Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
437.28
Total Return
337.28%
CAGR
52.30% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.85%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23 Sortino 3.79
Current Holdings
283
Transactions
4969 Avg 1416.8/yr · 118.1/mo · 27.2/wk
Exit Mix
2343 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.6% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
8
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92 4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10 4 signals · MA 27.02 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42 6 signals · MA 41.93 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18 4 signals · MA 83.69 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21 4 signals · MA 0.63 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88 6 signals · MA 36.82 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29 8 signals · MA 81.90 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22 7 signals · MA 32.21 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
10
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92 20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.47%
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56 20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24 20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95 20% entry drawdown · -25.57%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 61-90 of 283 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
CMP NYSE · Compass Minerals International Inc
13 Jun 202519.24
29.84
55.09%
4
95.91
6.53%
46.95
CODI NYSE · Compass Diversified Holdings
1 May 202611.80
10.06
-14.75%
4
92.52
8.24%
54.02
COLD NYSE · Americold Realty Trust
29 May 202615.46
15.51
0.30%
4
95.14
1.94%
3.67
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
3 Jul 202673.83
72.47
-1.84%
4
83.62
9.24%
22.03
CRSP NASDAQ · Crispr Therapeutics AG
29 Aug 202551.83
53.35
2.93%
8
37.64
4.23%
1.60
CRSR NASDAQ · Corsair Gaming Inc
19 Jun 20268.95
9.66
7.93%
5
99.40
6.63%
0.92
CRT NYSE · Cross Timbers Royalty Trust
6 Mar 20269.41
9.21
-2.19%
4
44.90
0.23%
0.83
CUE NASDAQ · Cue Biopharma
5 Jun 202629.46
36.78
24.85%
4
55.52
0.99%
39.31
CVAC NASDAQ · CureVac NV
30 May 20254.47
4.66
4.25%
4
79.16
4.76%
27.85
CVGI NASDAQ · Commercial Vehicle Group Inc
3 Apr 20263.56
4.86
36.52%
4
90.80
12.91%
104.42
CYRX NASDAQ · Cryoport Inc
29 Aug 20258.86
16.17
82.51%
5
71.93
1.22%
11.07
DCH NYSE · Dauch Corporation
12 Sep 20255.87
5.13
-12.61%
4
97.24
1.62%
1.86
DDD NYSE · 3D Systems Corporation
12 Jun 20263.01
3.07
1.99%
4
95.88
3.41%
20.65
DLHC NASDAQ · DLH Holdings Corp
27 Feb 20266.00
5.03
-16.17%
6
2.65
0.35%
4.03
DLTH NASDAQ · Duluth Holdings Inc
29 May 20263.35
4.03
20.30%
5
44.25
1.24%
0.75
DLTR NASDAQ · Dollar Tree Inc
9 May 202585.47
124.91
46.14%
4
70.51
2.12%
3.34
DOW NYSE · Dow Inc
20 Feb 202629.87
29.03
-2.80%
4
96.94
1.89%
4.06
DPRO NASDAQ · Draganfly Inc
15 Aug 20254.26
4.78
12.21%
4
96.48
4.75%
20.76
DTIL NASDAQ · Precision BioSciences Inc
22 May 20267.23
8.76
21.16%
4
74.98
2.99%
14.34
ECOR NASDAQ · Electrocore LLC
13 Mar 20266.14
6.60
7.41%
5
45.46
1.51%
1.16
EDIT NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc
3 Jul 20263.65
3.26
-10.68%
8
23.20
2.51%
18.52
ELV NYSE · Elevance Health Inc
12 Jun 2026404.07
416.23
3.01%
5
98.33
3.19%
9.86
EMN NYSE · Eastman Chemical Company
27 Mar 202670.41
67.57
-4.04%
8
13.96
0.94%
3.98
EPC NYSE · Edgewell Personal Care Co
3 Jul 202627.21
26.48
-2.68%
4
81.28
5.52%
19.35
FATE NASDAQ · Fate Therapeutics Inc
6 Mar 20261.33
3.10
133.08%
4
57.34
3.39%
8.35
FBIO NASDAQ · Fortress Biotech Inc
22 Aug 20252.27
3.30
45.37%
5
36.10
0.13%
11.92
FC NYSE · Franklin Covey Company
8 May 202622.15
20.97
-5.33%
4
95.03
2.36%
3.66
FCEL NASDAQ · FuelCell Energy Inc
5 Jun 202617.33
21.03
21.35%
6
97.87
21.39%
81.93
FDMT NASDAQ · 4D Molecular Therapeutics Inc
5 Sep 20257.27
12.31
69.33%
4
93.61
5.54%
9.40
FF NYSE · FutureFuel Corp
27 Mar 20263.93
4.64
18.04%
4
39.56
1.38%
6.34

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 3301-3330 of 4969
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
8 Mar 2024
Entry
TARA NASDAQ · Protara Therapeutics Inc
3.80
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 99.15 · ROC 11.27% · RS 28.39
8 Mar 2024
Entry
TLPH NASDAQ · Talphera Inc.
1.13
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 98.21 · ROC 5.44% · RS 10.62
8 Mar 2024
Entry
TNYA NASDAQ · Tenaya Therapeutics Inc
6.40
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 98.10 · ROC 5.80% · RS 29.07
8 Mar 2024
Exit
VTEX NYSE · VTEX
9.21
Reversal Risk Warning
81.66%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 5.07
8 Mar 2024
Entry
XYZ NYSE · Block, Inc
80.74
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 65.92 · ROC 1.45% · RS 11.73
8 Mar 2024
Entry
Z NASDAQ · Zillow Group Inc Class C
57.88
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 19.98 · ROC 0.32% · RS 0.71
1 Mar 2024
Exit
ABNB NASDAQ · Airbnb Inc
159.72
Reversal Risk Warning
28.39%
Entry 31 Mar 2023 124.40
1 Mar 2024
Entry
ADCT NYSE · ADC Therapeutics SA
4.86
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 92.06 · ROC 34.02% · RS 121.43
1 Mar 2024
Exit
APRE NASDAQ · Aprea Therapeutics Inc
8.00
Reversal Risk Warning
39.86%
Entry 2 Feb 2024 5.72
1 Mar 2024
Entry
AVIR NASDAQ · Atea Pharmaceuticals Inc
4.45
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 85.53 · ROC 2.92% · RS 5.24
1 Mar 2024
Entry
BAND NASDAQ · Bandwidth Inc
20.69
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 40.63 · ROC 0.76% · RS 29.11
1 Mar 2024
Entry
BYSI NASDAQ · BeyondSpring Inc
1.50
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 77.46 · ROC 4.10% · RS 17.46
1 Mar 2024
Exit
CCCC NASDAQ · C4 Therapeutics Inc
10.99
Reversal Risk Warning
100.91%
Entry 26 Jan 2024 5.47
1 Mar 2024
Entry
CDXS NASDAQ · Codexis Inc
4.61
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 75.50 · ROC 0.47% · RS 34.70
1 Mar 2024
Exit
CMPR NASDAQ · Cimpress NV
99.64
Reversal Risk Warning
139.69%
Entry 7 Apr 2023 41.57
1 Mar 2024
Entry
CMPS NASDAQ · Compass Pathways Plc
11.48
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 87.21 · ROC 2.88% · RS 12.71
1 Mar 2024
Exit
CRL NYSE · Charles River Laboratories
264.38
Reversal Risk Warning
7.93%
Entry 16 Feb 2024 244.96
1 Mar 2024
Entry
DCPH NASDAQ · Deciphera Pharmaceuticals LLC
17.36
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 44.18 · ROC 2.65% · RS 1.30
1 Mar 2024
Exit
EFOR NYSE · Everforth, Inc.
100.76
Reversal Risk Warning
17.85%
Entry 3 Nov 2023 85.50
1 Mar 2024
Entry
EQ NASDAQ · Equillium Inc
2.50
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 96.40 · ROC 28.27% · RS 154.63
1 Mar 2024
Exit
FATE NASDAQ · Fate Therapeutics Inc
7.74
Reversal Risk Warning
11.21%
Entry 23 Feb 2024 6.96
1 Mar 2024
Entry
GM NYSE · General Motors Company
40.09
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 69.25 · ROC 0.57% · RS 2.79
1 Mar 2024
Entry
INO NASDAQ · Inovio Pharmaceuticals Inc
9.55
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 57.51 · ROC 4.66% · RS 12.02
1 Mar 2024
Exit
IOVA NASDAQ · Iovance Biotherapeutics Inc
16.79
Reversal Risk Warning
82.90%
Entry 9 Feb 2024 9.18
1 Mar 2024
Exit
JHX NYSE · James Hardie Industries PLC ADR
40.30
Reversal Risk Warning
73.56%
Entry 5 May 2023 23.22
1 Mar 2024
Entry
KOD NASDAQ · Kodiak Sciences Inc
6.01
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 94.07 · ROC 2.09% · RS 15.80
1 Mar 2024
Entry
LENZ NASDAQ · LENZ Therapeutics Inc
17.05
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 61.94 · ROC 2.64% · RS 6.37
1 Mar 2024
Entry
LNSR NASDAQ · LENSAR Inc
4.70
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 96.48 · ROC 5.61% · RS 21.04
1 Mar 2024
Entry
LONA NASDAQ · LeonaBio, Inc.
39.40
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 99.06 · ROC 3.83% · RS 26.29
1 Mar 2024
Entry
MHK NYSE · Mohawk Industries Inc
121.41
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 82.41 · ROC 0.94% · RS 6.65