Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 3 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
442.32
Total Return
342.32%
CAGR
53.15% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+31.04%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.25 Sortino 3.84
Current Holdings
285
Transactions
4953 Avg 1420.0/yr · 118.3/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2334 Stop 57.2% · Warning 42.7% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

3 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
12
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
4.84 5 signals · MA 76.39 · ROC 4.24% · RS 3.81
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
73.83 4 signals · MA 83.35 · ROC 9.24% · RS 22.03
EDIT NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc
3.65 8 signals · MA 23.20 · ROC 2.51% · RS 18.52
EPC NYSE · Edgewell Personal Care Co
27.21 4 signals · MA 81.29 · ROC 5.52% · RS 19.35
JXG NASDAQ · JX Luxventure Group Inc.
10.84 4 signals · MA 84.92 · ROC 12.88% · RS 8.46
MAN NYSE · ManpowerGroup Inc
38.79 4 signals · MA 92.33 · ROC 3.87% · RS 8.61
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
13.57 5 signals · MA 82.73 · ROC 5.93% · RS 2.64
NWL NASDAQ · Newell Brands Inc
5.83 4 signals · MA 79.52 · ROC 6.86% · RS 15.74
QMCO NASDAQ · Quantum Corporation
10.16 5 signals · MA 99.53 · ROC 9.13% · RS 7.75
SABR NASDAQ · Sabre Corpo
2.09 7 signals · MA 78.18 · ROC 2.51% · RS 3.07
TLX NASDAQ · Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited
11.87 8 signals · MA 51.65 · ROC 1.56% · RS 4.35
WYHG NASDAQ · Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited American Depositary Shares
4.51 4 signals · MA 72.17 · ROC 5.14% · RS 9.36

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
4
ABX NYSE · Abacus Global Management, Inc.
11.86 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.75%
ENPH NASDAQ · Enphase Energy Inc
43.07 20% entry drawdown · -23.19%
HLLY NYSE · Holley Inc
2.40 20% entry drawdown · -21.82%
STI NASDAQ · Solidion Technology Inc.
7.85 20% entry drawdown · -36.39%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 31-60 of 285 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
ASPN NYSE · Aspen Aerogels Inc
12 Jun 20265.92
5.58
-5.74%
4
95.36
0.15%
3.76
ASRT NASDAQ · Assertio Therapeutics Inc
17 Apr 202618.01
23.50
30.48%
4
93.08
6.92%
37.06
ATER NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
12 Jun 20261.20
1.26
5.00%
4
88.29
4.16%
8.63
ATKR NYSE · Atkore International Group Inc
15 May 202673.93
69.21
-6.38%
4
62.04
2.55%
0.64
ATNI NASDAQ · ATN International Inc
5 Dec 202520.94
24.81
18.46%
4
92.66
3.87%
11.20
ATOM NASDAQ · Atomera Inc
10 Apr 20265.09
7.41
45.58%
6
15.56
3.98%
16.03
ATS NYSE · ATS Corporation
6 Mar 202630.23
27.68
-8.44%
4
56.24
0.55%
1.10
AURA NASDAQ · Aura Biosciences Inc
15 May 20267.74
7.74
0.00%
6
99.14
3.73%
4.17
AVNT NYSE · Avient Corp
6 Mar 202636.03
37.31
3.54%
4
86.64
3.22%
0.52
AVTX NASDAQ · Avalo Therapeutics Inc
19 Sep 202511.83
18.84
59.26%
4
71.66
5.83%
29.24
BCBP NASDAQ · BCB Bancorp Inc
17 Apr 20269.30
10.28
10.59%
4
68.45
1.11%
2.62
BCE NYSE · BCE Inc
13 Feb 202625.07
21.42
-14.56%
4
87.08
1.73%
3.24
BDSX NASDAQ · Biodesix Inc
13 Feb 202611.45
21.99
92.05%
4
84.48
9.49%
17.85
BGSF NYSE · BG Staffing Inc
2 Jan 20264.67
5.70
22.06%
4
60.82
5.26%
14.48
BLMN NASDAQ · Bloomin Brands Inc
26 Jun 20268.97
8.70
-3.01%
5
62.48
2.84%
8.83
BNED NYSE · Barnes & Noble Education Inc
5 Jun 202610.37
12.19
17.55%
8
13.49
1.19%
1.08
BORR NYSE · Borr Drilling Ltd
31 Oct 20253.10
4.49
44.84%
8
25.02
3.92%
2.01
CAL NYSE · Caleres Inc
29 May 202614.49
11.71
-19.19%
5
19.73
1.45%
0.01
CAVA NYSE · CAVA Group, Inc.
27 Mar 202675.42
76.88
1.94%
4
65.59
1.55%
3.45
CBRL NASDAQ · Cracker Barrel Old Country Store
12 Jun 202646.69
53.50
14.59%
5
80.26
2.01%
0.49
CC NYSE · Chemours Co
27 Feb 202618.17
19.01
4.62%
4
93.46
5.29%
25.71
CCCC NASDAQ · C4 Therapeutics Inc
1 May 20262.92
4.30
47.26%
4
36.56
1.30%
12.68
CCM NYSE · Concord Medical Services Holdings
19 Jun 20265.32
4.39
-17.48%
4
38.40
0.63%
0.59
CCRN NASDAQ · Cross Country Healthcare Inc
26 Jun 202613.22
13.20
-0.15%
6
66.25
2.64%
2.69
CDXS NASDAQ · Codexis Inc
5 Jun 20262.56
2.47
-3.52%
5
58.49
1.61%
1.50
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
13 Mar 202657.71
47.68
-17.38%
4
68.87
1.01%
14.70
CGEM NASDAQ · Cullinan Oncology LLC
26 Dec 202510.37
17.63
70.01%
5
88.22
4.73%
5.45
CHCT NYSE · Community Healthcare Trust Inc
30 Jan 202616.32
18.31
12.16%
4
97.49
1.07%
0.02
CHD NYSE · Church & Dwight Company Inc
27 Mar 202694.38
98.60
4.47%
6
35.98
0.70%
1.44
CHRN NASDAQ · ChronoScale Corporation
2 Jan 20267.84
16.49
110.33%
6
50.51
3.42%
24.90

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 61-90 of 4953
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
26 Jun 2026
Exit
PRSU NYSE · Pursuit Attractions and Hospitality, Inc.
54.76
Reversal Risk Warning
71.39%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 31.95
26 Jun 2026
Exit
PSMT NASDAQ · PriceSmart Inc
196.25
Reversal Risk Warning
191.08%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 67.42
26 Jun 2026
Exit
PSNL NASDAQ · Personalis Inc
13.02
Reversal Risk Warning
299.39%
Entry 9 Aug 2024 3.26
26 Jun 2026
Exit
PTGX NASDAQ · Protagonist Therapeutics Inc
121.88
Reversal Risk Warning
750.52%
Entry 3 Feb 2023 14.33
26 Jun 2026
Exit
RBB NASDAQ · RBB Bancorp
27.05
Reversal Risk Warning
55.92%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 17.35
26 Jun 2026
Exit
RCUS NYSE · Arcus Biosciences Inc
31.00
Reversal Risk Warning
132.21%
Entry 3 Oct 2025 13.35
26 Jun 2026
Exit
RFIL NASDAQ · RF Industries Ltd
21.43
Reversal Risk Warning
393.78%
Entry 12 Jul 2024 4.34
26 Jun 2026
Entry
RHI NYSE · Robert Half International Inc
32.76
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 93.91 · ROC 3.50% · RS 4.61
26 Jun 2026
Exit
RLAY NASDAQ · Relay Therapeutics Inc
18.56
Reversal Risk Warning
258.99%
Entry 26 Sep 2025 5.17
26 Jun 2026
Exit
RSI NYSE · Rush Street Interactive Inc
31.56
Reversal Risk Warning
615.65%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 4.41
26 Jun 2026
Exit
RVMD NASDAQ · Revolution Medicines Inc
182.08
Reversal Risk Warning
712.86%
Entry 6 Jan 2023 22.40
26 Jun 2026
Entry
SLN NASDAQ · Silence Therapeutics PLC
10.14
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 47.61 · ROC 1.89% · RS 45.84
26 Jun 2026
Exit
SLS NASDAQ · Sellas Life Sciences Group Inc
12.39
Reversal Risk Warning
660.12%
Entry 16 May 2025 1.63
26 Jun 2026
Entry
STI NASDAQ · Solidion Technology Inc.
12.34
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 92.50 · ROC 22.96% · RS 40.45
26 Jun 2026
Entry
TFX NYSE · Teleflex Incorporated
129.86
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 47.48 · ROC 2.25% · RS 0.49
26 Jun 2026
Entry
TRSG NASDAQ · Tungray Technologies Inc Class A Ordinary Shares
1.63
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 25.46 · ROC 3.05% · RS 2.84
26 Jun 2026
Exit
TVTX NASDAQ · Travere Therapeutics Inc
58.85
Reversal Risk Warning
521.44%
Entry 30 Aug 2024 9.47
26 Jun 2026
Entry
UFI NYSE · Unifi Inc
4.80
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 66.78 · ROC 2.94% · RS 9.03
26 Jun 2026
Entry
UIS NYSE · Unisys Corporation
3.59
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 82.65 · ROC 5.63% · RS 3.17
26 Jun 2026
Exit
VCYT NASDAQ · Veracyte Inc
60.49
Reversal Risk Warning
170.17%
Entry 6 Jan 2023 22.39
26 Jun 2026
Exit
WHLRP NASDAQ · Wheeler Real Estate Investment Trust Inc Pref
9.77
Reversal Risk Warning
460.00%
Entry 24 May 2024 1.74
26 Jun 2026
Exit
WRLD NASDAQ · World Acceptance Corporation
213.77
Reversal Risk Warning
89.76%
Entry 19 May 2023 112.65
19 Jun 2026
Exit
ACLS NASDAQ · Axcelis Technologies Inc
187.53
Reversal Risk Warning
130.69%
Entry 22 Aug 2025 81.29
19 Jun 2026
Exit
ACMR NASDAQ · Acm Research Inc
109.87
Reversal Risk Warning
713.25%
Entry 11 Aug 2023 13.51
19 Jun 2026
Exit
AEHR NASDAQ · Aehr Test Systems
115.30
Reversal Risk Warning
529.71%
Entry 15 Aug 2025 18.31
19 Jun 2026
Entry
AERT NASDAQ · Aeries Technology Inc.
7.22
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 36.85 · ROC 4.36% · RS 15.43
19 Jun 2026
Exit
AGX NYSE · Argan Inc
738.85
Reversal Risk Warning
1874.67%
Entry 10 Feb 2023 37.42
19 Jun 2026
Exit
BAK NYSE · Braskem SA Class A
2.94
20% entry drawdown
-23.24%
Entry 27 Feb 2026 3.83
19 Jun 2026
Exit
BFLY NYSE · Butterfly Network Inc
8.90
Reversal Risk Warning
463.29%
Entry 27 Sep 2024 1.58
19 Jun 2026
Exit
BWEN NASDAQ · Broadwind Energy Inc
5.03
Reversal Risk Warning
111.34%
Entry 8 Aug 2025 2.38