Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
437.28
Total Return
337.28%
CAGR
52.30% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.85%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23 Sortino 3.79
Current Holdings
283
Transactions
4969 Avg 1416.8/yr · 118.1/mo · 27.2/wk
Exit Mix
2343 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.6% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
8
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92 4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10 4 signals · MA 27.02 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42 6 signals · MA 41.93 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18 4 signals · MA 83.69 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21 4 signals · MA 0.63 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88 6 signals · MA 36.82 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29 8 signals · MA 81.90 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22 7 signals · MA 32.21 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
10
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92 20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.47%
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56 20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24 20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95 20% entry drawdown · -25.57%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 31-60 of 283 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
ASRT NASDAQ · Assertio Therapeutics Inc
17 Apr 202618.01
23.50
30.48%
4
93.08
6.92%
37.06
ATER NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
12 Jun 20261.20
1.15
-4.17%
4
88.29
4.16%
8.63
ATKR NYSE · Atkore International Group Inc
15 May 202673.93
72.24
-2.29%
4
62.04
2.55%
0.64
ATNI NASDAQ · ATN International Inc
5 Dec 202520.94
23.91
14.17%
4
92.66
3.87%
11.20
ATOM NASDAQ · Atomera Inc
10 Apr 20265.09
6.63
30.26%
6
15.56
3.98%
16.03
ATS NYSE · ATS Corporation
6 Mar 202630.23
27.95
-7.54%
4
56.24
0.55%
1.10
AURA NASDAQ · Aura Biosciences Inc
15 May 20267.74
6.84
-11.63%
6
99.14
3.73%
4.17
AVNT NYSE · Avient Corp
6 Mar 202636.03
36.03
-0.01%
4
86.64
3.22%
0.52
AVTX NASDAQ · Avalo Therapeutics Inc
19 Sep 202511.83
19.21
62.38%
4
71.66
5.83%
29.24
BCBP NASDAQ · BCB Bancorp Inc
17 Apr 20269.30
10.35
11.34%
4
68.45
1.11%
2.62
BCE NYSE · BCE Inc
13 Feb 202625.07
21.38
-14.72%
4
87.08
1.73%
3.24
BDSX NASDAQ · Biodesix Inc
13 Feb 202611.45
21.42
87.07%
4
84.48
9.49%
17.85
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
10 Jul 20261.10
1.10
New Entry week
4
27.02
3.25%
2.20
BGSF NYSE · BG Staffing Inc
2 Jan 20264.67
5.63
20.56%
4
60.82
5.26%
14.48
BLMN NASDAQ · Bloomin Brands Inc
26 Jun 20268.97
8.34
-7.02%
5
62.48
2.84%
8.83
BNED NYSE · Barnes & Noble Education Inc
5 Jun 202610.37
12.91
24.49%
8
13.54
1.19%
1.08
BORR NYSE · Borr Drilling Ltd
31 Oct 20253.10
4.33
39.68%
8
25.02
3.92%
2.01
CAL NYSE · Caleres Inc
29 May 202614.49
11.81
-18.50%
5
19.73
1.45%
0.01
CAVA NYSE · CAVA Group, Inc.
27 Mar 202675.42
72.18
-4.30%
4
65.59
1.55%
3.45
CBRL NASDAQ · Cracker Barrel Old Country Store
12 Jun 202646.69
50.42
7.99%
5
79.53
2.01%
0.49
CC NYSE · Chemours Co
27 Feb 202618.17
17.81
-1.99%
4
93.46
5.29%
25.71
CCCC NASDAQ · C4 Therapeutics Inc
1 May 20262.92
4.06
39.04%
4
36.56
1.30%
12.68
CCM NYSE · Concord Medical Services Holdings
19 Jun 20265.32
5.05
-5.08%
4
38.40
0.63%
0.59
CCRN NASDAQ · Cross Country Healthcare Inc
26 Jun 202613.22
13.22
0.00%
6
66.25
2.64%
2.69
CDXS NASDAQ · Codexis Inc
5 Jun 20262.56
2.43
-5.08%
5
58.49
1.61%
1.50
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
13 Mar 202657.71
46.92
-18.70%
4
68.87
1.01%
14.70
CGEM NASDAQ · Cullinan Oncology LLC
26 Dec 202510.37
18.13
74.83%
5
88.22
4.73%
5.45
CHCT NYSE · Community Healthcare Trust Inc
30 Jan 202616.32
18.01
10.33%
4
97.49
1.07%
0.02
CHD NYSE · Church & Dwight Company Inc
27 Mar 202694.38
96.36
2.10%
6
35.98
0.70%
1.44
CHRN NASDAQ · ChronoScale Corporation
2 Jan 20267.84
20.90
166.58%
6
50.51
3.42%
24.90

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 3361-3390 of 4969
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
23 Feb 2024
Exit
SNTG NASDAQ · Sentage Holdings Inc
2.36
20% entry drawdown
-26.48%
Entry 16 Feb 2024 3.21
23 Feb 2024
Entry
SRL NYSE · Scully Royalty Ltd
7.60
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 77.95 · ROC 2.30% · RS 4.03
23 Feb 2024
Exit
THO NYSE · Thor Industries Inc
118.37
Reversal Risk Warning
37.33%
Entry 10 Feb 2023 86.19
23 Feb 2024
Entry
TKNO NASDAQ · Alpha Teknova Inc
3.45
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 31.50 · ROC 0.71% · RS 2.29
23 Feb 2024
Exit
TRIP NASDAQ · TripAdvisor Inc
27.32
Reversal Risk Warning
30.22%
Entry 5 Jan 2024 20.98
23 Feb 2024
Entry
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
13.34
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 26.60 · ROC 0.60% · RS 0.26
23 Feb 2024
Exit
TWLO NYSE · Twilio Inc
58.01
20% entry drawdown
-20.76%
Entry 12 Jan 2024 73.21
16 Feb 2024
Entry
AIOS NASDAQ · AIOS Tech Inc.
93.40
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 47.82 · ROC 3.04% · RS 1.46
16 Feb 2024
Entry
AKBA NASDAQ · Akebia Ther
1.45
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 60.91 · ROC 6.02% · RS 11.60
16 Feb 2024
Entry
ANAB NASDAQ · AnaptysBio Inc
16.07
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 50.62 · ROC 3.14% · RS 0.97
16 Feb 2024
Entry
AWRE NASDAQ · Aware Inc
1.97
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 52.84 · ROC 1.53% · RS 2.58
16 Feb 2024
Entry
AXGN NASDAQ · Axogen Inc
10.60
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 97.03 · ROC 2.42% · RS 15.38
16 Feb 2024
Entry
BALL NYSE · Ball Corporation
59.98
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 54.63 · ROC 0.63% · RS 0.13
16 Feb 2024
Exit
BGDE NASDAQ · Big Digital Energy, Inc.
35.80
20% entry drawdown
-34.43%
Entry 9 Feb 2024 54.60
16 Feb 2024
Exit
BRNS NASDAQ · Barinthus Biotherapeutics plc
2.51
20% entry drawdown
-20.32%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 3.15
16 Feb 2024
Entry
CADL NASDAQ · Candel Therapeutics Inc
1.72
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 42.47 · ROC 2.25% · RS 12.25
16 Feb 2024
Exit
CMCO NASDAQ · Columbus McKinnon Corporation
42.30
Reversal Risk Warning
26.51%
Entry 20 Jan 2023 33.43
16 Feb 2024
Entry
CRDL NASDAQ · Cardiol Therapeutics Inc Class A
1.43
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 78.05 · ROC 5.32% · RS 47.54
16 Feb 2024
Entry
CRL NYSE · Charles River Laboratories
244.96
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 27.32 · ROC 1.22% · RS 4.41
16 Feb 2024
Exit
CRSP NASDAQ · Crispr Therapeutics AG
82.22
Reversal Risk Warning
27.97%
Entry 12 Jan 2024 64.25
16 Feb 2024
Entry
CWK NYSE · Cushman & Wakefield plc
11.51
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 62.06 · ROC 2.56% · RS 8.49
16 Feb 2024
Entry
ENLV NASDAQ · Enlivex Therapeutics Ltd
49.80
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 49.56 · ROC 2.78% · RS 7.83
16 Feb 2024
Entry
ENTX NASDAQ · Entera Bio Ltd
1.06
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 51.87 · ROC 1.38% · RS 7.79
16 Feb 2024
Exit
EPAM NYSE · EPAM Systems Inc
311.98
Reversal Risk Warning
1.38%
Entry 12 Jan 2024 307.73
16 Feb 2024
Exit
IMNM NASDAQ · Immunome Inc
25.84
Reversal Risk Warning
378.52%
Entry 5 May 2023 5.40
16 Feb 2024
Entry
IPSC NASDAQ · Century Therapeutics Inc
4.70
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 83.41 · ROC 6.98% · RS 33.29
16 Feb 2024
Exit
LRMR NASDAQ · Larimar Therapeutics Inc
12.78
Reversal Risk Warning
107.80%
Entry 2 Feb 2024 6.15
16 Feb 2024
Entry
LUNG NASDAQ · Pulmonx Corp
14.32
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 67.46 · ROC 1.35% · RS 3.00
16 Feb 2024
Exit
MARA NASDAQ · Marathon Digital Holdings Inc
26.94
Reversal Risk Warning
41.94%
Entry 12 Jan 2024 18.98
16 Feb 2024
Entry
MDWD NASDAQ · Mediwound Ltd
13.07
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 86.98 · ROC 3.18% · RS 5.85