Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
437.28
Total Return
337.28%
CAGR
52.30% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.85%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23 Sortino 3.79
Current Holdings
283
Transactions
4969 Avg 1416.8/yr · 118.1/mo · 27.2/wk
Exit Mix
2343 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.6% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
8
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92 4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10 4 signals · MA 27.02 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42 6 signals · MA 41.93 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18 4 signals · MA 83.69 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21 4 signals · MA 0.63 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88 6 signals · MA 36.82 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29 8 signals · MA 81.90 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22 7 signals · MA 32.21 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
10
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92 20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.47%
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56 20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24 20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95 20% entry drawdown · -25.57%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 31-60 of 283 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
ASRT NASDAQ · Assertio Therapeutics Inc
17 Apr 202618.01
23.50
30.48%
4
93.08
6.92%
37.06
ATER NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
12 Jun 20261.20
1.15
-4.17%
4
88.29
4.16%
8.63
ATKR NYSE · Atkore International Group Inc
15 May 202673.93
72.24
-2.29%
4
62.04
2.55%
0.64
ATNI NASDAQ · ATN International Inc
5 Dec 202520.94
23.91
14.17%
4
92.66
3.87%
11.20
ATOM NASDAQ · Atomera Inc
10 Apr 20265.09
6.63
30.26%
6
15.56
3.98%
16.03
ATS NYSE · ATS Corporation
6 Mar 202630.23
27.95
-7.54%
4
56.24
0.55%
1.10
AURA NASDAQ · Aura Biosciences Inc
15 May 20267.74
6.84
-11.63%
6
99.14
3.73%
4.17
AVNT NYSE · Avient Corp
6 Mar 202636.03
36.03
-0.01%
4
86.64
3.22%
0.52
AVTX NASDAQ · Avalo Therapeutics Inc
19 Sep 202511.83
19.21
62.38%
4
71.66
5.83%
29.24
BCBP NASDAQ · BCB Bancorp Inc
17 Apr 20269.30
10.35
11.34%
4
68.45
1.11%
2.62
BCE NYSE · BCE Inc
13 Feb 202625.07
21.38
-14.72%
4
87.08
1.73%
3.24
BDSX NASDAQ · Biodesix Inc
13 Feb 202611.45
21.42
87.07%
4
84.48
9.49%
17.85
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
10 Jul 20261.10
1.10
New Entry week
4
27.02
3.25%
2.20
BGSF NYSE · BG Staffing Inc
2 Jan 20264.67
5.63
20.56%
4
60.82
5.26%
14.48
BLMN NASDAQ · Bloomin Brands Inc
26 Jun 20268.97
8.34
-7.02%
5
62.48
2.84%
8.83
BNED NYSE · Barnes & Noble Education Inc
5 Jun 202610.37
12.91
24.49%
8
13.54
1.19%
1.08
BORR NYSE · Borr Drilling Ltd
31 Oct 20253.10
4.33
39.68%
8
25.02
3.92%
2.01
CAL NYSE · Caleres Inc
29 May 202614.49
11.81
-18.50%
5
19.73
1.45%
0.01
CAVA NYSE · CAVA Group, Inc.
27 Mar 202675.42
72.18
-4.30%
4
65.59
1.55%
3.45
CBRL NASDAQ · Cracker Barrel Old Country Store
12 Jun 202646.69
50.42
7.99%
5
79.53
2.01%
0.49
CC NYSE · Chemours Co
27 Feb 202618.17
17.81
-1.99%
4
93.46
5.29%
25.71
CCCC NASDAQ · C4 Therapeutics Inc
1 May 20262.92
4.06
39.04%
4
36.56
1.30%
12.68
CCM NYSE · Concord Medical Services Holdings
19 Jun 20265.32
5.05
-5.08%
4
38.40
0.63%
0.59
CCRN NASDAQ · Cross Country Healthcare Inc
26 Jun 202613.22
13.22
0.00%
6
66.25
2.64%
2.69
CDXS NASDAQ · Codexis Inc
5 Jun 20262.56
2.43
-5.08%
5
58.49
1.61%
1.50
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
13 Mar 202657.71
46.92
-18.70%
4
68.87
1.01%
14.70
CGEM NASDAQ · Cullinan Oncology LLC
26 Dec 202510.37
18.13
74.83%
5
88.22
4.73%
5.45
CHCT NYSE · Community Healthcare Trust Inc
30 Jan 202616.32
18.01
10.33%
4
97.49
1.07%
0.02
CHD NYSE · Church & Dwight Company Inc
27 Mar 202694.38
96.36
2.10%
6
35.98
0.70%
1.44
CHRN NASDAQ · ChronoScale Corporation
2 Jan 20267.84
20.90
166.58%
6
50.51
3.42%
24.90

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 2221-2250 of 4969
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
27 Dec 2024
Entry
SRZN NASDAQ · Surrozen Inc
13.90
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 30.84 · ROC 0.96% · RS 19.03
27 Dec 2024
Exit
TKNO NASDAQ · Alpha Teknova Inc
8.73
Reversal Risk Warning
98.41%
Entry 13 Sep 2024 4.40
27 Dec 2024
Entry
VYNE NASDAQ · Vyne Therapeutics Inc
3.17
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 34.76 · ROC 0.52% · RS 22.61
20 Dec 2024
Exit
CNTX NASDAQ · Context Therapeutics Inc
1.02
20% entry drawdown
-26.09%
Entry 29 Mar 2024 1.38
20 Dec 2024
Exit
CNTY NASDAQ · Century Casinos Inc
3.45
20% entry drawdown
-21.59%
Entry 29 Nov 2024 4.40
20 Dec 2024
Exit
CSTM NYSE · Constellium Nv
10.31
20% entry drawdown
-25.24%
Entry 17 Mar 2023 13.79
20 Dec 2024
Entry
DUKR NASDAQ · DUKE Robotics Corp. Common Stock
3.25
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 93.92 · ROC 14.70% · RS 36.54
20 Dec 2024
Exit
EAF NYSE · GrafTech International Ltd
15.80
20% entry drawdown
-23.30%
Entry 6 Dec 2024 20.60
20 Dec 2024
Exit
ELAN NYSE · Elanco Animal Health
11.63
20% entry drawdown
-20.72%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 14.67
20 Dec 2024
Entry
GLUE NASDAQ · Monte Rosa Therapeutics Inc
6.93
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 62.59 · ROC 9.03% · RS 6.42
20 Dec 2024
Entry
GRRR NASDAQ · Gorilla Technology Group Inc.
13.37
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 80.25 · ROC 11.23% · RS 125.04
20 Dec 2024
Exit
LGO NASDAQ · Largo Resources Ltd
1.70
20% entry drawdown
-26.41%
Entry 1 Nov 2024 2.31
20 Dec 2024
Entry
MIST NASDAQ · Milestone Pharmaceuticals Inc
1.80
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 75.12 · ROC 1.34% · RS 0.92
20 Dec 2024
Entry
MPAA NASDAQ · Motorcar Parts of America Inc
7.91
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 91.57 · ROC 5.67% · RS 0.19
20 Dec 2024
Exit
ORGO NASDAQ · Organogenesis Holdings Inc
3.05
20% entry drawdown
-20.98%
Entry 15 Nov 2024 3.86
20 Dec 2024
Entry
RICK NASDAQ · RCI Hospitality Holdings Inc
55.95
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 45.97 · ROC 1.40% · RS 0.01
20 Dec 2024
Entry
SNBR NASDAQ · Sleep Number Corp
16.32
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 64.33 · ROC 2.69% · RS 5.23
20 Dec 2024
Entry
ULCC NASDAQ · Frontier Group Holdings Inc
6.75
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 38.09 · ROC 0.94% · RS 6.21
20 Dec 2024
Entry
UPLD NASDAQ · Upland Software Inc
43.30
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 95.00 · ROC 7.30% · RS 30.73
20 Dec 2024
Entry
XNCR NASDAQ · Xencor Inc
24.13
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 81.13 · ROC 0.95% · RS 0.98
13 Dec 2024
Entry
ATOM NASDAQ · Atomera Inc
7.48
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 93.54 · ROC 7.61% · RS 28.68
13 Dec 2024
Exit
BTCT NASDAQ · BTC Digital Ltd.
6.38
20% entry drawdown
-39.24%
Entry 6 Dec 2024 10.50
13 Dec 2024
Exit
CDXS NASDAQ · Codexis Inc
5.53
Reversal Risk Warning
20.74%
Entry 29 Nov 2024 4.58
13 Dec 2024
Entry
CISO NASDAQ · Cerberus Cyber Sentinel Corp
1.60
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 92.36 · ROC 7.63% · RS 32.95
13 Dec 2024
Exit
CNDT NASDAQ · Conduent Inc
4.21
Reversal Risk Warning
7.40%
Entry 13 Sep 2024 3.92
13 Dec 2024
Exit
CRNT NASDAQ · Ceragon Networks Ltd
4.79
Reversal Risk Warning
97.12%
Entry 2 Feb 2024 2.43
13 Dec 2024
Exit
FHTX NASDAQ · Foghorn Therapeutics Inc
5.30
20% entry drawdown
-32.31%
Entry 4 Oct 2024 7.83
13 Dec 2024
Exit
IONR NASDAQ · ioneer Ltd American Depositary Shares
4.34
20% entry drawdown
-24.31%
Entry 8 Nov 2024 5.74
13 Dec 2024
Entry
LFCR NASDAQ · Lifecore Biomedical Inc.
7.61
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 97.49 · ROC 2.63% · RS 6.52
13 Dec 2024
Exit
NIU NASDAQ · Niu Technologies
1.84
20% entry drawdown
-20.35%
Entry 1 Nov 2024 2.31