2.57
1 Mar 2024
Entry
SKYT NASDAQ · Skywater Technology Inc
11.54
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 67.44 · ROC 1.83% · RS 10.62
1 Mar 2024
Entry
SNDA NYSE · Sonida Senior Living Inc
11.77
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 75.03 · ROC 3.07% · RS 10.25
1 Mar 2024
Entry
SNWV NASDAQ · SANUWAVE Health, Inc. Common Stock
9.94
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 67.89 · ROC 3.63% · RS 5.24
1 Mar 2024
Entry
UGRO NASDAQ · Urban-Gro Inc
55.00
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 95.48 · ROC 9.06% · RS 10.82
1 Mar 2024
Exit
VLY NASDAQ · Valley National Bancorp
7.15
20% entry drawdown
-23.47%
Entry 5 Jan 2024 9.34
1 Mar 2024
Exit
VNT NYSE · Vontier Corp
42.82
Reversal Risk Warning
71.25%
Entry 17 Mar 2023 25.01
1 Mar 2024
Entry
VSTM NASDAQ · Verastem Inc
13.02
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 81.57 · ROC 4.10% · RS 28.48
1 Mar 2024
Exit
WU NYSE · Western Union Co
10.64
Reversal Risk Warning
4.34%
Entry 29 Sep 2023 10.20
1 Mar 2024
Exit
XMTR NASDAQ · Xometry Inc
18.00
20% entry drawdown
-44.63%
Entry 5 Jan 2024 32.51
23 Feb 2024
Exit
ACIC NASDAQ · American Coastal Insurance Corp
12.28
Reversal Risk Warning
615.79%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 1.72
23 Feb 2024
Exit
ALRM NASDAQ · Alarm.com Holdings Inc
71.88
Reversal Risk Warning
16.95%
Entry 22 Sep 2023 61.46
23 Feb 2024
Exit
AUID NASDAQ · authID Inc.
10.71
Reversal Risk Warning
7.75%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 9.94
23 Feb 2024
Exit
CURV NYSE · Torrid Holdings Inc
4.11
20% entry drawdown
-23.61%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 5.38
23 Feb 2024
Entry
FATE NASDAQ · Fate Therapeutics Inc
6.96
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 99.29 · ROC 10.07% · RS 37.67
23 Feb 2024
Exit
HOWL NASDAQ · Werewolf Therapeutics Inc
7.39
Reversal Risk Warning
69.89%
Entry 26 Jan 2024 4.35
23 Feb 2024
Entry
ICCM NASDAQ · Icecure Medical
39.60
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 61.37 · ROC 2.10% · RS 0.30
23 Feb 2024
Entry
KALV NASDAQ · Kalvista Pharmaceuticals Inc
12.58
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 90.99 · ROC 6.31% · RS 6.28
23 Feb 2024
Exit
LUNG NASDAQ · Pulmonx Corp
10.81
Reversal Danger Warning
-24.51%
Entry 16 Feb 2024 14.32
23 Feb 2024
Exit
MGNX NASDAQ · MacroGenics Inc
18.14
Reversal Risk Warning
218.25%
Entry 6 Jan 2023 5.70
23 Feb 2024
Entry
REZI NYSE · Resideo Technologies Inc
21.53
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 39.42 · ROC 1.37% · RS 8.40