Universe
Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.
Signal Validation
Trend Performance Index
United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.
Index Value
437.28
Total Return
337.28%
CAGR
52.30%
Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.85%/yr
Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23
Sortino 3.79
Current Holdings
283
Transactions
4969
Avg 1416.8/yr ·
118.1/mo ·
27.2/wk
Exit Mix
2343
Stop 57.3% ·
Warning 42.6%
· Other 0.1%
Method
How The Index Works
The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.
Entry Rule
A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.
Exit Rule
A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.
Return Math
Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.
Assumptions
- Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
- New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
- Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
- Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
- Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.
Weekly Index
Cumulative Value
Latest Week
Positions In And Out
New Positions In
Entries at weekly close
AMCX
NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92
4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI
NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10
4 signals · MA 27.02 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN
NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42
6 signals · MA 41.93 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP
NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18
4 signals · MA 83.69 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD
NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21
4 signals · MA 0.63 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S
NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88
6 signals · MA 36.82 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS
NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29
8 signals · MA 81.90 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC
NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22
7 signals · MA 32.21 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72
Positions Out
Closed at weekly close
ACDC
NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92
20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR
NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69
20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
IPWR
NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57
20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
KELYB
NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95
Reversal Risk Warning · 89.47%
LAND
NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56
20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL
NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24
20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO
NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23
20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TROX
NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14
20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY
NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21
20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL
NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95
20% entry drawdown · -25.57%
Live Book
Current Holdings
Ticker
Entry
Last Close
Return
Signals
Activity
ROC
RS
ASRT
NASDAQ · Assertio Therapeutics Inc
17 Apr 202618.01
23.50
30.48%
4
93.08
6.92%
37.06
ATER
NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
12 Jun 20261.20
1.15
-4.17%
4
88.29
4.16%
8.63
ATKR
NYSE · Atkore International Group Inc
15 May 202673.93
72.24
-2.29%
4
62.04
2.55%
0.64
ATNI
NASDAQ · ATN International Inc
5 Dec 202520.94
23.91
14.17%
4
92.66
3.87%
11.20
ATOM
NASDAQ · Atomera Inc
10 Apr 20265.09
6.63
30.26%
6
15.56
3.98%
16.03
ATS
NYSE · ATS Corporation
6 Mar 202630.23
27.95
-7.54%
4
56.24
0.55%
1.10
AURA
NASDAQ · Aura Biosciences Inc
15 May 20267.74
6.84
-11.63%
6
99.14
3.73%
4.17
AVNT
NYSE · Avient Corp
6 Mar 202636.03
36.03
-0.01%
4
86.64
3.22%
0.52
AVTX
NASDAQ · Avalo Therapeutics Inc
19 Sep 202511.83
19.21
62.38%
4
71.66
5.83%
29.24
BCBP
NASDAQ · BCB Bancorp Inc
17 Apr 20269.30
10.35
11.34%
4
68.45
1.11%
2.62
BCE
NYSE · BCE Inc
13 Feb 202625.07
21.38
-14.72%
4
87.08
1.73%
3.24
BDSX
NASDAQ · Biodesix Inc
13 Feb 202611.45
21.42
87.07%
4
84.48
9.49%
17.85
BFRI
NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
10 Jul 20261.10
1.10
New
Entry week
4
27.02
3.25%
2.20
BGSF
NYSE · BG Staffing Inc
2 Jan 20264.67
5.63
20.56%
4
60.82
5.26%
14.48
BLMN
NASDAQ · Bloomin Brands Inc
26 Jun 20268.97
8.34
-7.02%
5
62.48
2.84%
8.83
BNED
NYSE · Barnes & Noble Education Inc
5 Jun 202610.37
12.91
24.49%
8
13.54
1.19%
1.08
BORR
NYSE · Borr Drilling Ltd
31 Oct 20253.10
4.33
39.68%
8
25.02
3.92%
2.01
CAL
NYSE · Caleres Inc
29 May 202614.49
11.81
-18.50%
5
19.73
1.45%
0.01
CAVA
NYSE · CAVA Group, Inc.
27 Mar 202675.42
72.18
-4.30%
4
65.59
1.55%
3.45
CBRL
NASDAQ · Cracker Barrel Old Country Store
12 Jun 202646.69
50.42
7.99%
5
79.53
2.01%
0.49
CC
NYSE · Chemours Co
27 Feb 202618.17
17.81
-1.99%
4
93.46
5.29%
25.71
CCCC
NASDAQ · C4 Therapeutics Inc
1 May 20262.92
4.06
39.04%
4
36.56
1.30%
12.68
CCM
NYSE · Concord Medical Services Holdings
19 Jun 20265.32
5.05
-5.08%
4
38.40
0.63%
0.59
CCRN
NASDAQ · Cross Country Healthcare Inc
26 Jun 202613.22
13.22
0.00%
6
66.25
2.64%
2.69
CDXS
NASDAQ · Codexis Inc
5 Jun 20262.56
2.43
-5.08%
5
58.49
1.61%
1.50
CE
NYSE · Celanese Corporation
13 Mar 202657.71
46.92
-18.70%
4
68.87
1.01%
14.70
CGEM
NASDAQ · Cullinan Oncology LLC
26 Dec 202510.37
18.13
74.83%
5
88.22
4.73%
5.45
CHCT
NYSE · Community Healthcare Trust Inc
30 Jan 202616.32
18.01
10.33%
4
97.49
1.07%
0.02
CHD
NYSE · Church & Dwight Company Inc
27 Mar 202694.38
96.36
2.10%
6
35.98
0.70%
1.44
CHRN
NASDAQ · ChronoScale Corporation
2 Jan 20267.84
20.90
166.58%
6
50.51
3.42%
24.90
Ledger
Transaction History
Date
Action
Ticker
Price
Reason
Return
Qualifiers
25 Oct 2024
Entry
EGBN
NASDAQ · Eagle Bancorp Inc
25.49
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals
MA 75.27 · ROC 1.65% · RS 5.71
25 Oct 2024
Exit
ELUT
NASDAQ · Elutia Inc.
3.31
20% entry drawdown
-23.02%
Entry 13 Sep 2024
4.30
25 Oct 2024
Exit
EVGO
NASDAQ · Evgo Inc
8.81
Reversal Risk Warning
134.31%
Entry 16 Aug 2024
3.76
25 Oct 2024
Exit
ILPT
NASDAQ · Industrial Logistics Properties Trust
3.72
20% entry drawdown
-22.97%
Entry 23 Aug 2024
4.83
25 Oct 2024
Entry
JWEL
NASDAQ · Jowell Global Ltd.
1.74
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 48.67 · ROC 2.74% · RS 0.12
25 Oct 2024
Exit
LCFY
NASDAQ · Locafy Ltd
4.83
20% entry drawdown
-28.76%
Entry 4 Oct 2024
6.78
25 Oct 2024
Exit
MRVI
NASDAQ · Maravai Lifesciences Holdings Inc
7.02
20% entry drawdown
-25.08%
Entry 2 Aug 2024
9.37
25 Oct 2024
Exit
NRIX
NASDAQ · Nurix Therapeutics Inc
26.27
Reversal Risk Warning
76.90%
Entry 8 Mar 2024
14.85
25 Oct 2024
Exit
RAIL
NASDAQ · Freightcar America Inc
14.57
Reversal Risk Warning
288.53%
Entry 22 Mar 2024
3.75
25 Oct 2024
Entry
REE
NASDAQ · Ree Automotive Holding Inc
8.27
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 68.62 · ROC 5.16% · RS 48.54
25 Oct 2024
Entry
RIGL
NASDAQ · Rigel Pharmaceuticals Inc
14.16
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 79.83 · ROC 0.71% · RS 4.89
25 Oct 2024
Entry
SNWV
NASDAQ · SANUWAVE Health, Inc. Common Stock
17.50
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 96.30 · ROC 11.23% · RS 107.54
25 Oct 2024
Exit
TNGX
NASDAQ · Tango Therapeutics Inc
5.93
20% entry drawdown
-22.89%
Entry 13 Oct 2023
7.69
25 Oct 2024
Entry
VICR
NASDAQ · Vicor Corporation
46.32
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals
MA 41.71 · ROC 2.01% · RS 8.61
18 Oct 2024
Exit
AKR
NYSE · Acadia Realty Trust
23.35
Reversal Risk Warning
62.69%
Entry 15 Sep 2023
14.35
18 Oct 2024
Exit
ATR
NYSE · AptarGroup Inc
164.86
Reversal Risk Warning
51.31%
Entry 13 Jan 2023
108.95
18 Oct 2024
Entry
AZ
NASDAQ · A2Z Smart Technologies Corp
4.63
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals
MA 81.62 · ROC 5.34% · RS 82.93
18 Oct 2024
Exit
BCBP
NASDAQ · BCB Bancorp Inc
11.93
Reversal Risk Warning
12.48%
Entry 6 Sep 2024
10.61
18 Oct 2024
Exit
BDN
NYSE · Brandywine Realty Trust
5.45
Reversal Risk Warning
27.25%
Entry 23 Aug 2024
4.29
18 Oct 2024
Exit
BVS
NASDAQ · Bioventus Inc
12.95
Reversal Risk Warning
104.58%
Entry 7 Jun 2024
6.33
18 Oct 2024
Entry
BW
NYSE · Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc
2.51
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 70.53 · ROC 10.26% · RS 54.53
18 Oct 2024
Exit
BXP
NYSE · BXP, Inc.
83.23
Reversal Risk Warning
33.16%
Entry 5 Jan 2024
62.50
18 Oct 2024
Entry
BYFC
NASDAQ · Broadway Financial Corporation
7.18
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals
MA 38.21 · ROC 1.88% · RS 6.56
18 Oct 2024
Exit
CCI
NYSE · Crown Castle
102.83
Reversal Risk Warning
-1.95%
Entry 6 Sep 2024
104.87
18 Oct 2024
Exit
DEA
NYSE · Eerly Govt Ppty Inc
31.24
Reversal Risk Warning
7.82%
Entry 9 Aug 2024
28.97
18 Oct 2024
Exit
DEI
NYSE · Douglas Emmett Inc
17.67
Reversal Risk Warning
39.54%
Entry 5 Jan 2024
12.66
18 Oct 2024
Exit
GEVO
NASDAQ · Gevo Inc
3.13
Reversal Risk Warning
51.94%
Entry 11 Oct 2024
2.06
18 Oct 2024
Exit
HEPS
NASDAQ · D-MARKET Electronic Services & Trading ADR
3.51
Reversal Risk Warning
222.02%
Entry 14 Apr 2023
1.09
18 Oct 2024
Entry
HIVE
NASDAQ · HIVE Digital Technologies Ltd
3.81
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals
MA 13.17 · ROC 0.07% · RS 2.00
18 Oct 2024
Exit
HIW
NYSE · Highwoods Properties Inc
32.09
Reversal Risk Warning
51.83%
Entry 8 Mar 2024
21.14