Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
437.28
Total Return
337.28%
CAGR
52.30% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.85%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23 Sortino 3.79
Current Holdings
283
Transactions
4969 Avg 1416.8/yr · 118.1/mo · 27.2/wk
Exit Mix
2343 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.6% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
8
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92 4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10 4 signals · MA 27.02 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42 6 signals · MA 41.93 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18 4 signals · MA 83.69 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21 4 signals · MA 0.63 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88 6 signals · MA 36.82 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29 8 signals · MA 81.90 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22 7 signals · MA 32.21 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
10
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92 20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.47%
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56 20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24 20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95 20% entry drawdown · -25.57%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 31-60 of 283 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
ASRT NASDAQ · Assertio Therapeutics Inc
17 Apr 202618.01
23.50
30.48%
4
93.08
6.92%
37.06
ATER NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
12 Jun 20261.20
1.15
-4.17%
4
88.29
4.16%
8.63
ATKR NYSE · Atkore International Group Inc
15 May 202673.93
72.24
-2.29%
4
62.04
2.55%
0.64
ATNI NASDAQ · ATN International Inc
5 Dec 202520.94
23.91
14.17%
4
92.66
3.87%
11.20
ATOM NASDAQ · Atomera Inc
10 Apr 20265.09
6.63
30.26%
6
15.56
3.98%
16.03
ATS NYSE · ATS Corporation
6 Mar 202630.23
27.95
-7.54%
4
56.24
0.55%
1.10
AURA NASDAQ · Aura Biosciences Inc
15 May 20267.74
6.84
-11.63%
6
99.14
3.73%
4.17
AVNT NYSE · Avient Corp
6 Mar 202636.03
36.03
-0.01%
4
86.64
3.22%
0.52
AVTX NASDAQ · Avalo Therapeutics Inc
19 Sep 202511.83
19.21
62.38%
4
71.66
5.83%
29.24
BCBP NASDAQ · BCB Bancorp Inc
17 Apr 20269.30
10.35
11.34%
4
68.45
1.11%
2.62
BCE NYSE · BCE Inc
13 Feb 202625.07
21.38
-14.72%
4
87.08
1.73%
3.24
BDSX NASDAQ · Biodesix Inc
13 Feb 202611.45
21.42
87.07%
4
84.48
9.49%
17.85
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
10 Jul 20261.10
1.10
New Entry week
4
27.02
3.25%
2.20
BGSF NYSE · BG Staffing Inc
2 Jan 20264.67
5.63
20.56%
4
60.82
5.26%
14.48
BLMN NASDAQ · Bloomin Brands Inc
26 Jun 20268.97
8.34
-7.02%
5
62.48
2.84%
8.83
BNED NYSE · Barnes & Noble Education Inc
5 Jun 202610.37
12.91
24.49%
8
13.54
1.19%
1.08
BORR NYSE · Borr Drilling Ltd
31 Oct 20253.10
4.33
39.68%
8
25.02
3.92%
2.01
CAL NYSE · Caleres Inc
29 May 202614.49
11.81
-18.50%
5
19.73
1.45%
0.01
CAVA NYSE · CAVA Group, Inc.
27 Mar 202675.42
72.18
-4.30%
4
65.59
1.55%
3.45
CBRL NASDAQ · Cracker Barrel Old Country Store
12 Jun 202646.69
50.42
7.99%
5
79.53
2.01%
0.49
CC NYSE · Chemours Co
27 Feb 202618.17
17.81
-1.99%
4
93.46
5.29%
25.71
CCCC NASDAQ · C4 Therapeutics Inc
1 May 20262.92
4.06
39.04%
4
36.56
1.30%
12.68
CCM NYSE · Concord Medical Services Holdings
19 Jun 20265.32
5.05
-5.08%
4
38.40
0.63%
0.59
CCRN NASDAQ · Cross Country Healthcare Inc
26 Jun 202613.22
13.22
0.00%
6
66.25
2.64%
2.69
CDXS NASDAQ · Codexis Inc
5 Jun 20262.56
2.43
-5.08%
5
58.49
1.61%
1.50
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
13 Mar 202657.71
46.92
-18.70%
4
68.87
1.01%
14.70
CGEM NASDAQ · Cullinan Oncology LLC
26 Dec 202510.37
18.13
74.83%
5
88.22
4.73%
5.45
CHCT NYSE · Community Healthcare Trust Inc
30 Jan 202616.32
18.01
10.33%
4
97.49
1.07%
0.02
CHD NYSE · Church & Dwight Company Inc
27 Mar 202694.38
96.36
2.10%
6
35.98
0.70%
1.44
CHRN NASDAQ · ChronoScale Corporation
2 Jan 20267.84
20.90
166.58%
6
50.51
3.42%
24.90

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 1921-1950 of 4969
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
7 Mar 2025
Exit
AGPU NASDAQ · Axe Compute Inc.
17.10
20% entry drawdown
-29.63%
Entry 14 Feb 2025 24.30
7 Mar 2025
Entry
ALGM NASDAQ · Allegro Microsystems Inc
27.71
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 31.54 · ROC 0.56% · RS 7.48
7 Mar 2025
Exit
ALGT NASDAQ · Allegiant Travel Company
60.76
20% entry drawdown
-25.76%
Entry 29 Nov 2024 81.84
7 Mar 2025
Exit
AMPG NASDAQ · Amplitech Group Inc
1.61
20% entry drawdown
-20.69%
Entry 17 Jan 2025 2.03
7 Mar 2025
Exit
AMWL NYSE · American Well Corp
8.33
20% entry drawdown
-29.05%
Entry 21 Feb 2025 11.74
7 Mar 2025
Entry
AUDC NASDAQ · AudioCodes Ltd
10.03
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 80.44 · ROC 0.94% · RS 1.08
7 Mar 2025
Entry
BEAM NASDAQ · Beam Therapeutics Inc
28.48
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 42.15 · ROC 0.86% · RS 6.68
7 Mar 2025
Exit
BMRA NASDAQ · Biomerica Inc
5.15
20% entry drawdown
-22.41%
Entry 14 Feb 2025 6.64
7 Mar 2025
Exit
BNR NASDAQ · Burning Rock Biotech Ltd
5.66
20% entry drawdown
-20.84%
Entry 21 Feb 2025 7.15
7 Mar 2025
Exit
CUE NASDAQ · Cue Biopharma
33.00
20% entry drawdown
-26.17%
Entry 14 Feb 2025 44.70
7 Mar 2025
Entry
DOMO NASDAQ · Domo Inc
8.18
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 19.89 · ROC 0.50% · RS 2.05
7 Mar 2025
Entry
DWTX NASDAQ · Dogwood Therapeutics, Inc.
6.60
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 23.69 · ROC 1.43% · RS 4.24
7 Mar 2025
Entry
ECX NASDAQ · ECARX Holdings Inc. Class A Ordinary shares
2.80
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 61.17 · ROC 4.75% · RS 53.74
7 Mar 2025
Exit
EVEX NYSE · Eve Holding Inc
3.95
20% entry drawdown
-23.00%
Entry 31 Jan 2025 5.13
7 Mar 2025
Entry
FENC NASDAQ · Fennec Pharmaceuticals Inc
6.88
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 77.59 · ROC 1.59% · RS 0.69
7 Mar 2025
Exit
FOSL NASDAQ · Fossil Group Inc
1.38
20% entry drawdown
-26.98%
Entry 27 Dec 2024 1.89
7 Mar 2025
Entry
GOSS NASDAQ · Gossamer Bio Inc
1.21
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 84.07 · ROC 4.80% · RS 27.59
7 Mar 2025
Entry
HERE NASDAQ · Here Group Limited
2.47
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 4.78 · ROC 5.48% · RS 4.03
7 Mar 2025
Entry
HSIC NASDAQ · Henry Schein Inc
74.59
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 30.70 · ROC 0.81% · RS 1.76
7 Mar 2025
Exit
IMPP NASDAQ · Imperial Petroleum Inc
2.15
20% entry drawdown
-22.65%
Entry 9 Feb 2024 2.78
7 Mar 2025
Entry
INMB NASDAQ · INmune Bio Inc
8.02
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 60.61 · ROC 0.87% · RS 0.82
7 Mar 2025
Entry
INMD NASDAQ · InMode Ltd
19.02
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 32.20 · ROC 1.27% · RS 3.70
7 Mar 2025
Entry
INVX NYSE · Innovex International, Inc
18.67
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 61.00 · ROC 1.37% · RS 4.87
7 Mar 2025
Entry
IRTC NASDAQ · iRhythm Technologies Inc
101.75
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 55.18 · ROC 4.52% · RS 8.46
7 Mar 2025
Entry
IVA NASDAQ · Inventiva Sa
3.11
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 78.35 · ROC 3.37% · RS 9.40
7 Mar 2025
Exit
JVA NASDAQ · Coffee Holding Co Inc
9.33
Reversal Risk Warning
505.70%
Entry 29 Mar 2024 1.54
7 Mar 2025
Exit
LNSR NASDAQ · LENSAR Inc
14.86
Reversal Risk Warning
216.17%
Entry 31 May 2024 4.70
7 Mar 2025
Exit
MDAI NASDAQ · Spectral AI Inc.
1.44
20% entry drawdown
-30.10%
Entry 7 Feb 2025 2.06
7 Mar 2025
Entry
MSS NASDAQ · Maison Solutions Inc
13.70
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 28.17 · ROC 2.80% · RS 18.81
7 Mar 2025
Entry
NB NASDAQ · NioCorp Developments Ltd. Common Stock
2.16
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 63.34 · ROC 2.86% · RS 6.41