Universe
Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.
Signal Validation
Trend Performance Index
United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.
Index Value
437.28
Total Return
337.28%
CAGR
52.30%
Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.85%/yr
Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23
Sortino 3.79
Current Holdings
283
Transactions
4969
Avg 1416.8/yr ·
118.1/mo ·
27.2/wk
Exit Mix
2343
Stop 57.3% ·
Warning 42.6%
· Other 0.1%
Method
How The Index Works
The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.
Entry Rule
A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.
Exit Rule
A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.
Return Math
Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.
Assumptions
- Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
- New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
- Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
- Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
- Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.
Weekly Index
Cumulative Value
Latest Week
Positions In And Out
New Positions In
Entries at weekly close
AMCX
NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92
4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI
NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10
4 signals · MA 27.02 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN
NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42
6 signals · MA 41.93 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP
NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18
4 signals · MA 83.69 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD
NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21
4 signals · MA 0.63 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S
NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88
6 signals · MA 36.82 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS
NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29
8 signals · MA 81.90 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC
NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22
7 signals · MA 32.21 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72
Positions Out
Closed at weekly close
ACDC
NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92
20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR
NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69
20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
IPWR
NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57
20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
KELYB
NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95
Reversal Risk Warning · 89.47%
LAND
NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56
20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL
NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24
20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO
NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23
20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TROX
NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14
20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY
NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21
20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL
NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95
20% entry drawdown · -25.57%
Live Book
Current Holdings
Ticker
Entry
Last Close
Return
Signals
Activity
ROC
RS
ASRT
NASDAQ · Assertio Therapeutics Inc
17 Apr 202618.01
23.50
30.48%
4
93.08
6.92%
37.06
ATER
NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
12 Jun 20261.20
1.15
-4.17%
4
88.29
4.16%
8.63
ATKR
NYSE · Atkore International Group Inc
15 May 202673.93
72.24
-2.29%
4
62.04
2.55%
0.64
ATNI
NASDAQ · ATN International Inc
5 Dec 202520.94
23.91
14.17%
4
92.66
3.87%
11.20
ATOM
NASDAQ · Atomera Inc
10 Apr 20265.09
6.63
30.26%
6
15.56
3.98%
16.03
ATS
NYSE · ATS Corporation
6 Mar 202630.23
27.95
-7.54%
4
56.24
0.55%
1.10
AURA
NASDAQ · Aura Biosciences Inc
15 May 20267.74
6.84
-11.63%
6
99.14
3.73%
4.17
AVNT
NYSE · Avient Corp
6 Mar 202636.03
36.03
-0.01%
4
86.64
3.22%
0.52
AVTX
NASDAQ · Avalo Therapeutics Inc
19 Sep 202511.83
19.21
62.38%
4
71.66
5.83%
29.24
BCBP
NASDAQ · BCB Bancorp Inc
17 Apr 20269.30
10.35
11.34%
4
68.45
1.11%
2.62
BCE
NYSE · BCE Inc
13 Feb 202625.07
21.38
-14.72%
4
87.08
1.73%
3.24
BDSX
NASDAQ · Biodesix Inc
13 Feb 202611.45
21.42
87.07%
4
84.48
9.49%
17.85
BFRI
NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
10 Jul 20261.10
1.10
New
Entry week
4
27.02
3.25%
2.20
BGSF
NYSE · BG Staffing Inc
2 Jan 20264.67
5.63
20.56%
4
60.82
5.26%
14.48
BLMN
NASDAQ · Bloomin Brands Inc
26 Jun 20268.97
8.34
-7.02%
5
62.48
2.84%
8.83
BNED
NYSE · Barnes & Noble Education Inc
5 Jun 202610.37
12.91
24.49%
8
13.54
1.19%
1.08
BORR
NYSE · Borr Drilling Ltd
31 Oct 20253.10
4.33
39.68%
8
25.02
3.92%
2.01
CAL
NYSE · Caleres Inc
29 May 202614.49
11.81
-18.50%
5
19.73
1.45%
0.01
CAVA
NYSE · CAVA Group, Inc.
27 Mar 202675.42
72.18
-4.30%
4
65.59
1.55%
3.45
CBRL
NASDAQ · Cracker Barrel Old Country Store
12 Jun 202646.69
50.42
7.99%
5
79.53
2.01%
0.49
CC
NYSE · Chemours Co
27 Feb 202618.17
17.81
-1.99%
4
93.46
5.29%
25.71
CCCC
NASDAQ · C4 Therapeutics Inc
1 May 20262.92
4.06
39.04%
4
36.56
1.30%
12.68
CCM
NYSE · Concord Medical Services Holdings
19 Jun 20265.32
5.05
-5.08%
4
38.40
0.63%
0.59
CCRN
NASDAQ · Cross Country Healthcare Inc
26 Jun 202613.22
13.22
0.00%
6
66.25
2.64%
2.69
CDXS
NASDAQ · Codexis Inc
5 Jun 20262.56
2.43
-5.08%
5
58.49
1.61%
1.50
CE
NYSE · Celanese Corporation
13 Mar 202657.71
46.92
-18.70%
4
68.87
1.01%
14.70
CGEM
NASDAQ · Cullinan Oncology LLC
26 Dec 202510.37
18.13
74.83%
5
88.22
4.73%
5.45
CHCT
NYSE · Community Healthcare Trust Inc
30 Jan 202616.32
18.01
10.33%
4
97.49
1.07%
0.02
CHD
NYSE · Church & Dwight Company Inc
27 Mar 202694.38
96.36
2.10%
6
35.98
0.70%
1.44
CHRN
NASDAQ · ChronoScale Corporation
2 Jan 20267.84
20.90
166.58%
6
50.51
3.42%
24.90
Ledger
Transaction History
Date
Action
Ticker
Price
Reason
Return
Qualifiers
1 Nov 2024
Entry
BSBK
NASDAQ · Bogota Financial Corp
8.32
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals
MA 80.44 · ROC 1.90% · RS 2.11
1 Nov 2024
Exit
CALC
NASDAQ · CalciMedica, Inc. Common Stock
3.51
20% entry drawdown
-22.00%
Entry 8 Mar 2024
4.50
1 Nov 2024
Exit
CERS
NASDAQ · Cerus Corporation
1.52
20% entry drawdown
-24.75%
Entry 6 Sep 2024
2.02
1 Nov 2024
Entry
DAO
NYSE · Youdao Inc
5.23
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 82.28 · ROC 3.33% · RS 22.11
1 Nov 2024
Entry
DOUG
NYSE · Douglas Elliman Inc
2.02
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals
MA 22.87 · ROC 0.91% · RS 3.06
1 Nov 2024
Entry
GTEC
NASDAQ · Greenland Acquisition Corp
2.63
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals
MA 60.63 · ROC 1.55% · RS 2.66
1 Nov 2024
Exit
IMUX
NASDAQ · Immunic Inc
11.90
20% entry drawdown
-21.71%
Entry 13 Sep 2024
15.20
1 Nov 2024
Entry
LGO
NASDAQ · Largo Resources Ltd
2.31
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals
MA 46.50 · ROC 3.54% · RS 8.27
1 Nov 2024
Entry
NIU
NASDAQ · Niu Technologies
2.31
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals
MA 51.65 · ROC 4.30% · RS 3.23
1 Nov 2024
Entry
NOAH
NYSE · Noah Holdings Ltd
11.30
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 97.67 · ROC 5.88% · RS 17.20
1 Nov 2024
Entry
NWL
NASDAQ · Newell Brands Inc
7.97
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 58.46 · ROC 1.12% · RS 5.61
1 Nov 2024
Entry
OWLT
NYSE · Owlet Inc
5.46
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals
MA 54.23 · ROC 2.37% · RS 3.54
1 Nov 2024
Entry
PDYN
NASDAQ · Palladyne AI Corp
2.01
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 54.19 · ROC 1.81% · RS 30.49
1 Nov 2024
Entry
PETZ
NASDAQ · TDH Holdings Inc
1.33
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals
MA 11.95 · ROC 0.76% · RS 0.24
1 Nov 2024
Exit
RCKY
NASDAQ · Rocky Brands Inc
19.67
20% entry drawdown
-30.87%
Entry 22 Dec 2023
28.45
1 Nov 2024
Exit
RCON
NASDAQ · Recon Technology Ltd
2.45
20% entry drawdown
-29.39%
Entry 18 Oct 2024
3.47
1 Nov 2024
Entry
RVNC
NASDAQ · Revance Therapeutics, Inc.
5.80
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals
MA 26.03 · ROC 1.23% · RS 0.15
1 Nov 2024
Entry
SBH
NYSE · Sally Beauty Holdings Inc
13.12
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals
MA 17.70 · ROC 1.16% · RS 0.52
1 Nov 2024
Entry
SCWO
NASDAQ · 374Water Inc. Common Stock
14.50
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 58.61 · ROC 3.58% · RS 2.80
1 Nov 2024
Entry
TWLO
NYSE · Twilio Inc
84.84
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals
MA 65.33 · ROC 3.00% · RS 19.75
1 Nov 2024
Entry
VIAV
NASDAQ · Viavi Solutions Inc
9.86
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 62.33 · ROC 0.05% · RS 3.98
1 Nov 2024
Entry
XPEV
NYSE · Xpeng Inc
11.52
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals
MA 70.69 · ROC 5.12% · RS 2.82
1 Nov 2024
Entry
YUMC
NYSE · Yum China Holdings Inc
43.46
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 93.36 · ROC 2.16% · RS 6.51
1 Nov 2024
Entry
ZM
NASDAQ · Zoom Video Communications Inc
75.60
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals
MA 52.15 · ROC 1.55% · RS 5.28
1 Nov 2024
Entry
ZTO
NYSE · ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc
21.94
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals
MA 76.35 · ROC 2.78% · RS 1.23
25 Oct 2024
Exit
ATLN
NASDAQ · Atlantic International Corp. Common Stock
4.91
20% entry drawdown
-22.68%
Entry 6 Sep 2024
6.35
25 Oct 2024
Entry
BZUN
NASDAQ · Baozun Inc
3.16
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 93.01 · ROC 5.90% · RS 6.15
25 Oct 2024
Entry
DOCN
NYSE · DigitalOcean Holdings Inc
41.04
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals
MA 38.98 · ROC 1.41% · RS 1.82
25 Oct 2024
Entry
DOCU
NASDAQ · DocuSign Inc
68.99
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 76.24 · ROC 2.56% · RS 9.48
25 Oct 2024
Exit
DOGZ
NASDAQ · Dogness International Corp Class A
56.84
Reversal Risk Warning
418.14%
Entry 24 May 2024
10.97