Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 3 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
442.32
Total Return
342.32%
CAGR
53.15% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+31.04%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.25 Sortino 3.84
Current Holdings
285
Transactions
4953 Avg 1420.0/yr · 118.3/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2334 Stop 57.2% · Warning 42.7% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

3 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
12
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
4.84 5 signals · MA 76.39 · ROC 4.24% · RS 3.81
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
73.83 4 signals · MA 83.35 · ROC 9.24% · RS 22.03
EDIT NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc
3.65 8 signals · MA 23.20 · ROC 2.51% · RS 18.52
EPC NYSE · Edgewell Personal Care Co
27.21 4 signals · MA 81.29 · ROC 5.52% · RS 19.35
JXG NASDAQ · JX Luxventure Group Inc.
10.84 4 signals · MA 84.92 · ROC 12.88% · RS 8.46
MAN NYSE · ManpowerGroup Inc
38.79 4 signals · MA 92.33 · ROC 3.87% · RS 8.61
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
13.57 5 signals · MA 82.73 · ROC 5.93% · RS 2.64
NWL NASDAQ · Newell Brands Inc
5.83 4 signals · MA 79.52 · ROC 6.86% · RS 15.74
QMCO NASDAQ · Quantum Corporation
10.16 5 signals · MA 99.53 · ROC 9.13% · RS 7.75
SABR NASDAQ · Sabre Corpo
2.09 7 signals · MA 78.18 · ROC 2.51% · RS 3.07
TLX NASDAQ · Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited
11.87 8 signals · MA 51.65 · ROC 1.56% · RS 4.35
WYHG NASDAQ · Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited American Depositary Shares
4.51 4 signals · MA 72.17 · ROC 5.14% · RS 9.36

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
4
ABX NYSE · Abacus Global Management, Inc.
11.86 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.75%
ENPH NASDAQ · Enphase Energy Inc
43.07 20% entry drawdown · -23.19%
HLLY NYSE · Holley Inc
2.40 20% entry drawdown · -21.82%
STI NASDAQ · Solidion Technology Inc.
7.85 20% entry drawdown · -36.39%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 31-60 of 285 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
ASPN NYSE · Aspen Aerogels Inc
12 Jun 20265.92
5.58
-5.74%
4
95.36
0.15%
3.76
ASRT NASDAQ · Assertio Therapeutics Inc
17 Apr 202618.01
23.50
30.48%
4
93.08
6.92%
37.06
ATER NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
12 Jun 20261.20
1.26
5.00%
4
88.29
4.16%
8.63
ATKR NYSE · Atkore International Group Inc
15 May 202673.93
69.21
-6.38%
4
62.04
2.55%
0.64
ATNI NASDAQ · ATN International Inc
5 Dec 202520.94
24.81
18.46%
4
92.66
3.87%
11.20
ATOM NASDAQ · Atomera Inc
10 Apr 20265.09
7.41
45.58%
6
15.56
3.98%
16.03
ATS NYSE · ATS Corporation
6 Mar 202630.23
27.68
-8.44%
4
56.24
0.55%
1.10
AURA NASDAQ · Aura Biosciences Inc
15 May 20267.74
7.74
0.00%
6
99.14
3.73%
4.17
AVNT NYSE · Avient Corp
6 Mar 202636.03
37.31
3.54%
4
86.64
3.22%
0.52
AVTX NASDAQ · Avalo Therapeutics Inc
19 Sep 202511.83
18.84
59.26%
4
71.66
5.83%
29.24
BCBP NASDAQ · BCB Bancorp Inc
17 Apr 20269.30
10.28
10.59%
4
68.45
1.11%
2.62
BCE NYSE · BCE Inc
13 Feb 202625.07
21.42
-14.56%
4
87.08
1.73%
3.24
BDSX NASDAQ · Biodesix Inc
13 Feb 202611.45
21.99
92.05%
4
84.48
9.49%
17.85
BGSF NYSE · BG Staffing Inc
2 Jan 20264.67
5.70
22.06%
4
60.82
5.26%
14.48
BLMN NASDAQ · Bloomin Brands Inc
26 Jun 20268.97
8.70
-3.01%
5
62.48
2.84%
8.83
BNED NYSE · Barnes & Noble Education Inc
5 Jun 202610.37
12.19
17.55%
8
13.49
1.19%
1.08
BORR NYSE · Borr Drilling Ltd
31 Oct 20253.10
4.49
44.84%
8
25.02
3.92%
2.01
CAL NYSE · Caleres Inc
29 May 202614.49
11.71
-19.19%
5
19.73
1.45%
0.01
CAVA NYSE · CAVA Group, Inc.
27 Mar 202675.42
76.88
1.94%
4
65.59
1.55%
3.45
CBRL NASDAQ · Cracker Barrel Old Country Store
12 Jun 202646.69
53.50
14.59%
5
80.26
2.01%
0.49
CC NYSE · Chemours Co
27 Feb 202618.17
19.01
4.62%
4
93.46
5.29%
25.71
CCCC NASDAQ · C4 Therapeutics Inc
1 May 20262.92
4.30
47.26%
4
36.56
1.30%
12.68
CCM NYSE · Concord Medical Services Holdings
19 Jun 20265.32
4.39
-17.48%
4
38.40
0.63%
0.59
CCRN NASDAQ · Cross Country Healthcare Inc
26 Jun 202613.22
13.20
-0.15%
6
66.25
2.64%
2.69
CDXS NASDAQ · Codexis Inc
5 Jun 20262.56
2.47
-3.52%
5
58.49
1.61%
1.50
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
13 Mar 202657.71
47.68
-17.38%
4
68.87
1.01%
14.70
CGEM NASDAQ · Cullinan Oncology LLC
26 Dec 202510.37
17.63
70.01%
5
88.22
4.73%
5.45
CHCT NYSE · Community Healthcare Trust Inc
30 Jan 202616.32
18.31
12.16%
4
97.49
1.07%
0.02
CHD NYSE · Church & Dwight Company Inc
27 Mar 202694.38
98.60
4.47%
6
35.98
0.70%
1.44
CHRN NASDAQ · ChronoScale Corporation
2 Jan 20267.84
16.49
110.33%
6
50.51
3.42%
24.90

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 1381-1410 of 4953
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
22 Aug 2025
Entry
PRME NASDAQ · Prime Medicine, Inc. Common Stock
3.55
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 41.63 · ROC 3.72% · RS 9.98
22 Aug 2025
Entry
RYM NASDAQ · RYTHM, Inc.
28.90
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 37.72 · ROC 1.05% · RS 25.47
22 Aug 2025
Exit
SE NYSE · Sea Ltd
185.53
Reversal Risk Warning
236.96%
Entry 19 Apr 2024 55.06
22 Aug 2025
Entry
SHLS NASDAQ · Shoals Technologies Group Inc
6.48
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 35.11 · ROC 0.28% · RS 19.31
22 Aug 2025
Entry
SLDB NASDAQ · Solid Biosciences LLC
5.93
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 70.26 · ROC 8.69% · RS 4.87
22 Aug 2025
Exit
SNWV NASDAQ · SANUWAVE Health, Inc. Common Stock
45.00
Reversal Risk Warning
157.14%
Entry 25 Oct 2024 17.50
22 Aug 2025
Entry
ST NYSE · Sensata Technologies Holding NV
33.11
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 45.96 · ROC 1.74% · RS 3.84
22 Aug 2025
Exit
TDUP NASDAQ · ThredUp Inc
11.68
Reversal Risk Warning
372.87%
Entry 7 Feb 2025 2.47
22 Aug 2025
Exit
TRTX NYSE · TPG RE Finance Trust Inc
8.10
Reversal Risk Warning
45.80%
Entry 12 Apr 2024 5.55
22 Aug 2025
Entry
VOR NASDAQ · Vor Biopharma Inc
43.40
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 55.02 · ROC 9.25% · RS 88.71
15 Aug 2025
Entry
AEHR NASDAQ · Aehr Test Systems
18.31
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 76.95 · ROC 3.75% · RS 29.97
15 Aug 2025
Entry
ALTG NYSE · Alta Equipment Group Inc
8.02
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 82.02 · ROC 2.81% · RS 15.99
15 Aug 2025
Exit
AWI NYSE · Armstrong World Industries Inc
192.99
Reversal Risk Warning
137.18%
Entry 17 Nov 2023 81.37
15 Aug 2025
Entry
BRNS NASDAQ · Barinthus Biotherapeutics plc
1.24
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 56.59 · ROC 5.02% · RS 0.71
15 Aug 2025
Exit
BSBK NASDAQ · Bogota Financial Corp
9.09
Reversal Risk Warning
9.26%
Entry 1 Nov 2024 8.32
15 Aug 2025
Entry
CALY NYSE · Callaway Golf Company
9.86
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 61.33 · ROC 1.30% · RS 8.05
15 Aug 2025
Exit
CLFD NASDAQ · Clearfield Inc
31.38
20% entry drawdown
-21.57%
Entry 20 Jun 2025 40.01
15 Aug 2025
Entry
CRBU NASDAQ · Caribou Biosciences Inc
1.98
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 98.66 · ROC 3.76% · RS 11.37
15 Aug 2025
Exit
DHX NYSE · DHI Group Inc
2.19
20% entry drawdown
-21.22%
Entry 25 Jul 2025 2.78
15 Aug 2025
Entry
DPRO NASDAQ · Draganfly Inc
4.26
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 96.48 · ROC 4.75% · RS 20.76
15 Aug 2025
Entry
ENVX NASDAQ · Enovix Corp
10.21
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 64.75 · ROC 2.44% · RS 4.33
15 Aug 2025
Entry
EVC NYSE · Entravision Communications
2.32
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 19.11 · ROC 0.25% · RS 6.23
15 Aug 2025
Exit
EVEX NYSE · Eve Holding Inc
4.62
20% entry drawdown
-21.16%
Entry 8 Aug 2025 5.86
15 Aug 2025
Exit
GAME NASDAQ · GameSquare Holdings Inc.
0.77
20% entry drawdown
-21.56%
Entry 8 Aug 2025 0.98
15 Aug 2025
Exit
GENI NYSE · Genius Sports Ltd
12.91
Reversal Risk Warning
128.09%
Entry 16 Jun 2023 5.66
15 Aug 2025
Exit
HTT NYSE · High Templar Tech Limited Sponsored ADR Class A
4.67
Reversal Risk Warning
285.95%
Entry 3 Mar 2023 1.21
15 Aug 2025
Entry
LIDR NASDAQ · Aeye Inc
2.54
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 52.15 · ROC 20.10% · RS 95.47
15 Aug 2025
Entry
LXRX NASDAQ · Lexicon Pharmaceuticals Inc
1.24
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 86.78 · ROC 7.03% · RS 12.15
15 Aug 2025
Entry
MGA NYSE · Magna International Inc
43.18
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 59.44 · ROC 1.10% · RS 4.52
15 Aug 2025
Exit
MRM NASDAQ · Medirom Healthcare Technologies Inc
2.12
20% entry drawdown
-23.19%
Entry 8 Aug 2025 2.76