Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
437.28
Total Return
337.28%
CAGR
52.30% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.85%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23 Sortino 3.79
Current Holdings
283
Transactions
4969 Avg 1416.8/yr · 118.1/mo · 27.2/wk
Exit Mix
2343 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.6% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
8
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92 4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10 4 signals · MA 27.02 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42 6 signals · MA 41.93 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18 4 signals · MA 83.69 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21 4 signals · MA 0.63 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88 6 signals · MA 36.82 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29 8 signals · MA 81.90 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22 7 signals · MA 32.21 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
10
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92 20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.47%
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56 20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24 20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95 20% entry drawdown · -25.57%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 31-60 of 283 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
ASRT NASDAQ · Assertio Therapeutics Inc
17 Apr 202618.01
23.50
30.48%
4
93.08
6.92%
37.06
ATER NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
12 Jun 20261.20
1.15
-4.17%
4
88.29
4.16%
8.63
ATKR NYSE · Atkore International Group Inc
15 May 202673.93
72.24
-2.29%
4
62.04
2.55%
0.64
ATNI NASDAQ · ATN International Inc
5 Dec 202520.94
23.91
14.17%
4
92.66
3.87%
11.20
ATOM NASDAQ · Atomera Inc
10 Apr 20265.09
6.63
30.26%
6
15.56
3.98%
16.03
ATS NYSE · ATS Corporation
6 Mar 202630.23
27.95
-7.54%
4
56.24
0.55%
1.10
AURA NASDAQ · Aura Biosciences Inc
15 May 20267.74
6.84
-11.63%
6
99.14
3.73%
4.17
AVNT NYSE · Avient Corp
6 Mar 202636.03
36.03
-0.01%
4
86.64
3.22%
0.52
AVTX NASDAQ · Avalo Therapeutics Inc
19 Sep 202511.83
19.21
62.38%
4
71.66
5.83%
29.24
BCBP NASDAQ · BCB Bancorp Inc
17 Apr 20269.30
10.35
11.34%
4
68.45
1.11%
2.62
BCE NYSE · BCE Inc
13 Feb 202625.07
21.38
-14.72%
4
87.08
1.73%
3.24
BDSX NASDAQ · Biodesix Inc
13 Feb 202611.45
21.42
87.07%
4
84.48
9.49%
17.85
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
10 Jul 20261.10
1.10
New Entry week
4
27.02
3.25%
2.20
BGSF NYSE · BG Staffing Inc
2 Jan 20264.67
5.63
20.56%
4
60.82
5.26%
14.48
BLMN NASDAQ · Bloomin Brands Inc
26 Jun 20268.97
8.34
-7.02%
5
62.48
2.84%
8.83
BNED NYSE · Barnes & Noble Education Inc
5 Jun 202610.37
12.91
24.49%
8
13.54
1.19%
1.08
BORR NYSE · Borr Drilling Ltd
31 Oct 20253.10
4.33
39.68%
8
25.02
3.92%
2.01
CAL NYSE · Caleres Inc
29 May 202614.49
11.81
-18.50%
5
19.73
1.45%
0.01
CAVA NYSE · CAVA Group, Inc.
27 Mar 202675.42
72.18
-4.30%
4
65.59
1.55%
3.45
CBRL NASDAQ · Cracker Barrel Old Country Store
12 Jun 202646.69
50.42
7.99%
5
79.53
2.01%
0.49
CC NYSE · Chemours Co
27 Feb 202618.17
17.81
-1.99%
4
93.46
5.29%
25.71
CCCC NASDAQ · C4 Therapeutics Inc
1 May 20262.92
4.06
39.04%
4
36.56
1.30%
12.68
CCM NYSE · Concord Medical Services Holdings
19 Jun 20265.32
5.05
-5.08%
4
38.40
0.63%
0.59
CCRN NASDAQ · Cross Country Healthcare Inc
26 Jun 202613.22
13.22
0.00%
6
66.25
2.64%
2.69
CDXS NASDAQ · Codexis Inc
5 Jun 20262.56
2.43
-5.08%
5
58.49
1.61%
1.50
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
13 Mar 202657.71
46.92
-18.70%
4
68.87
1.01%
14.70
CGEM NASDAQ · Cullinan Oncology LLC
26 Dec 202510.37
18.13
74.83%
5
88.22
4.73%
5.45
CHCT NYSE · Community Healthcare Trust Inc
30 Jan 202616.32
18.01
10.33%
4
97.49
1.07%
0.02
CHD NYSE · Church & Dwight Company Inc
27 Mar 202694.38
96.36
2.10%
6
35.98
0.70%
1.44
CHRN NASDAQ · ChronoScale Corporation
2 Jan 20267.84
20.90
166.58%
6
50.51
3.42%
24.90

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 2371-2400 of 4969
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
15 Nov 2024
Exit
MDXG NASDAQ · MiMedx Group Inc
9.28
Reversal Risk Warning
141.04%
Entry 10 Mar 2023 3.85
15 Nov 2024
Entry
MIRA NASDAQ · MIRA Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Common Stock
1.54
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 62.81 · ROC 7.11% · RS 8.42
15 Nov 2024
Exit
MLAB NASDAQ · Mesa Laboratories Inc
101.25
20% entry drawdown
-23.38%
Entry 30 Aug 2024 132.14
15 Nov 2024
Entry
MP NYSE · MP Materials Corp
18.28
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 47.31 · ROC 2.78% · RS 2.61
15 Nov 2024
Entry
MTLS NASDAQ · Materialise NV
6.89
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 65.63 · ROC 3.20% · RS 11.28
15 Nov 2024
Entry
MYSE NASDAQ · Myseum, Inc.
2.26
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 68.86 · ROC 6.05% · RS 34.16
15 Nov 2024
Exit
NBTX NASDAQ · Nanobiotix
3.93
20% entry drawdown
-21.87%
Entry 2 Jun 2023 5.03
15 Nov 2024
Entry
ORGO NASDAQ · Organogenesis Holdings Inc
3.86
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 26.94 · ROC 1.52% · RS 14.29
15 Nov 2024
Exit
PSNYW NASDAQ · Polestar Automotive Holding UK PLC Class C-1 ADS (ADW)
4.61
20% entry drawdown
-38.56%
Entry 11 Oct 2024 7.50
15 Nov 2024
Exit
QURE NASDAQ · Uniqure NV
6.21
20% entry drawdown
-20.35%
Entry 8 Nov 2024 7.79
15 Nov 2024
Entry
RPID NASDAQ · Rapid Micro Biosystems Inc
1.04
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 64.14 · ROC 2.05% · RS 3.82
15 Nov 2024
Exit
SCWO NASDAQ · 374Water Inc. Common Stock
10.30
20% entry drawdown
-28.97%
Entry 1 Nov 2024 14.50
15 Nov 2024
Entry
SNAL NASDAQ · Snail, Inc. Class A Common Stock
5.95
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 56.84 · ROC 5.07% · RS 4.16
15 Nov 2024
Entry
TOUR NASDAQ · Tuniu Corp
8.38
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 41.62 · ROC 4.90% · RS 8.09
15 Nov 2024
Entry
UNIT NASDAQ · Uniti Group Inc
9.29
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 55.51 · ROC 0.76% · RS 6.54
8 Nov 2024
Entry
ADTN NASDAQ · ADTRAN Inc
8.08
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 68.12 · ROC 3.92% · RS 19.49
8 Nov 2024
Exit
AGIO NASDAQ · Agios Pharm
59.06
Reversal Risk Warning
100.14%
Entry 12 Apr 2024 29.51
8 Nov 2024
Exit
APAM NYSE · Artisan Partners Asset Management Inc
41.00
Reversal Risk Warning
53.62%
Entry 28 Apr 2023 26.69
8 Nov 2024
Entry
BCYC NASDAQ · Bicycle Therapeutics Ltd
24.96
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 20.10 · ROC 0.58% · RS 0.13
8 Nov 2024
Entry
BOF NASDAQ · BranchOut Food Inc. Common Stock
1.80
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 26.93 · ROC 0.46% · RS 1.56
8 Nov 2024
Exit
BV NYSE · BrightView Holdings
18.57
Reversal Risk Warning
125.36%
Entry 12 Jan 2024 8.24
8 Nov 2024
Entry
CNVS NASDAQ · Cineverse Corp.
2.73
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 95.59 · ROC 15.08% · RS 96.27
8 Nov 2024
Exit
DTCX NASDAQ · Datacentrex, Inc.
4.94
20% entry drawdown
-21.21%
Entry 11 Oct 2024 6.27
8 Nov 2024
Exit
EGBN NASDAQ · Eagle Bancorp Inc
27.95
Reversal Risk Warning
9.67%
Entry 25 Oct 2024 25.49
8 Nov 2024
Exit
FIGS NYSE · Figs Inc
4.78
20% entry drawdown
-29.50%
Entry 27 Sep 2024 6.78
8 Nov 2024
Exit
FMAO NASDAQ · Farmers & Merchants Bancorp Inc
30.41
Reversal Risk Warning
35.01%
Entry 9 Aug 2024 22.53
8 Nov 2024
Exit
FRPT NASDAQ · Freshpet Inc
156.45
Reversal Risk Warning
132.43%
Entry 17 Feb 2023 67.31
8 Nov 2024
Exit
GBCI NYSE · Glacier Bancorp Inc
54.03
Reversal Risk Warning
33.12%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 40.59
8 Nov 2024
Entry
IONR NASDAQ · ioneer Ltd American Depositary Shares
5.74
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 98.80 · ROC 7.17% · RS 9.61
8 Nov 2024
Exit
ITGR NYSE · Integer Holdings Corp
136.76
Reversal Risk Warning
79.38%
Entry 17 Feb 2023 76.24