View US ETF Index View Market Dynamics

Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
437.28
Total Return
337.28%
CAGR
52.30% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.85%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23 Sortino 3.79
Current Holdings
283
Transactions
4969 Avg 1416.8/yr · 118.1/mo · 27.2/wk
Exit Mix
2343 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.6% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
8
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92 4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10 4 signals · MA 27.02 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42 6 signals · MA 41.93 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18 4 signals · MA 83.69 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21 4 signals · MA 0.63 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88 6 signals · MA 36.82 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29 8 signals · MA 81.90 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22 7 signals · MA 32.21 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
10
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92 20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.47%
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56 20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24 20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95 20% entry drawdown · -25.57%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 31-60 of 283 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
ASRT NASDAQ · Assertio Therapeutics Inc
17 Apr 202618.01
23.50
30.48%
4
93.08
6.92%
37.06
ATER NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
12 Jun 20261.20
1.15
-4.17%
4
88.29
4.16%
8.63
ATKR NYSE · Atkore International Group Inc
15 May 202673.93
72.24
-2.29%
4
62.04
2.55%
0.64
ATNI NASDAQ · ATN International Inc
5 Dec 202520.94
23.91
14.17%
4
92.66
3.87%
11.20
ATOM NASDAQ · Atomera Inc
10 Apr 20265.09
6.63
30.26%
6
15.56
3.98%
16.03
ATS NYSE · ATS Corporation
6 Mar 202630.23
27.95
-7.54%
4
56.24
0.55%
1.10
AURA NASDAQ · Aura Biosciences Inc
15 May 20267.74
6.84
-11.63%
6
99.14
3.73%
4.17
AVNT NYSE · Avient Corp
6 Mar 202636.03
36.03
-0.01%
4
86.64
3.22%
0.52
AVTX NASDAQ · Avalo Therapeutics Inc
19 Sep 202511.83
19.21
62.38%
4
71.66
5.83%
29.24
BCBP NASDAQ · BCB Bancorp Inc
17 Apr 20269.30
10.35
11.34%
4
68.45
1.11%
2.62
BCE NYSE · BCE Inc
13 Feb 202625.07
21.38
-14.72%
4
87.08
1.73%
3.24
BDSX NASDAQ · Biodesix Inc
13 Feb 202611.45
21.42
87.07%
4
84.48
9.49%
17.85
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
10 Jul 20261.10
1.10
New Entry week
4
27.02
3.25%
2.20
BGSF NYSE · BG Staffing Inc
2 Jan 20264.67
5.63
20.56%
4
60.82
5.26%
14.48
BLMN NASDAQ · Bloomin Brands Inc
26 Jun 20268.97
8.34
-7.02%
5
62.48
2.84%
8.83
BNED NYSE · Barnes & Noble Education Inc
5 Jun 202610.37
12.91
24.49%
8
13.54
1.19%
1.08
BORR NYSE · Borr Drilling Ltd
31 Oct 20253.10
4.33
39.68%
8
25.02
3.92%
2.01
CAL NYSE · Caleres Inc
29 May 202614.49
11.81
-18.50%
5
19.73
1.45%
0.01
CAVA NYSE · CAVA Group, Inc.
27 Mar 202675.42
72.18
-4.30%
4
65.59
1.55%
3.45
CBRL NASDAQ · Cracker Barrel Old Country Store
12 Jun 202646.69
50.42
7.99%
5
79.53
2.01%
0.49
CC NYSE · Chemours Co
27 Feb 202618.17
17.81
-1.99%
4
93.46
5.29%
25.71
CCCC NASDAQ · C4 Therapeutics Inc
1 May 20262.92
4.06
39.04%
4
36.56
1.30%
12.68
CCM NYSE · Concord Medical Services Holdings
19 Jun 20265.32
5.05
-5.08%
4
38.40
0.63%
0.59
CCRN NASDAQ · Cross Country Healthcare Inc
26 Jun 202613.22
13.22
0.00%
6
66.25
2.64%
2.69
CDXS NASDAQ · Codexis Inc
5 Jun 20262.56
2.43
-5.08%
5
58.49
1.61%
1.50
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
13 Mar 202657.71
46.92
-18.70%
4
68.87
1.01%
14.70
CGEM NASDAQ · Cullinan Oncology LLC
26 Dec 202510.37
18.13
74.83%
5
88.22
4.73%
5.45
CHCT NYSE · Community Healthcare Trust Inc
30 Jan 202616.32
18.01
10.33%
4
97.49
1.07%
0.02
CHD NYSE · Church & Dwight Company Inc
27 Mar 202694.38
96.36
2.10%
6
35.98
0.70%
1.44
CHRN NASDAQ · ChronoScale Corporation
2 Jan 20267.84
20.90
166.58%
6
50.51
3.42%
24.90

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 2251-2280 of 4969
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
13 Dec 2024
Exit
NWL NASDAQ · Newell Brands Inc
10.06
Reversal Risk Warning
26.17%
Entry 1 Nov 2024 7.97
13 Dec 2024
Entry
ONDS NASDAQ · Ondas Holdings Inc.
1.40
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 40.49 · ROC 3.85% · RS 23.29
13 Dec 2024
Entry
OPTU NYSE · Optimum Communications, Inc.
2.68
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 54.24 · ROC 2.80% · RS 2.52
13 Dec 2024
Entry
PETS NASDAQ · PetMed Express Inc
5.51
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 67.69 · ROC 3.34% · RS 1.47
13 Dec 2024
Entry
PLBY NASDAQ · Plby Group Inc
1.41
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 97.31 · ROC 6.73% · RS 29.55
13 Dec 2024
Entry
RYM NASDAQ · RYTHM, Inc.
40.00
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 72.10 · ROC 112.72% · RS 270.25
13 Dec 2024
Entry
SCKT NASDAQ · Socket Mobile Inc
1.47
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 82.27 · ROC 3.29% · RS 10.02
13 Dec 2024
Exit
SGMT NASDAQ · Sagimet Biosciences Inc. Series A Common Stock
4.39
20% entry drawdown
-22.85%
Entry 29 Nov 2024 5.69
13 Dec 2024
Entry
VVOS NASDAQ · Vivos Therapeutics Inc
4.61
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 71.40 · ROC 7.65% · RS 1.80
13 Dec 2024
Exit
WIT NYSE · Wipro Limited ADR
3.44
Reversal Risk Warning
27.26%
Entry 19 Jan 2024 2.71
13 Dec 2024
Entry
YSG NYSE · Yatsen Holding
4.77
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 91.97 · ROC 0.98% · RS 20.71
13 Dec 2024
Exit
ZSTK NASDAQ · ZeroStack Corp.
50.70
20% entry drawdown
-22.16%
Entry 6 Dec 2024 65.13
6 Dec 2024
Exit
AOSL NASDAQ · Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Ltd
48.43
Reversal Risk Warning
49.06%
Entry 21 Jun 2024 32.49
6 Dec 2024
Exit
API NASDAQ · Agora Inc
6.16
Reversal Risk Warning
40.32%
Entry 15 Nov 2024 4.39
6 Dec 2024
Entry
APPN NASDAQ · Appian Corp
40.65
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 78.18 · ROC 1.77% · RS 3.09
6 Dec 2024
Entry
ARQT NASDAQ · Arcutis Biotherapeutics Inc
12.40
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 57.82 · ROC 4.08% · RS 24.00
6 Dec 2024
Exit
BCYC NASDAQ · Bicycle Therapeutics Ltd
19.95
20% entry drawdown
-20.07%
Entry 8 Nov 2024 24.96
6 Dec 2024
Exit
BGDE NASDAQ · Big Digital Energy, Inc.
26.40
20% entry drawdown
-25.42%
Entry 15 Nov 2024 35.40
6 Dec 2024
Exit
BTBT NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc
4.88
Reversal Risk Warning
148.98%
Entry 14 Apr 2023 1.96
6 Dec 2024
Entry
BTCT NASDAQ · BTC Digital Ltd.
10.50
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 11.70 · ROC 91.46% · RS 151.16
6 Dec 2024
Exit
BZFD NASDAQ · BuzzFeed Inc
5.36
Reversal Risk Warning
165.35%
Entry 10 May 2024 2.02
6 Dec 2024
Exit
CAN NASDAQ · Canaan Inc
3.04
Reversal Risk Warning
54.31%
Entry 22 Nov 2024 1.97
6 Dec 2024
Exit
CRM NYSE · Salesforce.com Inc
357.26
Reversal Risk Warning
82.01%
Entry 31 Mar 2023 196.29
6 Dec 2024
Exit
DOCU NASDAQ · DocuSign Inc
106.99
Reversal Risk Warning
55.08%
Entry 25 Oct 2024 68.99
6 Dec 2024
Entry
EAF NYSE · GrafTech International Ltd
20.60
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 83.31 · ROC 4.25% · RS 22.26
6 Dec 2024
Exit
FVRR NYSE · Fiverr International Ltd
35.35
Reversal Risk Warning
10.09%
Entry 22 Nov 2024 32.11
6 Dec 2024
Exit
GTEC NASDAQ · Greenland Acquisition Corp
2.09
20% entry drawdown
-20.53%
Entry 1 Nov 2024 2.63
6 Dec 2024
Exit
IKT NASDAQ · Inhibikase Therapeutics Inc
3.28
Reversal Risk Warning
41.99%
Entry 22 Nov 2024 2.31
6 Dec 2024
Exit
MIRA NASDAQ · MIRA Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Common Stock
1.19
20% entry drawdown
-22.73%
Entry 15 Nov 2024 1.54
6 Dec 2024
Entry
MTEX NASDAQ · Mannatech Incorporated
11.01
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 68.44 · ROC 1.70% · RS 17.93