Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
437.28
Total Return
337.28%
CAGR
52.30% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.85%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23 Sortino 3.79
Current Holdings
283
Transactions
4969 Avg 1416.8/yr · 118.1/mo · 27.2/wk
Exit Mix
2343 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.6% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
8
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92 4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10 4 signals · MA 27.02 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42 6 signals · MA 41.93 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18 4 signals · MA 83.69 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21 4 signals · MA 0.63 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88 6 signals · MA 36.82 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29 8 signals · MA 81.90 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22 7 signals · MA 32.21 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
10
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92 20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.47%
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56 20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24 20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95 20% entry drawdown · -25.57%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 61-90 of 283 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
CMP NYSE · Compass Minerals International Inc
13 Jun 202519.24
29.84
55.09%
4
95.91
6.53%
46.95
CODI NYSE · Compass Diversified Holdings
1 May 202611.80
10.06
-14.75%
4
92.52
8.24%
54.02
COLD NYSE · Americold Realty Trust
29 May 202615.46
15.51
0.30%
4
95.14
1.94%
3.67
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
3 Jul 202673.83
72.47
-1.84%
4
83.62
9.24%
22.03
CRSP NASDAQ · Crispr Therapeutics AG
29 Aug 202551.83
53.35
2.93%
8
37.64
4.23%
1.60
CRSR NASDAQ · Corsair Gaming Inc
19 Jun 20268.95
9.66
7.93%
5
99.40
6.63%
0.92
CRT NYSE · Cross Timbers Royalty Trust
6 Mar 20269.41
9.21
-2.19%
4
44.90
0.23%
0.83
CUE NASDAQ · Cue Biopharma
5 Jun 202629.46
36.78
24.85%
4
55.52
0.99%
39.31
CVAC NASDAQ · CureVac NV
30 May 20254.47
4.66
4.25%
4
79.16
4.76%
27.85
CVGI NASDAQ · Commercial Vehicle Group Inc
3 Apr 20263.56
4.86
36.52%
4
90.80
12.91%
104.42
CYRX NASDAQ · Cryoport Inc
29 Aug 20258.86
16.17
82.51%
5
71.93
1.22%
11.07
DCH NYSE · Dauch Corporation
12 Sep 20255.87
5.13
-12.61%
4
97.24
1.62%
1.86
DDD NYSE · 3D Systems Corporation
12 Jun 20263.01
3.07
1.99%
4
95.88
3.41%
20.65
DLHC NASDAQ · DLH Holdings Corp
27 Feb 20266.00
5.03
-16.17%
6
2.65
0.35%
4.03
DLTH NASDAQ · Duluth Holdings Inc
29 May 20263.35
4.03
20.30%
5
44.25
1.24%
0.75
DLTR NASDAQ · Dollar Tree Inc
9 May 202585.47
124.91
46.14%
4
70.51
2.12%
3.34
DOW NYSE · Dow Inc
20 Feb 202629.87
29.03
-2.80%
4
96.94
1.89%
4.06
DPRO NASDAQ · Draganfly Inc
15 Aug 20254.26
4.78
12.21%
4
96.48
4.75%
20.76
DTIL NASDAQ · Precision BioSciences Inc
22 May 20267.23
8.76
21.16%
4
74.98
2.99%
14.34
ECOR NASDAQ · Electrocore LLC
13 Mar 20266.14
6.60
7.41%
5
45.46
1.51%
1.16
EDIT NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc
3 Jul 20263.65
3.26
-10.68%
8
23.20
2.51%
18.52
ELV NYSE · Elevance Health Inc
12 Jun 2026404.07
416.23
3.01%
5
98.33
3.19%
9.86
EMN NYSE · Eastman Chemical Company
27 Mar 202670.41
67.57
-4.04%
8
13.96
0.94%
3.98
EPC NYSE · Edgewell Personal Care Co
3 Jul 202627.21
26.48
-2.68%
4
81.28
5.52%
19.35
FATE NASDAQ · Fate Therapeutics Inc
6 Mar 20261.33
3.10
133.08%
4
57.34
3.39%
8.35
FBIO NASDAQ · Fortress Biotech Inc
22 Aug 20252.27
3.30
45.37%
5
36.10
0.13%
11.92
FC NYSE · Franklin Covey Company
8 May 202622.15
20.97
-5.33%
4
95.03
2.36%
3.66
FCEL NASDAQ · FuelCell Energy Inc
5 Jun 202617.33
21.03
21.35%
6
97.87
21.39%
81.93
FDMT NASDAQ · 4D Molecular Therapeutics Inc
5 Sep 20257.27
12.31
69.33%
4
93.61
5.54%
9.40
FF NYSE · FutureFuel Corp
27 Mar 20263.93
4.64
18.04%
4
39.56
1.38%
6.34

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 3391-3420 of 4969
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
16 Feb 2024
Exit
MKTW NASDAQ · Marketwise Inc
32.32
20% entry drawdown
-25.30%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 43.26
16 Feb 2024
Exit
MLKN NASDAQ · MillerKnoll Inc
27.52
Reversal Risk Warning
31.37%
Entry 20 Oct 2023 20.95
16 Feb 2024
Exit
MUX NYSE · McEwen Mining Inc.
6.20
20% entry drawdown
-20.00%
Entry 4 Aug 2023 7.75
16 Feb 2024
Entry
OPRX NASDAQ · OPTIMIZERx Corp
15.80
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 56.79 · ROC 0.95% · RS 5.54
16 Feb 2024
Entry
PASG NASDAQ · Passage Bio Inc
25.90
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 76.94 · ROC 1.79% · RS 20.07
16 Feb 2024
Exit
ROKU NASDAQ · Roku Inc
72.00
20% entry drawdown
-24.15%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 94.93
16 Feb 2024
Entry
SBH NYSE · Sally Beauty Holdings Inc
13.62
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 49.52 · ROC 0.92% · RS 0.75
16 Feb 2024
Entry
SNTG NASDAQ · Sentage Holdings Inc
3.21
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 24.15 · ROC 1.03% · RS 24.59
16 Feb 2024
Exit
TAL NYSE · TAL Education Group
14.17
Reversal Risk Warning
95.99%
Entry 22 Sep 2023 7.23
16 Feb 2024
Exit
UIS NYSE · Unisys Corporation
7.97
Reversal Risk Warning
19.85%
Entry 5 Jan 2024 6.65
9 Feb 2024
Entry
ACH NYSE · Accendra Health Inc
21.14
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 10.23 · ROC 0.90% · RS 2.41
9 Feb 2024
Exit
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
14.41
20% entry drawdown
-23.31%
Entry 29 Dec 2023 18.79
9 Feb 2024
Entry
ANNX NASDAQ · Annexon Inc
5.44
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 75.95 · ROC 4.65% · RS 21.86
9 Feb 2024
Exit
ARVN NASDAQ · Arvinas Inc
49.89
Reversal Risk Warning
28.85%
Entry 12 Jan 2024 38.72
9 Feb 2024
Exit
BDN NYSE · Brandywine Realty Trust
3.13
20% entry drawdown
-21.51%
Entry 29 Dec 2023 3.99
9 Feb 2024
Entry
BGDE NASDAQ · Big Digital Energy, Inc.
54.60
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 46.36 · ROC 1.39% · RS 13.63
9 Feb 2024
Exit
CCK NYSE · Crown Holdings Inc
72.61
20% entry drawdown
-20.09%
Entry 1 Sep 2023 90.87
9 Feb 2024
Entry
CGTX NASDAQ · Cognition Therapeutics Inc
2.27
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 90.59 · ROC 2.80% · RS 5.48
9 Feb 2024
Exit
CMTG NYSE · Claros Mortgage Trust Inc
9.36
20% entry drawdown
-22.11%
Entry 5 Jan 2024 12.02
9 Feb 2024
Exit
DCOM NYSE · Dime Community Bancshares, Inc.
17.88
20% entry drawdown
-23.86%
Entry 15 Dec 2023 23.48
9 Feb 2024
Exit
EEIQ NASDAQ · Elite Education Group International Ltd
24.96
20% entry drawdown
-20.61%
Entry 26 Jan 2024 31.44
9 Feb 2024
Exit
EEX NYSE · Emerald Expositions Events Inc
6.28
Reversal Risk Warning
70.18%
Entry 17 Feb 2023 3.69
9 Feb 2024
Entry
ESPR NASDAQ · Esperion Therapeutics Inc
2.58
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 35.64 · ROC 7.27% · RS 10.28
9 Feb 2024
Exit
GNTX NASDAQ · Gentex Corporation
33.90
Reversal Risk Warning
26.83%
Entry 10 Feb 2023 26.73
9 Feb 2024
Entry
IMPP NASDAQ · Imperial Petroleum Inc
2.78
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 81.92 · ROC 0.72% · RS 5.67
9 Feb 2024
Entry
IOVA NASDAQ · Iovance Biotherapeutics Inc
9.18
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 50.75 · ROC 1.26% · RS 14.69
9 Feb 2024
Exit
IVVD NASDAQ · Invivyd Inc.
4.98
Reversal Risk Warning
26.40%
Entry 29 Dec 2023 3.94
9 Feb 2024
Entry
KOPN NASDAQ · Kopin Corporation
2.44
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 44.13 · ROC 0.80% · RS 31.06
9 Feb 2024
Exit
LSPD NYSE · Lightspeed Commerce Inc
14.07
20% entry drawdown
-25.83%
Entry 12 Jan 2024 18.97
9 Feb 2024
Exit
MCB NYSE · Metropolitan Bank Holding
42.11
20% entry drawdown
-21.49%
Entry 22 Dec 2023 53.63