Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
437.28
Total Return
337.28%
CAGR
52.30% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.85%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23 Sortino 3.79
Current Holdings
283
Transactions
4969 Avg 1416.8/yr · 118.1/mo · 27.2/wk
Exit Mix
2343 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.6% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
8
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92 4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10 4 signals · MA 27.02 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42 6 signals · MA 41.93 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18 4 signals · MA 83.69 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21 4 signals · MA 0.63 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88 6 signals · MA 36.82 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29 8 signals · MA 81.90 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22 7 signals · MA 32.21 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
10
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92 20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.47%
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56 20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24 20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95 20% entry drawdown · -25.57%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 31-60 of 283 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
ASRT NASDAQ · Assertio Therapeutics Inc
17 Apr 202618.01
23.50
30.48%
4
93.08
6.92%
37.06
ATER NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
12 Jun 20261.20
1.15
-4.17%
4
88.29
4.16%
8.63
ATKR NYSE · Atkore International Group Inc
15 May 202673.93
72.24
-2.29%
4
62.04
2.55%
0.64
ATNI NASDAQ · ATN International Inc
5 Dec 202520.94
23.91
14.17%
4
92.66
3.87%
11.20
ATOM NASDAQ · Atomera Inc
10 Apr 20265.09
6.63
30.26%
6
15.56
3.98%
16.03
ATS NYSE · ATS Corporation
6 Mar 202630.23
27.95
-7.54%
4
56.24
0.55%
1.10
AURA NASDAQ · Aura Biosciences Inc
15 May 20267.74
6.84
-11.63%
6
99.14
3.73%
4.17
AVNT NYSE · Avient Corp
6 Mar 202636.03
36.03
-0.01%
4
86.64
3.22%
0.52
AVTX NASDAQ · Avalo Therapeutics Inc
19 Sep 202511.83
19.21
62.38%
4
71.66
5.83%
29.24
BCBP NASDAQ · BCB Bancorp Inc
17 Apr 20269.30
10.35
11.34%
4
68.45
1.11%
2.62
BCE NYSE · BCE Inc
13 Feb 202625.07
21.38
-14.72%
4
87.08
1.73%
3.24
BDSX NASDAQ · Biodesix Inc
13 Feb 202611.45
21.42
87.07%
4
84.48
9.49%
17.85
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
10 Jul 20261.10
1.10
New Entry week
4
27.02
3.25%
2.20
BGSF NYSE · BG Staffing Inc
2 Jan 20264.67
5.63
20.56%
4
60.82
5.26%
14.48
BLMN NASDAQ · Bloomin Brands Inc
26 Jun 20268.97
8.34
-7.02%
5
62.48
2.84%
8.83
BNED NYSE · Barnes & Noble Education Inc
5 Jun 202610.37
12.91
24.49%
8
13.54
1.19%
1.08
BORR NYSE · Borr Drilling Ltd
31 Oct 20253.10
4.33
39.68%
8
25.02
3.92%
2.01
CAL NYSE · Caleres Inc
29 May 202614.49
11.81
-18.50%
5
19.73
1.45%
0.01
CAVA NYSE · CAVA Group, Inc.
27 Mar 202675.42
72.18
-4.30%
4
65.59
1.55%
3.45
CBRL NASDAQ · Cracker Barrel Old Country Store
12 Jun 202646.69
50.42
7.99%
5
79.53
2.01%
0.49
CC NYSE · Chemours Co
27 Feb 202618.17
17.81
-1.99%
4
93.46
5.29%
25.71
CCCC NASDAQ · C4 Therapeutics Inc
1 May 20262.92
4.06
39.04%
4
36.56
1.30%
12.68
CCM NYSE · Concord Medical Services Holdings
19 Jun 20265.32
5.05
-5.08%
4
38.40
0.63%
0.59
CCRN NASDAQ · Cross Country Healthcare Inc
26 Jun 202613.22
13.22
0.00%
6
66.25
2.64%
2.69
CDXS NASDAQ · Codexis Inc
5 Jun 20262.56
2.43
-5.08%
5
58.49
1.61%
1.50
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
13 Mar 202657.71
46.92
-18.70%
4
68.87
1.01%
14.70
CGEM NASDAQ · Cullinan Oncology LLC
26 Dec 202510.37
18.13
74.83%
5
88.22
4.73%
5.45
CHCT NYSE · Community Healthcare Trust Inc
30 Jan 202616.32
18.01
10.33%
4
97.49
1.07%
0.02
CHD NYSE · Church & Dwight Company Inc
27 Mar 202694.38
96.36
2.10%
6
35.98
0.70%
1.44
CHRN NASDAQ · ChronoScale Corporation
2 Jan 20267.84
20.90
166.58%
6
50.51
3.42%
24.90

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 3421-3450 of 4969
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
9 Feb 2024
Exit
MDB NASDAQ · MongoDB
500.90
Reversal Risk Warning
90.02%
Entry 12 May 2023 263.60
9 Feb 2024
Entry
ORGO NASDAQ · Organogenesis Holdings Inc
3.65
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 18.97 · ROC 0.45% · RS 0.84
9 Feb 2024
Entry
RBLX NYSE · Roblox Corp
44.40
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 16.61 · ROC 0.17% · RS 1.04
9 Feb 2024
Entry
RKT NYSE · Rocket Companies Inc
10.94
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 30.19 · ROC 3.87% · RS 3.55
9 Feb 2024
Exit
ROOT NASDAQ · Root Inc
7.58
20% entry drawdown
-23.05%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 9.85
9 Feb 2024
Exit
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
29.70
Reversal Risk Warning
12.67%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 26.36
9 Feb 2024
Exit
TUYA NYSE · Tuya Inc ADR
1.55
20% entry drawdown
-24.55%
Entry 5 Jan 2024 2.06
9 Feb 2024
Exit
WRAP NASDAQ · Wrap Technologies Inc
4.57
Reversal Risk Warning
51.32%
Entry 17 Nov 2023 3.02
2 Feb 2024
Entry
ACR NYSE · Acres Commercial Realty Corp
10.12
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 74.26 · ROC 2.07% · RS 1.03
2 Feb 2024
Entry
APRE NASDAQ · Aprea Therapeutics Inc
5.72
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 31.97 · ROC 7.91% · RS 9.58
2 Feb 2024
Exit
BDSX NASDAQ · Biodesix Inc
42.40
Reversal Risk Warning
7.61%
Entry 5 Jan 2024 39.40
2 Feb 2024
Entry
CGEN NASDAQ · Compugen
2.27
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 98.62 · ROC 11.59% · RS 87.48
2 Feb 2024
Exit
CHTR NASDAQ · Charter Communications Inc
319.21
20% entry drawdown
-28.74%
Entry 15 Sep 2023 447.95
2 Feb 2024
Entry
CRNT NASDAQ · Ceragon Networks Ltd
2.43
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 88.02 · ROC 3.19% · RS 4.06
2 Feb 2024
Entry
ELUT NASDAQ · Elutia Inc.
3.63
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 88.33 · ROC 8.84% · RS 29.73
2 Feb 2024
Exit
ESTC NYSE · Elastic NV
124.60
Reversal Risk Warning
56.61%
Entry 22 Sep 2023 79.56
2 Feb 2024
Entry
GOTU NYSE · Gaotu Techedu Inc DRC
4.03
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 9.66 · ROC 1.99% · RS 8.33
2 Feb 2024
Exit
JBI NYSE · Janus International Group Inc
14.71
Reversal Risk Warning
42.82%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 10.30
2 Feb 2024
Entry
KYMR NASDAQ · Kymera Therapeutics Inc
32.97
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 86.47 · ROC 4.23% · RS 10.53
2 Feb 2024
Entry
LRMR NASDAQ · Larimar Therapeutics Inc
6.15
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 70.64 · ROC 6.47% · RS 20.49
2 Feb 2024
Exit
OWLT NYSE · Owlet Inc
4.49
20% entry drawdown
-21.23%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 5.70
2 Feb 2024
Entry
SLDB NASDAQ · Solid Biosciences LLC
7.02
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 98.92 · ROC 6.69% · RS 22.36
2 Feb 2024
Exit
SND NASDAQ · Smart Sand Inc
1.56
20% entry drawdown
-20.98%
Entry 13 Oct 2023 1.97
2 Feb 2024
Entry
WD NYSE · Walker & Dunlop Inc
86.63
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 27.56 · ROC 3.35% · RS 2.12
2 Feb 2024
Exit
ZEPP NYSE · Zepp Health Corp
4.76
20% entry drawdown
-25.63%
Entry 12 Jan 2024 6.40
26 Jan 2024
Entry
ALT NASDAQ · Altimmune Inc
9.33
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 85.79 · ROC 23.67% · RS 36.19
26 Jan 2024
Entry
BANC NYSE · Banc of California, Inc.
13.63
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 18.57 · ROC 1.41% · RS 0.84
26 Jan 2024
Entry
BBWI NYSE · Bath & Body Works Inc.
39.46
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 77.34 · ROC 1.68% · RS 2.44
26 Jan 2024
Entry
BURL NYSE · Burlington Stores Inc
198.02
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 77.76 · ROC 3.49% · RS 0.86
26 Jan 2024
Entry
BYRN NASDAQ · Byrna Technologies Inc
6.89
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 51.41 · ROC 4.07% · RS 2.65