Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 3 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
442.32
Total Return
342.32%
CAGR
53.15% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+31.04%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.25 Sortino 3.84
Current Holdings
285
Transactions
4953 Avg 1420.0/yr · 118.3/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2334 Stop 57.2% · Warning 42.7% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

3 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
12
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
4.84 5 signals · MA 76.39 · ROC 4.24% · RS 3.81
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
73.83 4 signals · MA 83.35 · ROC 9.24% · RS 22.03
EDIT NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc
3.65 8 signals · MA 23.20 · ROC 2.51% · RS 18.52
EPC NYSE · Edgewell Personal Care Co
27.21 4 signals · MA 81.29 · ROC 5.52% · RS 19.35
JXG NASDAQ · JX Luxventure Group Inc.
10.84 4 signals · MA 84.92 · ROC 12.88% · RS 8.46
MAN NYSE · ManpowerGroup Inc
38.79 4 signals · MA 92.33 · ROC 3.87% · RS 8.61
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
13.57 5 signals · MA 82.73 · ROC 5.93% · RS 2.64
NWL NASDAQ · Newell Brands Inc
5.83 4 signals · MA 79.52 · ROC 6.86% · RS 15.74
QMCO NASDAQ · Quantum Corporation
10.16 5 signals · MA 99.53 · ROC 9.13% · RS 7.75
SABR NASDAQ · Sabre Corpo
2.09 7 signals · MA 78.18 · ROC 2.51% · RS 3.07
TLX NASDAQ · Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited
11.87 8 signals · MA 51.65 · ROC 1.56% · RS 4.35
WYHG NASDAQ · Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited American Depositary Shares
4.51 4 signals · MA 72.17 · ROC 5.14% · RS 9.36

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
4
ABX NYSE · Abacus Global Management, Inc.
11.86 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.75%
ENPH NASDAQ · Enphase Energy Inc
43.07 20% entry drawdown · -23.19%
HLLY NYSE · Holley Inc
2.40 20% entry drawdown · -21.82%
STI NASDAQ · Solidion Technology Inc.
7.85 20% entry drawdown · -36.39%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 31-60 of 285 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
ASPN NYSE · Aspen Aerogels Inc
12 Jun 20265.92
5.58
-5.74%
4
95.36
0.15%
3.76
ASRT NASDAQ · Assertio Therapeutics Inc
17 Apr 202618.01
23.50
30.48%
4
93.08
6.92%
37.06
ATER NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
12 Jun 20261.20
1.26
5.00%
4
88.29
4.16%
8.63
ATKR NYSE · Atkore International Group Inc
15 May 202673.93
69.21
-6.38%
4
62.04
2.55%
0.64
ATNI NASDAQ · ATN International Inc
5 Dec 202520.94
24.81
18.46%
4
92.66
3.87%
11.20
ATOM NASDAQ · Atomera Inc
10 Apr 20265.09
7.41
45.58%
6
15.56
3.98%
16.03
ATS NYSE · ATS Corporation
6 Mar 202630.23
27.68
-8.44%
4
56.24
0.55%
1.10
AURA NASDAQ · Aura Biosciences Inc
15 May 20267.74
7.74
0.00%
6
99.14
3.73%
4.17
AVNT NYSE · Avient Corp
6 Mar 202636.03
37.31
3.54%
4
86.64
3.22%
0.52
AVTX NASDAQ · Avalo Therapeutics Inc
19 Sep 202511.83
18.84
59.26%
4
71.66
5.83%
29.24
BCBP NASDAQ · BCB Bancorp Inc
17 Apr 20269.30
10.28
10.59%
4
68.45
1.11%
2.62
BCE NYSE · BCE Inc
13 Feb 202625.07
21.42
-14.56%
4
87.08
1.73%
3.24
BDSX NASDAQ · Biodesix Inc
13 Feb 202611.45
21.99
92.05%
4
84.48
9.49%
17.85
BGSF NYSE · BG Staffing Inc
2 Jan 20264.67
5.70
22.06%
4
60.82
5.26%
14.48
BLMN NASDAQ · Bloomin Brands Inc
26 Jun 20268.97
8.70
-3.01%
5
62.48
2.84%
8.83
BNED NYSE · Barnes & Noble Education Inc
5 Jun 202610.37
12.19
17.55%
8
13.49
1.19%
1.08
BORR NYSE · Borr Drilling Ltd
31 Oct 20253.10
4.49
44.84%
8
25.02
3.92%
2.01
CAL NYSE · Caleres Inc
29 May 202614.49
11.71
-19.19%
5
19.73
1.45%
0.01
CAVA NYSE · CAVA Group, Inc.
27 Mar 202675.42
76.88
1.94%
4
65.59
1.55%
3.45
CBRL NASDAQ · Cracker Barrel Old Country Store
12 Jun 202646.69
53.50
14.59%
5
80.26
2.01%
0.49
CC NYSE · Chemours Co
27 Feb 202618.17
19.01
4.62%
4
93.46
5.29%
25.71
CCCC NASDAQ · C4 Therapeutics Inc
1 May 20262.92
4.30
47.26%
4
36.56
1.30%
12.68
CCM NYSE · Concord Medical Services Holdings
19 Jun 20265.32
4.39
-17.48%
4
38.40
0.63%
0.59
CCRN NASDAQ · Cross Country Healthcare Inc
26 Jun 202613.22
13.20
-0.15%
6
66.25
2.64%
2.69
CDXS NASDAQ · Codexis Inc
5 Jun 20262.56
2.47
-3.52%
5
58.49
1.61%
1.50
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
13 Mar 202657.71
47.68
-17.38%
4
68.87
1.01%
14.70
CGEM NASDAQ · Cullinan Oncology LLC
26 Dec 202510.37
17.63
70.01%
5
88.22
4.73%
5.45
CHCT NYSE · Community Healthcare Trust Inc
30 Jan 202616.32
18.31
12.16%
4
97.49
1.07%
0.02
CHD NYSE · Church & Dwight Company Inc
27 Mar 202694.38
98.60
4.47%
6
35.98
0.70%
1.44
CHRN NASDAQ · ChronoScale Corporation
2 Jan 20267.84
16.49
110.33%
6
50.51
3.42%
24.90

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 181-210 of 4953
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
5 Jun 2026
Entry
BNED NYSE · Barnes & Noble Education Inc
10.37
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 13.49 · ROC 1.19% · RS 1.08
5 Jun 2026
Entry
CDXS NASDAQ · Codexis Inc
2.56
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 58.49 · ROC 1.61% · RS 1.50
5 Jun 2026
Exit
CNI NYSE · Canadian National Railway Company
119.73
Reversal Risk Warning
13.45%
Entry 6 Mar 2026 105.53
5 Jun 2026
Entry
CUE NASDAQ · Cue Biopharma
29.46
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 52.88 · ROC 0.99% · RS 39.31
5 Jun 2026
Entry
ENPH NASDAQ · Enphase Energy Inc
56.07
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 87.43 · ROC 9.97% · RS 25.52
5 Jun 2026
Exit
EVTV NASDAQ · Envirotech Vehicles Inc
1.79
20% entry drawdown
-23.18%
Entry 15 May 2026 2.33
5 Jun 2026
Exit
FBIOP NASDAQ · Fortress Biotech Inc Pref Series A
20.67
Reversal Risk Warning
158.05%
Entry 20 Jun 2025 8.01
5 Jun 2026
Entry
FCEL NASDAQ · FuelCell Energy Inc
17.33
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 97.97 · ROC 21.39% · RS 81.93
5 Jun 2026
Exit
FTK NYSE · Flotek Industries Inc
23.52
Reversal Risk Warning
379.02%
Entry 28 Jun 2024 4.91
5 Jun 2026
Exit
IKT NASDAQ · Inhibikase Therapeutics Inc
1.63
20% entry drawdown
-20.49%
Entry 27 Feb 2026 2.05
5 Jun 2026
Entry
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
5.85
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 65.96 · ROC 8.77% · RS 8.65
5 Jun 2026
Exit
JKS NYSE · JinkoSolar Holding Company Limited
18.51
20% entry drawdown
-21.21%
Entry 22 Aug 2025 23.50
5 Jun 2026
Entry
KTCC NASDAQ · Key Tronic Corporation
3.73
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 75.50 · ROC 0.76% · RS 7.72
5 Jun 2026
Exit
LSTR NASDAQ · Landstar System Inc
218.06
Reversal Risk Warning
42.71%
Entry 20 Feb 2026 152.80
5 Jun 2026
Exit
LYEL NASDAQ · Lyell Immunopharma Inc
11.97
20% entry drawdown
-27.50%
Entry 10 Oct 2025 16.51
5 Jun 2026
Entry
MKDW NASDAQ · MKDWELL Tech Inc. Ordinary Share
8.49
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 76.62 · ROC 5.56% · RS 24.70
5 Jun 2026
Exit
NCEW NASDAQ · New Century Logistics (BVI) Limited Ordinary Shares
20.70
Reversal Risk Warning
140.70%
Entry 6 Mar 2026 8.60
5 Jun 2026
Exit
NUE NYSE · Nucor Corp
253.75
Reversal Risk Warning
76.40%
Entry 15 Aug 2025 143.85
5 Jun 2026
Exit
PERI NASDAQ · Perion Network
7.88
20% entry drawdown
-25.73%
Entry 30 May 2025 10.61
5 Jun 2026
Entry
PLUG NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc
3.22
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 66.08 · ROC 4.23% · RS 22.27
5 Jun 2026
Exit
TDAY NYSE · USA TODAY Co., Inc.
8.15
Reversal Risk Warning
153.89%
Entry 10 May 2024 3.21
5 Jun 2026
Exit
TWLO NYSE · Twilio Inc
225.99
Reversal Risk Warning
166.37%
Entry 1 Nov 2024 84.84
5 Jun 2026
Exit
UNFI NYSE · United Natural Foods Inc
55.52
Reversal Risk Warning
180.97%
Entry 4 Oct 2024 19.76
5 Jun 2026
Exit
VFS NASDAQ · VinFast Auto Ltd. Ordinary Shares
3.21
20% entry drawdown
-26.38%
Entry 24 Apr 2026 4.36
5 Jun 2026
Exit
WERN NASDAQ · Werner Enterprises Inc
43.46
Reversal Risk Warning
31.72%
Entry 16 Jan 2026 32.99
5 Jun 2026
Entry
WEST NASDAQ · Westrock Coffee Company
7.54
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 87.58 · ROC 10.08% · RS 20.93
5 Jun 2026
Entry
WSC NASDAQ · Willscot Mobile Mini Holdings Corp A
26.21
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 85.43 · ROC 2.98% · RS 0.21
29 May 2026
Entry
AGL NYSE · agilon health Inc
92.28
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 89.13 · ROC 40.13% · RS 161.74
29 May 2026
Exit
AMD NASDAQ · Advanced Micro Devices Inc
516.10
Reversal Risk Warning
483.63%
Entry 21 Apr 2023 88.43
29 May 2026
Exit
BLDP NASDAQ · Ballard Power Systems Inc
6.29
Reversal Risk Warning
249.44%
Entry 8 Aug 2025 1.80